NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Rome Odunze WR

CHI vs SEA · Mon Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET

3.5 Receptions O +124U -166

Hit rate · All 37%14/38 Odds imply 41.7% Over

Season avg: 3.4
Graph avg: 3.3
Graph median: 3.00–7
Over the close: 43%9/21

2026 per game

Targets5.4▼-1.9

Rec3.4+0.0

Rec Yds54.4▲+0.9

Rec TD0.0▼-0.4

Snaps64.1▲+3.5

Snap %85.0%▼-0.9

3.5

2024

1

Sep 08
2

Sep 15
6

Sep 22
1

Sep 29
5

Oct 06
2

Oct 13
3

Oct 27
5

Nov 03
3

Nov 10
6

Nov 17
5

Nov 24
2

Nov 28
4

Dec 08
2

Dec 16
4

Dec 22
1

Dec 26
2

Jan 05
2025

6

Sep 08
7

Sep 14
3

Sep 21
4

Sep 28
2

Oct 13
2

Oct 19
7

Oct 26
0

Nov 02
6

Nov 09
2

Nov 16
3

Nov 23
2

Nov 28
2

Jan 10
2

Jan 18
2026

2

Sep 13
3

Sep 20
3

Sep 28
6

Oct 04
3

Oct 11
3

Oct 18
4

Oct 22
?

Nov 03

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

Home 40% 8/20 · avg 3.4
Away 33% 6/18 · avg 3.2
vs SEA 0% 0/1 · avg 1.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 1.5 90% 34/38
O 2.5 58% 22/38
O 3.5 Today 37% 14/38
O 4.5 26% 10/38
O 5.5 18% 7/38

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs SEA

What SEA allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds110.8#32
Receptions9.2#31
Targets16.7#26
Yds/Target6.6#30
Rec TD0.7#26

WRs vs SEA · 2026

Each main WR who faced SEA this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.9

Avg diff %-27%

Beat their average21% (3/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	Xavier Worthy	3	4.2	-29%
Oct 25	Jalen Royals	0	1.0	-100%
Oct 15	Jaylen Waddle	4	3.7	+9%
Oct 15	Courtland Sutton	2	2.3	-14%
Oct 11	Mike Evans	7	4.0	+75%
Oct 11	Deebo Samuel Sr.	2	3.5	-43%
Oct 04	Ladd McConkey	0	3.2	-100%
Oct 04	Tre Harris	3	3.0	+0%
Sep 27	Stefon Diggs	4	5.0	-20%
Sep 27	Antonio Williams	2	3.2	-38%
Sep 20	Michael Wilson	2	5.8	-66%
Sep 20	Kendrick Bourne	2	4.6	-57%
Sep 09	Mack Hollins	4	3.7	+9%
Sep 09	A.J. Brown	3	3.0	+0%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CHI offense

CHI offense: Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.0 yds	5%12.5 yds	9%6.8 yds
Short	22%5.8 yds	22%7.4 yds	36%6.1 yds

Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SEA defense

SEA defense: Throws SEA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%7.8 yds#26	2%16.8 yds#10	10%9.2 yds#23
Short	30%5.5 yds#19	17%5.2 yds#31	32%4.6 yds#32

Throws SEA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%12.0 yds	7%21.8 yds	21%12.4 yds
Short	12%4.0 yds	16%9.3 yds	30%3.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of CHI targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Luther Burden III WR	7	6.7	47	21.0%
2	Colston Loveland TE	7	6.0	42	18.9%
3	Rome Odunze WR	7	5.4	38	16.6%
4	Kalif Raymond WR	7	4.4	31	14.4%
5	D'Andre Swift RB	7	3.6	25	11.0%
6	Cole Kmet TE	7	2.0	14	6.5%
7	Roschon Johnson RB	5	2.0	10	5.4%
8	Kyle Monangai RB	4	1.2	5	4.4%
9	Sam Roush TE	5	1.0	5	3.2%
10	Zavion Thomas WR	6	0.8	5	2.4%

Game log · 38 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 3.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-22	7	vs NE	4	Over	3.5	65 (94%)
2026-10-18	6	@ ATL	3	Under	3.5	74 (96%)
2026-10-11	5	@ GB	3	Under	2.5	68 (99%)
2026-10-04	4	vs NYJ	6	Over	2.5	83 (89%)
2026-09-28	3	vs PHI	3	Under	2.5	61 (85%)
2026-09-20	2	vs MIN	3	Under	2.5	62 (84%)
2026-09-13	1	@ CAR	2	Under	3.5	36 (48%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs LA	2	Under	2.5	62 (77%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs GB	2	Under	2.5	54 (69%)
2025-11-28	13	@ PHI	2	Under	3.5	70 (80%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PIT	3	Under	3.5	51 (78%)
2025-11-16	11	@ MIN	2	Under	2.5	57 (76%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NYG	6	Over	5.5	53 (78%)
2025-11-02	9	@ CIN	0	Under	4.5	80 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	@ BAL	7	Over	4.5	59 (94%)
2025-10-19	7	vs NO	2	Under	3.5	65 (94%)
2025-10-13	6	@ WAS	2	Under	2.5	62 (97%)
2025-09-28	4	@ LV	4	Over	4.5	52 (76%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DAL	3	Under	4.5	53 (90%)
2025-09-14	2	@ DET	7	Over	5.5	68 (100%)
2025-09-08	1	vs MIN	6	Over	3.5	63 (94%)
2025-01-05	18	@ GB	2	Under	—	55 (89%)
2024-12-26	17	vs SEA	1	Under	—	56 (92%)
2024-12-22	16	vs DET	4	Over	—	53 (83%)
2024-12-16	15	@ MIN	2	Under	—	53 (79%)
2024-12-08	14	@ SF	4	Over	—	49 (92%)
2024-11-28	13	@ DET	2	Under	—	52 (78%)
2024-11-24	12	vs MIN	5	Over	—	66 (87%)
2024-11-17	11	vs GB	6	Over	—	59 (82%)
2024-11-10	10	vs NE	3	Under	—	41 (68%)
2024-11-03	9	@ ARI	5	Over	—	65 (88%)
2024-10-27	8	@ WAS	3	Under	—	47 (75%)
2024-10-13	6	vs JAX	2	Under	—	53 (80%)
2024-10-06	5	vs CAR	5	Over	—	60 (80%)
2024-09-29	4	vs LA	1	Under	—	47 (78%)
2024-09-22	3	@ IND	6	Over	—	89 (99%)
2024-09-15	2	@ HOU	2	Under	—	66 (94%)
2024-09-08	1	vs TEN	1	Under	—	43 (77%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: FanDuel, updated 7m ago.