NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Alexandre Sarr

Wizards vs Bucks · Wed Oct 21 · 7:00 PM ET

14.5 Pts O -103U -124

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 50%5/10 Odds imply 47.8% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 15.7
Graph median: 14.52.0–29.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Alexandre Sarr points by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 14.5.

Splits all logged games · over 14.5

Home 61% 14/23 · avg 16.4
Away 64% 16/25 · avg 16.1
vs Bucks 67% 2/3 · avg 15.3

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 12.5 70% 7/10
O 13.5 70% 7/10
O 14.5 Today 50% 5/10
O 15.5 40% 4/10
O 16.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Pts	vs 14.5	Close
2026-03-21	vs Thunder	14	Under	—
2026-03-19	vs Pistons	2	Under	—
2026-02-08	vs Heat	12	Under	—
2026-02-03	vs Knicks	11	Under	—
2026-01-30	vs Lakers	16	Over	—
2026-01-29	vs Bucks	16	Over	—
2026-01-27	vs Trail Blazers	29	Over	—
2026-01-22	vs Nuggets	15	Over	—
2026-01-19	vs Clippers	28	Over	—
2026-01-09	vs Pelicans	14	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 14.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.