NBA Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Pelle Larsson

Heat vs Timberwolves · Wed Oct 21 · 7:30 PM ET

3.5 Ast O +117U -154

Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 60%6/10 Odds imply 43.2% Over

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 3.9
Graph median: 4.01.0–6.0

2026-27 per game

Pts—

Reb—

Ast—

3PM—

Stl—

Blk—

Pelle Larsson assists by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

Home 54% 19/35 · avg 3.5
Away 29% 10/35 · avg 3.3
vs Timberwolves 0% 0/1 · avg 1.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 90% 9/10
O 2.5 90% 9/10
O 3.5 Today 60% 6/10
O 4.5 30% 3/10
O 5.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Game log · 10 games

Date	Opp	Ast	vs 3.5	Close
2026-04-04	vs Wizards	4	Over	—
2026-04-01	vs Celtics	6	Over	—
2026-03-30	vs 76ers	3	Under	—
2026-03-23	vs Spurs	3	Under	—
2026-03-19	vs Lakers	5	Over	—
2026-03-14	vs Magic	3	Under	—
2026-03-12	vs Bucks	6	Over	—
2026-03-10	vs Wizards	1	Under	—
2026-03-08	vs Pistons	4	Over	—
2026-03-05	vs Nets	4	Over	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: SportsGameOdds box scores. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.