College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 17, 2026 · 43 players

Tim Burns WR

Sam Houston vs New Mexico State ·

35.5 Rec Yds O -115U —
Hit rate · Last 10 50%5/10 Odds imply —
Season avg
42.4
Graph avg
34.0
Graph median
33.56–65
Over the close
0%0/2
2026 per game
Rec2.2â–²+0.7
Rec Yds42.4â–²+13.9
Rec TD0.4â–²+0.3
Under 35.5 in 2 straight
Tim Burns receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 35.5.
35.5
  1. 2025
    45
  2. 8
  3. 6
  4. 22
  5. 47
  6. 2026
    63
  7. 65
  8. 61
  9. 16
  10. 7
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 35.5

  • Home 57% 4/7 · avg 34.6
  • Away 33% 2/6 · avg 33.0
  • vs New Mexico State 0% 0/1 · avg 28.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 25.5 50% 5/10
  • O 30.5 50% 5/10
  • O 35.5 Today 50% 5/10
  • O 40.5 50% 5/10
  • O 45.5 40% 4/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs New Mexico State

What New Mexico State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds208.2#77
  • Receptions17.2#41
  • Yds/Rec12.1#134
  • Rec TD1.4#100

WRs vs New Mexico State · 2026

Each main WR who faced New Mexico State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+5.2
Avg diff %+33%
Beat their average40% (4/10)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 07 Maguire Anderson19103.2-82%
Oct 07 Eric Nelson339.7-92%
Oct 01 Jonathan Stafford Jr.10844.5+143%
Oct 01 Cameron Flowers1922.3-15%
Sep 26 Troy Omeire2245.0-51%
Sep 26 Bailen George10234.5+196%
Sep 12 Kainoa Carvalho8250.3+63%
Sep 12 Tama Uiliata10731.8+236%
Aug 29 Duce Robinson5059.5-16%
Aug 29 Jayvan Boggs2554.3-54%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 35.5Close
2026-10-147vs Western Kentucky7Under33.5
2026-10-086@ Liberty16Under32.5
2026-09-264@ Texas Tech61Over—
2026-09-193vs Nicholls65Over—
2026-09-051@ Troy63Over—
2025-11-2914vs Florida International47Over—
2025-11-2213@ Middle Tennessee22Under—
2025-11-1512vs Delaware6Under—
2025-11-0811@ Oregon State8Under—
2025-10-158vs UTEP45Over—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 35.5Underdog 35.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 28m ago.