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Game logs through Oct 26, 2026 · 162 players

Travis Kelce TE

KC vs DEN ·

4.5 Receptions O -107U -120
Hit rate · All 48%20/42 Odds imply 48.7% Over
Season avg
4.0
Graph avg
5.0
Graph median
4.01–14
Over the close
22%5/23
2026 per game
Targets5.8â–¼-0.5
Rec4.0â–¼-0.5
Rec Yds57.2â–²+7.1
Rec TD0.3+0.0
Snaps48.7â–¼-4.4
Snap %77.8%â–¼-4.0
Under 4.5 in 4 straight
Travis Kelce receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
4.5
  1. 2024
    4
  2. 7
  3. 9
  4. 4
  5. 10
  6. 14
  7. 8
  8. 2
  9. 6
  10. 7
  11. 5
  12. 4
  13. 5
  14. 8
  15. 7
  16. 2
  17. 4
  18. 2025
    2
  19. 4
  20. 4
  21. 5
  22. 7
  23. 6
  24. 3
  25. 6
  26. 4
  27. 9
  28. 4
  29. 5
  30. 1
  31. 7
  32. 1
  33. 5
  34. 3
  35. 2026
    3
  36. 9
  37. 2
  38. 2
  39. 4
  40. 4
  41. ?

Showing the latest 40 of 42 games.

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 59% 13/22 · avg 5.4
  • Away 35% 7/20 · avg 4.6
  • vs DEN 75% 3/4 · avg 6.2

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 81% 34/42
  • O 3.5 71% 30/42
  • O 4.5 Today 48% 20/42
  • O 5.5 36% 15/42
  • O 6.5 29% 12/42

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · TEs vs DEN

What DEN allowed to TEs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds61.9#10
  • Receptions5.8#11
  • Targets8.2#7
  • Yds/Target7.5#12
  • Rec TD0.5#14

TEs vs DEN · 2026

Each main TE who faced DEN this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.1
Avg diff %-7%
Beat their average43% (3/7)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 25 Trey McBride108.2+22%
Oct 15 AJ Barner32.7+13%
Oct 11 Oronde Gadsden II02.4-100%
Oct 04 George Kittle45.0-20%
Sep 27 Tyler Higbee83.6+122%
Sep 20 Brenton Strange24.8-58%
Sep 14 Travis Kelce34.2-29%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

KC offense

KC offense: Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep4%13.2 yds5%11.2 yds6%11.5 yds
Short28%5.5 yds15%6.5 yds41%5.7 yds

Share of KC pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

DEN defense

DEN defense: Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%4.2 yds#313%11.3 yds#277%6.7 yds#28
Short27%6.7 yds#616%7.8 yds#1139%4.7 yds#31

Throws DEN faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%0.0 yds2%48.0 yds2%0.0 yds
Short25%7.7 yds23%7.6 yds42%7.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · KC 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of KC targets this season, with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Rashee Rice WR35.71720.4%
2Xavier Worthy WR65.83519.6%
3Travis Kelce TE65.83518.6%
4Kenneth Walker III RB64.52714.3%
5Tyquan Thornton WR43.81512.9%
6Noah Gray TE62.3148.4%
7Andrew Armstrong WR22.046.6%
8Jalen Royals WR61.8116.1%
9Emmett Johnson RB61.8116.0%
10Cyrus Allen WR41.565.2%

Game log · 42 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-257@ SEA4Under4.544 (83%)
2026-10-186vs LAC4Under4.540 (66%)
2026-10-044@ LV2Under4.550 (83%)
2026-09-273@ MIA2Under4.541 (79%)
2026-09-202vs IND9Over3.568 (85%)
2026-09-141vs DEN3Under4.549 (71%)
2026-01-0418@ LV3Under3.551 (80%)
2025-12-2517vs DEN5Over2.542 (98%)
2025-12-2116@ TEN1Under4.535 (78%)
2025-12-1415vs LAC7Over4.560 (98%)
2025-12-0714vs HOU1Under1.558 (91%)
2025-11-2713@ DAL5Over5.560 (91%)
2025-11-2312vs IND4Under4.584 (88%)
2025-11-1611@ DEN9Over9.555 (79%)
2025-11-029@ BUF4Under4.555 (92%)
2025-10-278vs WAS6Over6.558 (84%)
2025-10-197vs LV3Under3.550 (62%)
2025-10-126vs DET6Over4.545 (70%)
2025-10-065@ JAX7Over5.551 (80%)
2025-09-284vs BAL5Over5.548 (66%)
2025-09-213@ NYG4Under5.553 (74%)
2025-09-142vs PHI4Under4.546 (77%)
2025-09-051@ LAC2Under5.551 (84%)
2025-02-0922 (P)@ PHI4Under—53 (95%)
2025-01-2621 (P)vs BUF2Under—61 (92%)
2025-01-1820 (P)vs HOU7Over—39 (76%)
2024-12-2517@ PIT8Over—55 (89%)
2024-12-2116vs HOU5Over—65 (88%)
2024-12-1515@ CLE4Under—67 (89%)
2024-12-0814vs LAC5Over—57 (83%)
2024-11-2913vs LV7Over—64 (90%)
2024-11-2412@ CAR6Over—66 (89%)
2024-11-1711@ BUF2Under—44 (80%)
2024-11-1010vs DEN8Over—57 (84%)
2024-11-049vs TB14Over—71 (84%)
2024-10-278@ LV10Over—57 (79%)
2024-10-207@ SF4Under—54 (77%)
2024-10-075vs NO9Over—65 (77%)
2024-09-294@ LAC7Over—54 (87%)
2024-09-223@ ATL4Under—57 (77%)
2024-09-152vs CIN1Under—59 (91%)
2024-09-051vs BAL3Under—48 (89%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 4.5Underdog 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 10m ago.