NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Kalif Raymond WR

CHI vs SEA · Mon Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET

2.5 Receptions O +112U -143

Hit rate · All 34%12/35 Odds imply 44.5% Over

Season avg: 3.7
Graph avg: 2.0
Graph median: 2.00–8
Over the close: 37%7/19

2026 per game

Targets4.4▲+2.4

Rec3.7▲+2.1

Rec Yds34.9▲+15.6

Rec TD0.1▲+0.1

Snaps46.1▲+22.3

Snap %61.9%▲+25.3

2.5

2024

0

Sep 08
3

Sep 15
0

Sep 22
1

Sep 30
4

Oct 13
3

Oct 20
2

Oct 27
1

Nov 03
0

Nov 10
2

Nov 17
0

Nov 24
1

Jan 05
3

Jan 18
2025

2

Sep 07
1

Sep 14
1

Sep 22
2

Sep 28
0

Oct 05
0

Oct 12
3

Oct 20
0

Nov 02
4

Nov 09
0

Nov 16
2

Nov 23
1

Dec 14
4

Dec 21
1

Dec 25
3

Jan 04
2026

8

Sep 13
5

Sep 20
6

Sep 28
2

Oct 04
3

Oct 11
2

Oct 18
0

Oct 22
?

Nov 03

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

Home 35% 6/17 · avg 2.2
Away 33% 6/18 · avg 1.8
vs SEA 0% 0/1 · avg 1.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 0.5 74% 26/35
O 1.5 54% 19/35
O 2.5 Today 34% 12/35
O 3.5 17% 6/35
O 4.5 9% 3/35

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs SEA

What SEA allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds110.8#32
Receptions9.2#31
Targets16.7#26
Yds/Target6.6#30
Rec TD0.7#26

WRs vs SEA · 2026

Each main WR who faced SEA this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.9

Avg diff %-27%

Beat their average21% (3/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	Xavier Worthy	3	4.2	-29%
Oct 25	Jalen Royals	0	1.0	-100%
Oct 15	Jaylen Waddle	4	3.7	+9%
Oct 15	Courtland Sutton	2	2.3	-14%
Oct 11	Mike Evans	7	4.0	+75%
Oct 11	Deebo Samuel Sr.	2	3.5	-43%
Oct 04	Ladd McConkey	0	3.2	-100%
Oct 04	Tre Harris	3	3.0	+0%
Sep 27	Stefon Diggs	4	5.0	-20%
Sep 27	Antonio Williams	2	3.2	-38%
Sep 20	Michael Wilson	2	5.8	-66%
Sep 20	Kendrick Bourne	2	4.6	-57%
Sep 09	Mack Hollins	4	3.7	+9%
Sep 09	A.J. Brown	3	3.0	+0%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CHI offense

CHI offense: Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.0 yds	5%12.5 yds	9%6.8 yds
Short	22%5.8 yds	22%7.4 yds	36%6.1 yds

Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SEA defense

SEA defense: Throws SEA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%7.8 yds#26	2%16.8 yds#10	10%9.2 yds#23
Short	30%5.5 yds#19	17%5.2 yds#31	32%4.6 yds#32

Throws SEA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	2%28.0 yds	0%	2%0.0 yds
Short	27%5.7 yds	24%14.8 yds	44%6.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of CHI targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Luther Burden III WR	7	6.7	47	21.0%
2	Colston Loveland TE	7	6.0	42	18.9%
3	Rome Odunze WR	7	5.4	38	16.6%
4	Kalif Raymond WR	7	4.4	31	14.4%
5	D'Andre Swift RB	7	3.6	25	11.0%
6	Cole Kmet TE	7	2.0	14	6.5%
7	Roschon Johnson RB	5	2.0	10	5.4%
8	Kyle Monangai RB	4	1.2	5	4.4%
9	Sam Roush TE	5	1.0	5	3.2%
10	Zavion Thomas WR	6	0.8	5	2.4%

Game log · 35 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Receptions	vs 2.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-22	7	vs NE	0	Under	2.5	48 (70%)
2026-10-18	6	@ ATL	2	Under	2.5	36 (47%)
2026-10-11	5	@ GB	3	Over	3.5	47 (68%)
2026-10-04	4	vs NYJ	2	Under	3.5	47 (51%)
2026-09-28	3	vs PHI	6	Over	2.5	54 (75%)
2026-09-20	2	vs MIN	5	Over	2.5	46 (62%)
2026-09-13	1	@ CAR	8	Over	1.5	45 (60%)
2026-01-04	18	@ CHI	3	Over	—	14 (19%)
2025-12-25	17	@ MIN	1	Under	1.5	6 (9%)
2025-12-21	16	vs PIT	4	Over	0.5	19 (26%)
2025-12-14	15	@ LA	1	Under	—	11 (17%)
2025-11-23	12	vs NYG	2	Under	1.5	27 (40%)
2025-11-16	11	@ PHI	0	Under	0.5	38 (64%)
2025-11-09	10	@ WAS	4	Over	0.5	38 (54%)
2025-11-02	9	vs MIN	0	Under	0.5	29 (45%)
2025-10-20	7	vs TB	3	Over	0.5	30 (44%)
2025-10-12	6	@ KC	0	Under	1.5	2 (4%)
2025-10-05	5	@ CIN	0	Under	0.5	2 (3%)
2025-09-28	4	vs CLE	2	Under	2.5	33 (55%)
2025-09-22	3	@ BAL	1	Under	1.5	33 (49%)
2025-09-14	2	vs CHI	1	Under	1.5	32 (54%)
2025-09-07	1	@ GB	2	Under	—	44 (66%)
2025-01-18	20 (P)	vs WAS	3	Over	—	29 (42%)
2025-01-05	18	vs MIN	1	Under	—	4 (6%)
2024-11-24	12	@ IND	0	Under	—	10 (14%)
2024-11-17	11	vs JAX	2	Under	—	25 (32%)
2024-11-10	10	@ HOU	0	Under	—	16 (25%)
2024-11-03	9	@ GB	1	Under	—	22 (39%)
2024-10-27	8	vs TEN	2	Under	—	15 (31%)
2024-10-20	7	@ MIN	3	Over	—	16 (28%)
2024-10-13	6	@ DAL	4	Over	—	24 (35%)
2024-09-30	4	vs SEA	1	Under	—	6 (11%)
2024-09-22	3	@ ARI	0	Under	—	5 (7%)
2024-09-15	2	vs TB	3	Over	—	31 (36%)
2024-09-08	1	vs LA	0	Under	—	37 (61%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.