NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Tolu Smith

Pistons vs Celtics · Tue Oct 20 · 3:00 PM ET

Avg 4.3 Pts

2025-26 average · no line posted yet

Hit rate vs avg · Last 10 · Home 38%3/8 No line posted yet

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 4.2
Graph median: 3.00.0–11.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Tolu Smith points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.3.

Splits all logged games · over 4.3

Home 38% 3/8 · avg 4.2
Away 33% 2/6 · avg 4.3
vs Celtics No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 2.3 50% 4/8
O 3.3 50% 4/8
O 4.3 Avg 38% 3/8
O 5.3 38% 3/8
O 6.3 25% 2/8

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 8 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 4.3	Close
2026-05-17	vs Cavaliers	4	Under	—
2026-03-26	vs Pelicans	2	Under	—
2026-03-20	vs Warriors	2	Under	—
2026-01-10	vs Clippers	9	Over	—
2026-01-07	vs Bulls	0	Under	—
2026-01-05	vs Knicks	0	Under	—
2025-11-12	vs Bulls	6	Over	—
2025-10-27	vs Cavaliers	11	Over	—

No sportsbook line is posted for this player yet, so hit rate counts past games above the player’s own 2025-26 average. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores.