CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Tim Burns WR

Sam Houston vs New Mexico State · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

35.5 Rec Yds O -115U —

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs New Mexico State 0%0/1 Odds imply —

Season avg: 42.4
Graph avg: 28.0
Graph median: 28.028–28

2026 per game

Rec2.2▲+0.7

Rec Yds42.4▲+13.9

Rec TD0.4▲+0.3

35.5

2025

28

Oct 02
?

Oct 22

Splits all logged games · over 35.5

Home 57% 4/7 · avg 34.6
Away 33% 2/6 · avg 33.0
vs New Mexico State 0% 0/1 · avg 28.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 25.5 100% 1/1
O 30.5 0% 0/1
O 35.5 Today 0% 0/1
O 40.5 0% 0/1
O 45.5 0% 0/1

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs New Mexico State

What New Mexico State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds208.2#77
Receptions17.2#41
Yds/Rec12.1#134
Rec TD1.4#100

WRs vs New Mexico State · 2026

Each main WR who faced New Mexico State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+5.2

Avg diff %+33%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 07	Maguire Anderson	19	103.2	-82%
Oct 07	Eric Nelson	3	39.7	-92%
Oct 01	Jonathan Stafford Jr.	108	44.5	+143%
Oct 01	Cameron Flowers	19	22.3	-15%
Sep 26	Troy Omeire	22	45.0	-51%
Sep 26	Bailen George	102	34.5	+196%
Sep 12	Kainoa Carvalho	82	50.3	+63%
Sep 12	Tama Uiliata	107	31.8	+236%
Aug 29	Duce Robinson	50	59.5	-16%
Aug 29	Jayvan Boggs	25	54.3	-54%

Game log · 1 game

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 35.5	Close
2025-10-02	6	@ New Mexico State	28	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 35.5Underdog 35.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 29m ago.