NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Luka Dončić

Lakers vs Warriors · Wed Oct 21 · 10:00 PM ET

32.5 Pts O -113U -115

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Warriors 50%1/2 Odds imply 49.8% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 34.5
Graph median: 34.526.0–43.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Luka Dončić points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 32.5.

Splits all logged games · over 32.5

Home 59% 19/32 · avg 33.6
Away 53% 17/32 · avg 33.3
vs Warriors 50% 1/2 · avg 34.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 28.5 50% 1/2
O 30.5 50% 1/2
O 32.5 Today 50% 1/2
O 34.5 50% 1/2
O 36.5 50% 1/2

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 2 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 32.5	Close
2026-02-28	@ Warriors	26	Under	—
2025-10-21	vs Warriors	43	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 32.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.