Today's free college football KarmaCard is Keenan Jackson receiving yards for NC State against Duke. The card carries a KarmaEdge AI Score of 98 (five stars) against a pick'em line of 53.5 receiving yards, read at 8:13 AM ET on Saturday, Nov 7, 2026. Kickoff is 12:30 PM ET at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh.
The model comparison points toward under 53.5 receiving yards: KarmaEdge projects 25, below the card’s line. That is a model lean, not a win probability.
The AI Score is a research score. It is not a confidence level, a win probability or a betting instruction. This is today's featured free card, not a claim that it is the single best prop on the slate.
The KarmaCard
| Item | Value (8:13 AM ET) |
|---|---|
| Player | Keenan Jackson, WR #8, NC State |
| Market | Receiving yards |
| Pick'em line | 53.5 |
| KarmaEdge AI Score | 98 (five stars) |
| KarmaEdge AI projection | 25 receiving yards |
| Game | Duke at NC State, Sat 12:30 PM ET |
You can see the card, and the AI projection with a free account, on KarmaCards.
Where the market sits
Sportsbook lines for Jackson were split this morning. Most books had 53.5, and one had 49.5 with heavy juice on the over (-210). KarmaEdge's free CFB Prop Research page lists him at 49.5, with lines read at 7:59 AM ET. That spread between 49.5 and 53.5 is worth knowing before you compare any number to the card. Lines can move before kickoff.
Why Jackson is the focal point
Jackson is NC State's top receiver. Through eight games he has 456 receiving yards and 6 receiving touchdowns, both team highs, per NC State Athletics and FOX Sports. That works out to about 57 yards a game, close to today's line.
His season average is above the model projection, an important reason to examine this matchup rather than treat the score alone as a complete case.
NC State’s passing production supplies the broader context. CJ Bailey has thrown for 1,955 yards for the Wolfpack, so the passing game has enough volume to keep its top target involved.
The matchup
Duke comes in at 6-2 and NC State at 4-4. The team numbers from FOX Sports set up the matchup:
- Duke allows 186.8 passing yards per game and 14.3 points per game, a stingy defense.
- NC State averages 249.4 passing yards per game on offense.
- Duke has won the last three meetings, including 45-33 on Sep 20, 2025.
The posted market spread on KarmaEdge’s CFB games page has NC State +4.0 at home; this is not the KarmaEdge AI spread. A trailing NC State team could throw more, which is a risk to the under lean, not confirmation of it. Duke’s low passing-yards-allowed figure is consistent with the lower-yardage model view, but does not establish a measured statistical correlation.
The KarmaEdge AI spread and total for this game are on the CFB AI Models page with Premium.
How to use this card
- Check the line you can actually get. With the market split between 49.5 and 53.5, the number matters.
- Open the card on KarmaCards to see the AI projection next to the line.
- Compare the history on CFB Prop Research. It shows past games against today's line and is not a projection.
- Watch for late changes before the 12:30 PM ET kickoff.
Add KarmaEdge to your Home Screen