NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Reed Sheppard

Rockets vs Mavericks · Wed Oct 21 · 8:30 PM ET

9.5 Pts O -103U -123

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 90%9/10 Odds imply 47.9% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 16.3
Graph median: 17.06.0–27.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Reed Sheppard points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 9.5.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 73% 32/44 · avg 14.0
Away 73% 32/44 · avg 12.9
vs Mavericks 25% 1/4 · avg 7.8

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 7.5 90% 9/10
O 8.5 90% 9/10
O 9.5 Today 90% 9/10
O 10.5 80% 8/10
O 11.5 80% 8/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 9.5	Close
2026-05-01	vs Lakers	10	Over	—
2026-04-26	vs Lakers	17	Over	—
2026-04-24	vs Lakers	17	Over	—
2026-04-12	vs Grizzlies	19	Over	—
2026-04-10	vs Timberwolves	12	Over	—
2026-04-09	vs 76ers	6	Under	—
2026-04-03	vs Jazz	12	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Bucks	27	Over	—
2026-03-31	vs Knicks	20	Over	—
2026-03-21	vs Heat	23	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 9.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.