NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kimani Vidal RB

LAC vs LAR · Sun Nov 1 · 4:05 PM ET

23.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · Last 20 55%11/20 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 21.8
Graph avg: 40.4
Graph median: 24.50–126
Over the close: 54%7/13

2026 per game

Carries4.2▼-7.7

Rush Yds21.8▼-26.3

Rush TD0.2-0.0

Targets2.4▲+0.6

Rec1.4▲+0.1

Rec Yds8.6▼-2.5

Snaps20.4▼-18.0

Snap %29.8%▼-27.4

23.5

2024

24

Dec 28
2025

0

Sep 28
18

Oct 05
124

Oct 12
20

Oct 19
117

Oct 23
30

Nov 02
95

Nov 09
13

Nov 16
126

Nov 30
44

Dec 08
33

Dec 14
11

Dec 21
12

Jan 04
31

Jan 11
2026

0

Sep 20
6

Sep 27
25

Oct 04
57

Oct 11
21

Oct 18
?

Nov 01

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 23.5

Home 54% 6/11 · avg 47.8
Away 41% 7/17 · avg 24.2
vs LAR No games

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 13.5 70% 14/20
O 18.5 65% 13/20
O 23.5 Today 55% 11/20
O 28.5 45% 9/20
O 33.5 30% 6/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs LAR

What LAR allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds83.7#25
Yds/Carry3.6#29
Rush TD0.5#21
Targets6.5#7
Rec Yds44.6#2

RBs vs LAR · 2026

Each main RB who faced LAR this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-6.4

Avg diff %+6%

Beat their average57% (4/7)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	Ashton Jeanty	15	52.2	-71%
Oct 18	Bam Knight	80	26.7	+200%
Oct 12	James Cook	111	103.2	+8%
Oct 04	Saquon Barkley	8	59.0	-86%
Sep 27	J.K. Dobbins	49	40.7	+20%
Sep 21	Cam Skattebo	36	76.4	-53%
Sep 10	Christian McCaffrey	68	53.5	+27%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAC offense

LAC offense: Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%14.4 yds	1%14.2 yds	8%7.0 yds
Short	26%5.9 yds	18%6.5 yds	39%4.3 yds

Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAR defense

LAR defense: Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%8.4 yds#25	6%13.4 yds#20	8%5.0 yds#31
Short	34%5.7 yds#14	16%5.7 yds#29	33%6.4 yds#5

Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%0.0 yds	0%	9%0.0 yds
Short	39%11.1 yds	26%5.3 yds	22%2.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	KeAndre Lambert-Smith WR	1	9.0	9	25.0%
2	Tre Harris WR	5	5.0	25	18.0%
3	David Njoku TE	2	4.0	8	15.0%
4	Quentin Johnston WR	5	4.4	22	14.9%
5	Ladd McConkey WR	5	3.6	18	12.4%
6	Charlie Kolar TE	4	3.2	13	11.8%
7	Brenen Thompson WR	1	3.0	3	11.5%
8	Oronde Gadsden II TE	6	3.5	21	11.4%
9	Keaton Mitchell RB	6	2.5	15	9.0%
10	Kimani Vidal RB	5	2.4	12	7.9%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rush Yds	vs 23.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-18	6	@ KC	21	Under	16.5	25 (37%)
2026-10-11	5	vs DEN	57	Over	4.5	28 (42%)
2026-10-04	4	@ SEA	25	Over	—	25 (35%)
2026-09-27	3	@ BUF	6	Under	—	17 (25%)
2026-09-20	2	vs LV	0	Under	—	7 (10%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	@ NE	31	Over	31.5	56 (93%)
2026-01-04	18	@ DEN	12	Under	—	14 (20%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DAL	11	Under	34.5	21 (33%)
2025-12-14	15	@ KC	33	Over	40.5	42 (64%)
2025-12-08	14	vs PHI	44	Over	40.5	51 (69%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LV	126	Over	125.5	51 (76%)
2025-11-16	11	@ JAX	13	Under	15.5	25 (52%)
2025-11-09	10	vs PIT	95	Over	46.5	68 (93%)
2025-11-02	9	@ TEN	30	Over	40.5	47 (72%)
2025-10-23	8	vs MIN	117	Over	110.5	54 (74%)
2025-10-19	7	vs IND	20	Under	20.5	49 (64%)
2025-10-12	6	@ MIA	124	Over	28.5	43 (67%)
2025-10-05	5	vs WAS	18	Under	—	14 (21%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NYG	0	Under	—	2 (3%)
2024-12-28	17	@ NE	24	Over	—	9 (11%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 23.5Underdog 24.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: FanDuel, updated 7m ago.