CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Keenan Phillips RB

South Alabama vs Marshall · Tue Oct 20 · 7:30 PM ET

57.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 33%3/9 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 74.0
Graph avg: 56.3
Graph median: 44.019–157
Over the close: 100%2/2

2026 per game

Carries13.3▲+2.8

Rush Yds74.0▲+22.2

Rush TD0.8▲+0.6

Rec1.3▲+0.5

Rec Yds7.7▲+2.8

57.5

2025

26

Sep 13
39

Sep 27
56

Oct 04
60

Oct 23
65

Nov 15
41

Nov 29
2026

44

Sep 12
19

Sep 26
157

Oct 08
?

Oct 20

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 57.5

Home 67% 6/9 · avg 62.1
Away 33% 3/9 · avg 56.3
vs Marshall No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 47.5 44% 4/9
O 52.5 44% 4/9
O 57.5 Today 33% 3/9
O 62.5 22% 2/9
O 67.5 11% 1/9

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs Marshall

What Marshall allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 185 defenses.

Rush Yds151.8#69
Yds/Carry5.5#65
Rush TD1.4#73
Carries27.7#78
Rec Yds36.7#24

RBs vs Marshall · 2026

Each main RB who faced Marshall this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+36.5

Avg diff %+63%

Beat their average60% (3/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 10	Dominic Knicely	169	47.2	+258%
Oct 03	George Pettaway	206	93.5	+120%
Sep 19	Jambres Dubar	36	49.2	-27%
Sep 12	Antonio Martin	32	80.2	-60%
Sep 05	Carson Hansen	48	38.3	+25%

Game log · 9 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 57.5	Close
2026-10-08	6	@ Arkansas State	157	Over	54.5
2026-09-26	4	@ Kentucky	19	Under	—
2026-09-12	2	@ Tulane	44	Under	—
2025-11-29	14	@ Texas State	41	Under	—
2025-11-15	12	@ UL Monroe	65	Over	—
2025-10-23	9	@ Georgia State	60	Over	43.5
2025-10-04	6	@ Troy	56	Under	—
2025-09-27	5	@ North Texas	39	Under	—
2025-09-13	3	@ Auburn	26	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 57.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 32m ago.