NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kimani Vidal RB

LAC vs LAR · Sun Nov 1 · 4:05 PM ET

1.5 Receptions O -105U -122

Hit rate · All 29%8/28 Odds imply 48.2% Over

Season avg: 1.4
Graph avg: 1.1
Graph median: 1.00–4
Over the close: 31%4/13

2026 per game

Carries4.2▼-7.7

Rush Yds21.8▼-26.3

Rush TD0.2-0.0

Targets2.4▲+0.6

Rec1.4▲+0.1

Rec Yds8.6▼-2.5

Snaps20.4▼-18.0

Snap %29.8%▼-27.4

1.5

2024

2

Oct 13
1

Oct 21
0

Oct 27
0

Nov 03
0

Dec 01
0

Dec 08
2

Dec 15
0

Dec 19
0

Dec 28
2025

0

Sep 28
1

Oct 05
3

Oct 12
4

Oct 19
1

Oct 23
0

Nov 02
1

Nov 09
2

Nov 16
1

Nov 30
1

Dec 08
1

Dec 14
0

Dec 21
1

Jan 04
2

Jan 11
2026

0

Sep 20
1

Sep 27
2

Oct 04
1

Oct 11
3

Oct 18
?

Nov 01

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

Home 18% 2/11 · avg 1.1
Away 35% 6/17 · avg 1.1
vs LAR No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 64% 18/28
O 1.5 Today 29% 8/28
O 2.5 11% 3/28
O 3.5 4% 1/28

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs LAR

What LAR allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds83.7#25
Yds/Carry3.6#29
Rush TD0.5#21
Targets6.5#7
Rec Yds44.6#2

RBs vs LAR · 2026

Each main RB who faced LAR this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.4

Avg diff %+2%

Beat their average57% (4/7)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	Ashton Jeanty	8	4.3	+85%
Oct 18	Tyler Allgeier	1	2.5	-60%
Oct 12	Ty Johnson	4	2.7	+50%
Oct 04	Saquon Barkley	1	1.2	-20%
Sep 27	RJ Harvey	6	3.8	+58%
Sep 21	Devin Singletary	0	2.7	-100%
Sep 10	Christian McCaffrey	5	4.8	+3%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LAC offense

LAC offense: Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%14.4 yds	1%14.2 yds	8%7.0 yds
Short	26%5.9 yds	18%6.5 yds	39%4.3 yds

Share of LAC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LAR defense

LAR defense: Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%8.4 yds#25	6%13.4 yds#20	8%5.0 yds#31
Short	34%5.7 yds#14	16%5.7 yds#29	33%6.4 yds#5

Throws LAR faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%0.0 yds	0%	9%0.0 yds
Short	39%11.1 yds	26%5.3 yds	22%2.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of LAC targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	KeAndre Lambert-Smith WR	1	9.0	9	25.0%
2	Tre Harris WR	5	5.0	25	18.0%
3	David Njoku TE	2	4.0	8	15.0%
4	Quentin Johnston WR	5	4.4	22	14.9%
5	Ladd McConkey WR	5	3.6	18	12.4%
6	Charlie Kolar TE	4	3.2	13	11.8%
7	Brenen Thompson WR	1	3.0	3	11.5%
8	Oronde Gadsden II TE	6	3.5	21	11.4%
9	Keaton Mitchell RB	6	2.5	15	9.0%
10	Kimani Vidal RB	5	2.4	12	7.9%

Game log · 28 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 1.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-18	6	@ KC	3	Over	1.5	25 (37%)
2026-10-11	5	vs DEN	1	Under	1.5	28 (42%)
2026-10-04	4	@ SEA	2	Over	—	25 (35%)
2026-09-27	3	@ BUF	1	Under	—	17 (25%)
2026-09-20	2	vs LV	0	Under	—	7 (10%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	@ NE	2	Over	0.5	56 (93%)
2026-01-04	18	@ DEN	1	Under	—	14 (20%)
2025-12-21	16	@ DAL	0	Under	1.5	21 (33%)
2025-12-14	15	@ KC	1	Under	1.5	42 (64%)
2025-12-08	14	vs PHI	1	Under	0.5	51 (69%)
2025-11-30	13	vs LV	1	Under	1.5	51 (76%)
2025-11-16	11	@ JAX	2	Over	1.5	25 (52%)
2025-11-09	10	vs PIT	1	Under	1.5	68 (93%)
2025-11-02	9	@ TEN	0	Under	0.5	47 (72%)
2025-10-23	8	vs MIN	1	Under	1.5	54 (74%)
2025-10-19	7	vs IND	4	Over	4.5	49 (64%)
2025-10-12	6	@ MIA	3	Over	3.5	43 (67%)
2025-10-05	5	vs WAS	1	Under	—	14 (21%)
2025-09-28	4	@ NYG	0	Under	—	2 (3%)
2024-12-28	17	@ NE	0	Under	—	9 (11%)
2024-12-19	16	vs DEN	0	Under	—	21 (32%)
2024-12-15	15	vs TB	2	Over	—	35 (67%)
2024-12-08	14	@ KC	0	Under	—	32 (53%)
2024-12-01	13	@ ATL	0	Under	—	12 (26%)
2024-11-03	9	@ CLE	0	Under	—	11 (19%)
2024-10-27	8	vs NO	0	Under	—	11 (17%)
2024-10-21	7	@ ARI	1	Under	—	18 (27%)
2024-10-13	6	@ DEN	2	Over	—	19 (24%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 1.5Underdog 1.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.