CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

James Jones RB

New Mexico State vs Sam Houston · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

11.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 67%2/3 Odds imply —

Season avg: 8.3
Graph avg: 14.0
Graph median: 14.09–19
Over the close: 100%1/1

2026 per game

Carries15.3

Rush Yds99.8

Rush TD0.5

Rec1.3

Rec Yds8.3

11.5

2026

9

Aug 29
14

Sep 12
19

Oct 07
?

Oct 22

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 11.5

Home 0% 0/3 · avg 2.7
Away 67% 2/3 · avg 14.0
vs Sam Houston No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 100% 3/3
O 6.5 100% 3/3
O 11.5 Today 67% 2/3
O 16.5 33% 1/3
O 21.5 0% 0/3

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Sam Houston

What Sam Houston allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds188.2#30
Yds/Carry6.8#9
Rush TD1.9#40
Carries27.8#77
Rec Yds24.3#101

RBs vs Sam Houston · 2026

Each main RB who faced Sam Houston this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-5.0

Avg diff %-30%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 14	Ajay Allen	26	13.0	+100%
Oct 08	Jaylon Coleman	0	9.0	-100%
Sep 26	J'Koby Williams	24	24.2	-1%
Sep 12	Jimmy Calloway	14	28.2	-50%
Sep 05	Jordan Lovett	0	14.6	-100%

Game log · 3 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 11.5	Close
2026-10-07	6	@ Florida International	19	Over	8.5
2026-09-12	2	@ Hawai'i	14	Over	—
2026-08-29	1	@ Florida State	9	Under	—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 11.5PrizePicks 11.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: current books, updated 5m ago.