NFL Prop Research

LM

Ladd McConkey WR

LAC vs LAR · Sun Nov 1 · 4:05 PM ET

45.5 Rec Yds O -114U -110

BookBetMGM · 45.5Fanatics · 45.5DraftKings · 45.5Bally Bet · 45.5

Hit rate · Last 10 20%2/10 Odds imply 50.4% Over

Season avg

40.0

Graph avg

33.8

Graph median

31.50–82

Over the close

30%3/10

2026 per game

Targets3.6▼-2.9

Rec2.6▼-1.5

Rec Yds40.0▼-8.3

Rec TD0.2▼-0.2

Snaps30.2▼-22.2

Snap %45.8%▼-32.3

Splits all logged games · over 45.5

• Home 63% 12/19 · avg 65.0
• Away 50% 10/20 · avg 56.6
• vs LAR No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 35.5 30% 3/10
• O 40.5 30% 3/10
• O 45.5 Today 20% 2/10
• O 50.5 20% 2/10
• O 55.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs LAR

What LAR allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds135.1#22
• Receptions10.1#26
• Targets18.3#18
• Yds/Target7.4#22
• Rec TD1.3#3

WRs vs LAR · 2026

Each main WR who faced LAR this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-12.7

Avg diff %-18%

Beat their average36% (5/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	LV Tre Tucker	103	61.8	+67%
Oct 25	LV Cody White	4	18.0	-78%
Oct 18	ARI Michael Wilson	32	57.2	-44%
Oct 18	ARI Kendrick Bourne	47	37.4	+26%
Oct 12	BUF Keon Coleman	7	55.2	-87%
Oct 12	BUF Khalil Shakir	80	42.0	+90%
Oct 04	PHI Dontayvion Wicks	18	53.2	-66%
Oct 04	PHI Makai Lemon	27	27.8	-3%
Sep 27	DEN Jaylen Waddle	10	44.3	-77%
Sep 27	DEN Pat Bryant	44	29.7	+48%
Sep 21	NYG Malik Nabers	1	100.7	-99%
Sep 21	NYG Malachi Fields	30	36.3	-17%
Sep 10	SF Mike Evans	49	74.2	-34%
Sep 10	SF Deebo Samuel Sr.	48	39.5	+22%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAC offense

LAC offense: Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%14.4 yds	1%14.2 yds	8%7.0 yds
Short	26%5.9 yds	18%6.5 yds	39%4.3 yds

Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAR defense

LAR defense: Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%8.4 yds#25	6%13.4 yds#20	8%5.0 yds#31
Short	34%5.7 yds#14	16%5.7 yds#29	33%6.4 yds#5

Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	18%9.9 yds	8%13.7 yds	10%13.5 yds
Short	13%8.2 yds	16%6.7 yds	34%7.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LAC 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	KeAndre Lambert-Smith WR	1	9.0	9	25.0%
2	Tre Harris WR	5	5.0	25	18.0%
3	David Njoku TE	2	4.0	8	15.0%
4	Quentin Johnston WR	5	4.4	22	14.9%
5	Ladd McConkey WR	5	3.6	18	12.4%
6	Charlie Kolar TE	4	3.2	13	11.8%
7	Brenen Thompson WR	1	3.0	3	11.5%
8	Oronde Gadsden II TE	6	3.5	21	11.4%
9	Keaton Mitchell RB	6	2.5	15	9.0%
10	Kimani Vidal RB	5	2.4	12	7.9%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 45.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-18	6	@ KC	17	Under	42.5	8 (12%)
2026-10-04	4	@ SEA	0	Under	47.5	24 (34%)
2026-09-27	3	@ BUF	66	Over	60.5	61 (88%)
2026-09-20	2	vs LV	35	Under	45.5	31 (46%)
2026-09-13	1	vs ARI	82	Over	56.5	27 (49%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	@ NE	32	Under	30.5	53 (88%)
2025-12-27	17	vs HOU	31	Under	36.5	56 (89%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DAL	43	Under	43.5	48 (75%)
2025-12-14	15	@ KC	20	Under	20.5	49 (74%)
2025-12-08	14	vs PHI	12	Under	15.5	64 (86%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 43.5Underdog 49.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.