NFL Prop Research

LBI

Luther Burden III WR

CHI vs SEA · Mon Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET

4.5 Receptions O +116U -148

BookCaesars · 4.5ESPN BET · 4.5Fanatics · 4.5BetMGM · 4.5FanDuel · 4.5DraftKings · 4.5Bally Bet · 4.5

Hit rate · Last 10 30%3/10 Odds imply 43.7% Over

Season avg

5.0

Graph avg

4.4

Graph median

4.03–8

Over the close

40%4/10

2026 per game

Targets6.7▲+2.4

Rec5.0▲+1.9

Rec Yds70.1▲+27.9

Rec TD0.3▲+0.2

Snaps45.4▲+16.4

Snap %60.6%▲+18.7

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

• Home 15% 2/13 · avg 3.4
• Away 27% 3/11 · avg 4.0
• vs SEA No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 2.5 100% 10/10
• O 3.5 60% 6/10
• O 4.5 Today 30% 3/10
• O 5.5 20% 2/10
• O 6.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs SEA

What SEA allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rec Yds110.8#32
• Receptions9.2#31
• Targets16.7#26
• Yds/Target6.6#30
• Rec TD0.7#26

WRs vs SEA · 2026

Each main WR who faced SEA this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.9

Avg diff %-27%

Beat their average21% (3/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	KC Xavier Worthy	3	4.2	-29%
Oct 25	KC Jalen Royals	0	1.0	-100%
Oct 15	DEN Jaylen Waddle	4	3.7	+9%
Oct 15	DEN Courtland Sutton	2	2.3	-14%
Oct 11	SF Mike Evans	7	4.0	+75%
Oct 11	SF Deebo Samuel Sr.	2	3.5	-43%
Oct 04	LAC Ladd McConkey	0	3.2	-100%
Oct 04	LAC Tre Harris	3	3.0	+0%
Sep 27	WAS Stefon Diggs	4	5.0	-20%
Sep 27	WAS Antonio Williams	2	3.2	-38%
Sep 20	ARI Michael Wilson	2	5.8	-66%
Sep 20	ARI Kendrick Bourne	2	4.6	-57%
Sep 09	NE Mack Hollins	4	3.7	+9%
Sep 09	NE A.J. Brown	3	3.0	+0%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CHI offense

CHI offense: Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.0 yds	5%12.5 yds	9%6.8 yds
Short	22%5.8 yds	22%7.4 yds	36%6.1 yds

Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SEA defense

SEA defense: Throws SEA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%7.8 yds#26	2%16.8 yds#10	10%9.2 yds#23
Short	30%5.5 yds#19	17%5.2 yds#31	32%4.6 yds#32

Throws SEA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%20.5 yds	9%14.2 yds	9%7.3 yds
Short	25%6.0 yds	23%7.3 yds	28%9.7 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · CHI 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of CHI targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Luther Burden III WR	7	6.7	47	21.0%
2	Colston Loveland TE	7	6.0	42	18.9%
3	Rome Odunze WR	7	5.4	38	16.6%
4	Kalif Raymond WR	7	4.4	31	14.4%
5	D'Andre Swift RB	7	3.6	25	11.0%
6	Cole Kmet TE	7	2.0	14	6.5%
7	Roschon Johnson RB	5	2.0	10	5.4%
8	Kyle Monangai RB	4	1.2	5	4.4%
9	Sam Roush TE	5	1.0	5	3.2%
10	Zavion Thomas WR	6	0.8	5	2.4%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 4.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-22	7	vs NE	4	Under	4.5	42 (61%)
2026-10-18	6	@ ATL	8	Over	4.5	30 (39%)
2026-10-11	5	@ GB	4	Under	4.5	53 (77%)
2026-10-04	4	vs NYJ	4	Under	4.5	52 (56%)
2026-09-28	3	vs PHI	7	Over	3.5	44 (61%)
2026-09-20	2	vs MIN	3	Under	4.5	42 (57%)
2026-09-13	1	@ CAR	5	Over	4.5	55 (73%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs LA	3	Under	2.5	43 (53%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs GB	3	Under	3.5	49 (63%)
2026-01-04	18	vs DET	3	Under	4.5	34 (62%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.