NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

John Collins

Pistons vs Celtics · Tue Oct 20 · 3:00 PM ET

11.5 Pts O -138U +100

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 70%7/10 Odds imply 53.7% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 13.7
Graph median: 14.50.0–25.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

John Collins points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 11.5.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

Home 64% 21/33 · avg 13.2
Away 62% 23/37 · avg 13.8
vs Celtics 100% 2/2 · avg 19.5

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 9.5 70% 7/10
O 10.5 70% 7/10
O 11.5 Today 70% 7/10
O 12.5 50% 5/10
O 13.5 50% 5/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 11.5	Close
2026-04-10	@ Trail Blazers	0	Under	—
2026-04-05	@ Kings	25	Over	—
2026-03-29	@ Bucks	22	Over	—
2026-03-27	@ Pacers	5	Under	—
2026-03-21	@ Mavericks	8	Under	—
2026-03-19	@ Pelicans	18	Over	—
2026-03-18	@ Pelicans	18	Over	—
2026-02-20	@ Lakers	12	Over	—
2026-02-11	@ Rockets	12	Over	—
2026-02-10	@ Rockets	17	Over	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 12

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 3m ago.