NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Charlie Kolar TE

LAC vs LAR · Sun Nov 1 · 4:05 PM ET

2.5 Receptions O +126U -162

Hit rate · All 14%4/28 Odds imply 41.7% Over

Season avg: 2.2
Graph avg: 1.0
Graph median: 1.00–3
Over the close: 78%7/9

2026 per game

Targets3.2▲+2.1

Rec2.2▲+1.5

Rec Yds19.5▲+8.6

Rec TD0.0▼-0.2

Snaps42.0▲+18.1

Snap %64.8%▲+25.1

2.5

2024

1

Sep 15
1

Sep 22
0

Sep 29
3

Oct 06
0

Oct 13
1

Oct 21
1

Oct 27
1

Nov 07
0

Nov 17
1

Nov 25
0

Jan 19
2025

2

Sep 22
1

Oct 05
0

Oct 12
1

Oct 26
2

Oct 30
1

Nov 09
0

Nov 16
0

Nov 23
1

Nov 27
1

Dec 07
0

Dec 14
1

Dec 21
0

Dec 27
2026

0

Sep 13
3

Sep 20
3

Oct 11
3

Oct 18
?

Nov 01

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

Home 13% 2/15 · avg 1.0
Away 15% 2/13 · avg 1.0
vs LAR 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 64% 18/28
O 1.5 21% 6/28
O 2.5 Today 14% 4/28
O 3.5 0% 0/28
O 4.5 0% 0/28

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs LAR

What LAR allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds41.9#25
Receptions4.7#23
Targets8.0#12
Yds/Target5.2#32
Rec TD0.2#29

TEs vs LAR · 2026

Each main TE who faced LAR this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.9

Avg diff %-56%

Beat their average0% (0/7)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	Brock Bowers	6	7.0	-14%
Oct 18	Trey McBride	7	8.7	-19%
Oct 12	Dalton Kincaid	1	4.4	-77%
Oct 04	Johnny Mundt	0	1.0	-100%
Sep 27	Evan Engram	0	2.2	-100%
Sep 21	Isaiah Likely	5	6.0	-17%
Sep 10	George Kittle	2	5.3	-62%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAC offense

LAC offense: Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%14.4 yds	1%14.2 yds	8%7.0 yds
Short	26%5.9 yds	18%6.5 yds	39%4.3 yds

Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAR defense

LAR defense: Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%8.4 yds#25	6%13.4 yds#20	8%5.0 yds#31
Short	34%5.7 yds#14	16%5.7 yds#29	33%6.4 yds#5

Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	9%1.5 yds	46%11.9 yds	46%5.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	KeAndre Lambert-Smith WR	1	9.0	9	25.0%
2	Tre Harris WR	5	5.0	25	18.0%
3	David Njoku TE	2	4.0	8	15.0%
4	Quentin Johnston WR	5	4.4	22	14.9%
5	Ladd McConkey WR	5	3.6	18	12.4%
6	Charlie Kolar TE	4	3.2	13	11.8%
7	Brenen Thompson WR	1	3.0	3	11.5%
8	Oronde Gadsden II TE	6	3.5	21	11.4%
9	Keaton Mitchell RB	6	2.5	15	9.0%
10	Kimani Vidal RB	5	2.4	12	7.9%

Game log · 28 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-18	6	@ KC	3	Over	2.5	45 (66%)
2026-10-11	5	vs DEN	3	Over	0.5	51 (76%)
2026-09-20	2	vs LV	3	Over	0.5	42 (62%)
2026-09-13	1	vs ARI	0	Under	1.5	30 (55%)
2025-12-27	17	@ GB	0	Under	—	37 (49%)
2025-12-21	16	vs NE	1	Under	0.5	27 (49%)
2025-12-14	15	@ CIN	0	Under	—	21 (51%)
2025-12-07	14	vs PIT	1	Under	0.5	19 (24%)
2025-11-27	13	vs CIN	1	Under	0.5	10 (17%)
2025-11-23	12	vs NYJ	0	Under	—	20 (32%)
2025-11-16	11	@ CLE	0	Under	0.5	19 (31%)
2025-11-09	10	@ MIN	1	Under	—	30 (43%)
2025-10-30	9	@ MIA	2	Under	—	26 (46%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CHI	1	Under	—	25 (40%)
2025-10-12	6	vs LA	0	Under	—	28 (36%)
2025-10-05	5	vs HOU	1	Under	—	20 (47%)
2025-09-22	3	vs DET	2	Under	0.5	29 (51%)
2025-01-19	20 (P)	@ BUF	0	Under	—	12 (20%)
2024-11-25	12	@ LAC	1	Under	—	32 (49%)
2024-11-17	11	@ PIT	0	Under	—	9 (15%)
2024-11-07	10	vs CIN	1	Under	—	27 (43%)
2024-10-27	8	@ CLE	1	Under	—	10 (15%)
2024-10-21	7	@ TB	1	Under	—	21 (36%)
2024-10-13	6	vs WAS	0	Under	—	22 (32%)
2024-10-06	5	@ CIN	3	Over	—	21 (27%)
2024-09-29	4	vs BUF	0	Under	—	19 (33%)
2024-09-22	3	@ DAL	1	Under	—	26 (41%)
2024-09-15	2	vs LV	1	Under	—	14 (22%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 11m ago.