NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Hawks vs Magic · Wed Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET

18.5 Pts O -128U -104

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 40%4/10 Odds imply 52.4% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 22.2
Graph median: 17.511.0–41.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Nickeil Alexander-Walker points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 18.5.

Splits all logged games · over 18.5

Home 52% 22/42 · avg 20.2
Away 62% 26/42 · avg 20.4
vs Magic 100% 4/4 · avg 28.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 14.5 80% 8/10
O 16.5 70% 7/10
O 18.5 Today 40% 4/10
O 20.5 40% 4/10
O 22.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 18.5	Close
2026-04-30	vs Knicks	11	Under	—
2026-04-25	vs Knicks	15	Under	—
2026-04-23	vs Knicks	14	Under	—
2026-04-10	vs Cavaliers	18	Under	—
2026-04-06	vs Knicks	36	Over	—
2026-03-30	vs Celtics	17	Under	—
2026-03-28	vs Kings	27	Over	—
2026-03-23	vs Grizzlies	26	Over	—
2026-03-21	vs Warriors	17	Under	—
2026-03-16	vs Magic	41	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 19.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.