NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

John Collins

Pistons vs Celtics · Tue Oct 20 · 3:00 PM ET

11.5 Pts O -138U +100

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 60%6/10 Odds imply 53.7% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 12.1
Graph median: 12.00.0–18.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

John Collins points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 11.5.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

Home 64% 21/33 · avg 13.2
Away 62% 23/37 · avg 13.8
vs Celtics 100% 2/2 · avg 19.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 90% 9/10
O 10.5 80% 8/10
O 11.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 12.5 40% 4/10
O 13.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 11.5	Close
2026-04-15	vs Warriors	11	Under	—
2026-04-12	vs Warriors	18	Over	—
2026-04-08	vs Thunder	12	Over	—
2026-04-07	vs Mavericks	12	Over	—
2026-04-02	vs Spurs	15	Over	—
2026-03-31	vs Trail Blazers	17	Over	—
2026-03-25	vs Raptors	0	Under	—
2026-03-16	vs Spurs	11	Under	—
2026-03-14	vs Kings	10	Under	—
2026-03-01	vs Pelicans	15	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 12

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.