CFB Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Roman Gagliano QB

Middle Tennessee vs Florida International · Tue Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET

198.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 10 · vs Florida International 0%0/1 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 200.7
Graph avg: 89.0
Graph median: 89.089–89

2026 per game

Pass Yds200.7▼-1.5

Att31.3▲+4.3

Cmp%58.5%▲+0.7

Pass TD1.8▲+0.4

INT0.3▲+0.3

Rush Yds15.2▼-16.8

198.5

2025

89

Nov 08
?

Oct 20

Splits all logged games · over 198.5

Home 50% 3/6 · avg 171.0
Away 80% 4/5 · avg 237.8
vs Florida International 0% 0/1 · avg 89.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

O 178.5 0% 0/1
O 188.5 0% 0/1
O 198.5 Today 0% 0/1
O 208.5 0% 0/1
O 218.5 0% 0/1

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Florida International

What Florida International allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 183 defenses.

Pass Yds205.1#129
Yds/Att6.4#155
Cmp%57.4%#164
Pass TD1.5#92
Pass Att31.9#43

QBs vs Florida International · 2026

Each main QB who faced Florida International this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-75.3

Avg diff %-29%

Beat their average20% (1/5)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 13	Caden Creel	214	237.2	-10%
Oct 07	Trey Hedden	19	221.8	-91%
Sep 19	Caden Veltkamp	202	308.2	-34%
Sep 12	Jason Wright	185	135.0	+37%
Sep 05	Michael Van Buren Jr.	100	194.3	-49%

Game log · 1 game

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	vs 198.5	Close
2025-11-08	11	vs Florida International	89	Under	—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 198.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 32m ago.