NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 26, 2026 · 162 players

Jalen Nailor WR

LV vs NYJ ·

1.5 Receptions O -146U +114
Hit rate · All 45%17/38 Odds imply 55.9% Over
Season avg
1.6
Graph avg
1.8
Graph median
1.00–5
Over the close
33%7/21
2026 per game
Targets4.0â–²+0.9
Rec1.6â–¼-0.1
Rec Yds15.0â–¼-11.1
Rec TD0.0â–¼-0.2
Snaps42.4â–²+4.0
Snap %63.2%â–¼-2.2
Jalen Nailor receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
1.5
  1. 2024
    1
  2. 3
  3. 3
  4. 1
  5. 4
  6. 2
  7. 1
  8. 1
  9. 0
  10. 1
  11. 1
  12. 1
  13. 1
  14. 5
  15. 3
  16. 3
  17. 2025
    1
  18. 3
  19. 3
  20. 1
  21. 3
  22. 2
  23. 0
  24. 1
  25. 5
  26. 1
  27. 0
  28. 0
  29. 3
  30. 3
  31. 0
  32. 0
  33. 3
  34. 2026
    3
  35. 1
  36. 1
  37. 1
  38. 2
  39. ?

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 67% 12/18 · avg 2.4
  • Away 25% 5/20 · avg 1.2
  • vs NYJ No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 84% 32/38
  • O 1.5 Today 45% 17/38
  • O 2.5 37% 14/38
  • O 3.5 8% 3/38

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs NYJ

What NYJ allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsTargetsYds/TargetRec TD
  • Rec Yds139.0#16
  • Receptions11.1#17
  • Targets17.6#21
  • Yds/Target7.9#16
  • Rec TD1.3#4

WRs vs NYJ · 2026

Each main WR who faced NYJ this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.9
Avg diff %-11%
Beat their average29% (4/14)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 25 Malik Washington34.6-35%
Oct 25 Caleb Douglas23.5-43%
Oct 18 A.J. Brown33.0+0%
Oct 18 DeMario Douglas72.7+163%
Oct 11 KC Concepcion14.8-79%
Oct 11 Denzel Boston32.8+6%
Oct 04 Luther Burden III45.2-23%
Oct 04 Kalif Raymond24.0-50%
Sep 27 Amon-Ra St. Brown48.4-52%
Sep 27 Jameson Williams43.8+5%
Sep 20 Matthew Golden45.3-25%
Sep 20 Christian Watson45.0-20%
Sep 13 Carnell Tate45.0-20%
Sep 13 Wan'Dale Robinson54.0+25%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

LV offense

LV offense: Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%15.9 yds4%10.1 yds6%4.3 yds
Short31%5.6 yds21%6.8 yds30%6.8 yds

Share of LV pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

NYJ defense

NYJ defense: Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep7%9.7 yds#204%15.4 yds#157%13.4 yds#7
Short31%5.5 yds#2119%7.5 yds#1532%6.1 yds#8

Throws NYJ faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep3%20.0 yds6%0.0 yds26%5.4 yds
Short18%3.3 yds18%10.0 yds29%5.2 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · LV 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of LV targets this season, with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1Brock Bowers TE510.25127.1%
2Tre Tucker WR76.74718.2%
3Ashton Jeanty RB76.34417.5%
4Michael Mayer TE75.33714.5%
5Jalen Nailor WR54.02011.9%
6Jack Bech WR23.0610.3%
7Cody White WR72.7197.4%
8Malik Benson WR71.393.9%
9Ian Thomas TE41.253.2%
10Deven Thompkins WR11.012.8%

Game log · 38 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 1.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-257vs LA2Over1.551 (75%)
2026-10-186vs BUF1Under2.542 (64%)
2026-09-273@ NO1Under2.540 (57%)
2026-09-202@ LAC1Under2.538 (60%)
2026-09-131vs MIA3Over3.541 (60%)
2026-01-0418vs GB3Over3.550 (75%)
2025-12-2517vs DET0Under1.523 (43%)
2025-12-2116@ NYG0Under0.538 (62%)
2025-12-1415@ DAL3Over2.528 (51%)
2025-12-0714vs WAS3Over3.537 (58%)
2025-11-3013@ SEA0Under1.536 (69%)
2025-11-2312@ GB0Under—20 (45%)
2025-11-1611vs CHI1Under0.533 (60%)
2025-11-0910vs BAL5Over2.544 (68%)
2025-11-029@ DET1Under1.533 (53%)
2025-10-238@ LAC0Under0.534 (69%)
2025-10-197vs PHI2Over1.541 (59%)
2025-10-055@ CLE3Over1.542 (65%)
2025-09-284@ PIT1Under1.548 (63%)
2025-09-213vs CIN3Over1.550 (83%)
2025-09-142vs ATL3Over3.547 (100%)
2025-09-081@ CHI1Under1.549 (88%)
2025-01-1319 (P)@ LA3Over—53 (72%)
2025-01-0518@ DET3Over—32 (49%)
2024-12-2917vs GB5Over—38 (53%)
2024-12-2216@ SEA1Under—35 (53%)
2024-12-1615vs CHI1Under—41 (53%)
2024-12-0113vs ARI1Under—31 (58%)
2024-11-2412@ CHI1Under—28 (39%)
2024-11-1711@ TEN0Under—32 (44%)
2024-11-1010@ JAX1Under—42 (50%)
2024-11-039vs IND1Under—20 (27%)
2024-10-248@ LA2Over—21 (42%)
2024-10-207vs DET4Over—44 (73%)
2024-09-294@ GB1Under—14 (21%)
2024-09-223vs HOU3Over—54 (86%)
2024-09-152vs SF3Over—50 (93%)
2024-09-081@ NYG1Under—26 (47%)

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 7m ago.