Game logs through Oct 26, 2026 · 162 players
Travis Kelce TE
KC vs DEN ·
4.5 Receptions
O -107U -120
- Season avg
- 4.0
- Graph avg
- 4.2
- Graph median
- 4.02–9
- Over the close
- 20%1/5
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 4.5
- Home 59% 13/22 · avg 5.4
- Away 35% 7/20 · avg 4.6
- vs DEN 75% 3/4 · avg 6.2
Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared
- O 2.5 60% 3/5
- O 3.5 60% 3/5
- O 4.5 Today 20% 1/5
- O 5.5 20% 1/5
- O 6.5 20% 1/5
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · TEs vs DEN
What DEN allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.
- Rec Yds61.9#10
- Receptions5.8#11
- Targets8.2#7
- Yds/Target7.5#12
- Rec TD0.5#14
TEs vs DEN · 2026
Each main TE who faced DEN this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 |
Trey McBride | 10 | 8.2 | +22% |
| Oct 15 |
AJ Barner | 3 | 2.7 | +13% |
| Oct 11 |
Oronde Gadsden II | 0 | 2.4 | -100% |
| Oct 04 |
George Kittle | 4 | 5.0 | -20% |
| Sep 27 |
Tyler Higbee | 8 | 3.6 | +122% |
| Sep 20 |
Brenton Strange | 2 | 4.8 | -58% |
| Sep 14 |
Travis Kelce | 3 | 4.2 | -29% |
Target zones
Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.
KC offense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 4%13.2 yds | 5%11.2 yds | 6%11.5 yds |
| Short | 28%5.5 yds | 15%6.5 yds | 41%5.7 yds |
Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att
DEN defense
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 8%4.2 yds#31 | 3%11.3 yds#27 | 7%6.7 yds#28 |
| Short | 27%6.7 yds#6 | 16%7.8 yds#11 | 39%4.7 yds#31 |
Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed
His targets
| Depth | Left | Middle | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep | 7%0.0 yds | 2%48.0 yds | 2%0.0 yds |
| Short | 25%7.7 yds | 23%7.6 yds | 42%7.9 yds |
Last 10 games · Yds/target
Target share · KC 2026
Each pass-catcher’s share of KC targets this season, with games and targets.
| # | Player | GP | Tgt/g | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rashee Rice WR | 3 | 5.7 | 17 | 20.4% |
| 2 | Xavier Worthy WR | 6 | 5.8 | 35 | 19.6% |
| 3 | Travis Kelce TE | 6 | 5.8 | 35 | 18.6% |
| 4 | Kenneth Walker III RB | 6 | 4.5 | 27 | 14.3% |
| 5 | Tyquan Thornton WR | 4 | 3.8 | 15 | 12.9% |
| 6 | Noah Gray TE | 6 | 2.3 | 14 | 8.4% |
| 7 | Andrew Armstrong WR | 2 | 2.0 | 4 | 6.6% |
| 8 | Jalen Royals WR | 6 | 1.8 | 11 | 6.1% |
| 9 | Emmett Johnson RB | 6 | 1.8 | 11 | 6.0% |
| 10 | Cyrus Allen WR | 4 | 1.5 | 6 | 5.2% |
Game log · 5 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Receptions | vs 4.5 | Close | Snaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | 7 | @ SEA | 4 | Under | 4.5 | 44 (83%) |
| 2026-10-18 | 6 | vs LAC | 4 | Under | 4.5 | 40 (66%) |
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | @ LV | 2 | Under | 4.5 | 50 (83%) |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | @ MIA | 2 | Under | 4.5 | 41 (79%) |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | vs IND | 9 | Over | 3.5 | 68 (85%) |
Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 4.5Underdog 4.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.
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