CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Chris Reed WR

Sam Houston vs New Mexico State · Wed Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET

52.5 Rec Yds O -118U —

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs New Mexico State 0%0/1 Odds imply —

Season avg: 48.2
Graph avg: 11.0
Graph median: 11.011–11

2026 per game

Rec2.8▲+0.1

Rec Yds48.2▲+6.3

Rec TD0.5+0.0

52.5

2025

11

Oct 02
?

Oct 22

Splits all logged games · over 52.5

Home 50% 4/8 · avg 56.1
Away 22% 2/9 · avg 33.3
vs New Mexico State 0% 0/1 · avg 11.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 42.5 0% 0/1
O 47.5 0% 0/1
O 52.5 Today 0% 0/1
O 57.5 0% 0/1
O 62.5 0% 0/1

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs New Mexico State

What New Mexico State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rec Yds208.2#77
Receptions17.2#41
Yds/Rec12.1#134
Rec TD1.4#100

WRs vs New Mexico State · 2026

Each main WR who faced New Mexico State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+5.2

Avg diff %+33%

Beat their average40% (4/10)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 07	Maguire Anderson	19	103.2	-82%
Oct 07	Eric Nelson	3	39.7	-92%
Oct 01	Jonathan Stafford Jr.	108	44.5	+143%
Oct 01	Cameron Flowers	19	22.3	-15%
Sep 26	Troy Omeire	22	45.0	-51%
Sep 26	Bailen George	102	34.5	+196%
Sep 12	Kainoa Carvalho	82	50.3	+63%
Sep 12	Tama Uiliata	107	31.8	+236%
Aug 29	Duce Robinson	50	59.5	-16%
Aug 29	Jayvan Boggs	25	54.3	-54%

Game log · 1 game

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 52.5	Close
2025-10-02	6	@ New Mexico State	11	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 52.5Underdog 52.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 28m ago.