NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Joan Beringer

Timberwolves vs Heat · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

7.5 Pts O +100U -128

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 30%3/10 Odds imply 47.1% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 5.4
Graph median: 4.50.0–14.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Joan Beringer points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 7.5.

Splits all logged games · over 7.5

Home 5% 1/19 · avg 4.2
Away 24% 5/21 · avg 4.4
vs Heat 0% 0/1 · avg 6.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 5.5 50% 5/10
O 6.5 40% 4/10
O 7.5 Today 30% 3/10
O 8.5 30% 3/10
O 9.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 7.5	Close
2026-05-12	@ Spurs	3	Under	—
2026-05-06	@ Spurs	7	Under	—
2026-04-27	@ Nuggets	2	Under	—
2026-04-10	@ Rockets	14	Over	—
2026-04-08	@ Magic	9	Over	—
2026-04-07	@ Pacers	2	Under	—
2026-03-30	@ Mavericks	6	Under	—
2026-03-10	@ Lakers	0	Under	—
2026-01-31	@ Grizzlies	2	Under	—
2026-01-28	@ Mavericks	9	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 7.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.