NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Rome Odunze WR

CHI vs SEA · Mon Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET

42.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · All 45%17/38 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 54.4
Graph avg: 49.1
Graph median: 41.00–128
Over the close: 52%11/21

2026 per game

Targets5.4▼-1.9

Rec3.4+0.0

Rec Yds54.4▲+0.9

Rec TD0.0▼-0.4

Snaps64.1▲+3.5

Snap %85.0%▼-0.9

42.5

2024

11

Sep 08
33

Sep 15
112

Sep 22
10

Sep 29
40

Oct 06
40

Oct 13
41

Oct 27
104

Nov 03
23

Nov 10
65

Nov 17
39

Nov 24
25

Nov 28
42

Dec 08
39

Dec 16
77

Dec 22
15

Dec 26
18

Jan 05
2025

37

Sep 08
128

Sep 14
62

Sep 21
69

Sep 28
32

Oct 13
31

Oct 19
114

Oct 26
0

Nov 02
86

Nov 09
41

Nov 16
53

Nov 23
8

Nov 28
44

Jan 10
44

Jan 18
2026

52

Sep 13
43

Sep 20
44

Sep 28
94

Oct 04
40

Oct 11
39

Oct 18
69

Oct 22
?

Nov 03

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 42.5

Home 55% 11/20 · avg 46.4
Away 33% 6/18 · avg 52.1
vs SEA 0% 0/1 · avg 15.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 32.5 74% 28/38
O 37.5 68% 26/38
O 42.5 Today 45% 17/38
O 47.5 34% 13/38
O 52.5 32% 12/38

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs SEA

What SEA allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds110.8#32
Receptions9.2#31
Targets16.7#26
Yds/Target6.6#30
Rec TD0.7#26

WRs vs SEA · 2026

Each main WR who faced SEA this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-10.9

Avg diff %-17%

Beat their average29% (4/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	Xavier Worthy	11	41.2	-73%
Oct 25	Cyrus Allen	18	9.0	+100%
Oct 15	Jaylen Waddle	24	42.0	-43%
Oct 15	Courtland Sutton	19	24.8	-23%
Oct 11	Mike Evans	113	61.4	+84%
Oct 11	Deebo Samuel Sr.	21	46.2	-55%
Oct 04	Ladd McConkey	0	50.0	-100%
Oct 04	Tre Harris	60	41.2	+45%
Sep 27	Stefon Diggs	33	45.2	-27%
Sep 27	Terry McLaurin	77	38.2	+101%
Sep 20	Michael Wilson	18	59.5	-70%
Sep 20	Kendrick Bourne	11	44.6	-75%
Sep 09	Mack Hollins	51	52.7	-3%
Sep 09	Romeo Doubs	0	52.2	-100%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

CHI offense

CHI offense: Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%14.0 yds	5%12.5 yds	9%6.8 yds
Short	22%5.8 yds	22%7.4 yds	36%6.1 yds

Share of CHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

SEA defense

SEA defense: Throws SEA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%7.8 yds#26	2%16.8 yds#10	10%9.2 yds#23
Short	30%5.5 yds#19	17%5.2 yds#31	32%4.6 yds#32

Throws SEA faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	12%12.0 yds	7%21.8 yds	21%12.4 yds
Short	12%4.0 yds	16%9.3 yds	30%3.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of CHI targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Luther Burden III WR	7	6.7	47	21.0%
2	Colston Loveland TE	7	6.0	42	18.9%
3	Rome Odunze WR	7	5.4	38	16.6%
4	Kalif Raymond WR	7	4.4	31	14.4%
5	D'Andre Swift RB	7	3.6	25	11.0%
6	Cole Kmet TE	7	2.0	14	6.5%
7	Roschon Johnson RB	5	2.0	10	5.4%
8	Kyle Monangai RB	4	1.2	5	4.4%
9	Sam Roush TE	5	1.0	5	3.2%
10	Zavion Thomas WR	6	0.8	5	2.4%

Game log · 38 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 42.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-22	7	vs NE	69	Over	44.5	65 (94%)
2026-10-18	6	@ ATL	39	Under	43.5	74 (96%)
2026-10-11	5	@ GB	40	Under	39.5	68 (99%)
2026-10-04	4	vs NYJ	94	Over	32.5	83 (89%)
2026-09-28	3	vs PHI	44	Over	26.5	61 (85%)
2026-09-20	2	vs MIN	43	Over	39.5	62 (84%)
2026-09-13	1	@ CAR	52	Over	39.5	36 (48%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs LA	44	Over	34.5	62 (77%)
2026-01-10	19 (P)	vs GB	44	Over	44.5	54 (69%)
2025-11-28	13	@ PHI	8	Under	8.5	70 (80%)
2025-11-23	12	vs PIT	53	Over	55.5	51 (78%)
2025-11-16	11	@ MIN	41	Under	45.5	57 (76%)
2025-11-09	10	vs NYG	86	Over	53.5	53 (78%)
2025-11-02	9	@ CIN	0	Under	63.5	80 (100%)
2025-10-26	8	@ BAL	114	Over	55.5	59 (94%)
2025-10-19	7	vs NO	31	Under	35.5	65 (94%)
2025-10-13	6	@ WAS	32	Under	40.5	62 (97%)
2025-09-28	4	@ LV	69	Over	65.5	52 (76%)
2025-09-21	3	vs DAL	62	Over	62.5	53 (90%)
2025-09-14	2	@ DET	128	Over	140.5	68 (100%)
2025-09-08	1	vs MIN	37	Under	30.5	63 (94%)
2025-01-05	18	@ GB	18	Under	—	55 (89%)
2024-12-26	17	vs SEA	15	Under	—	56 (92%)
2024-12-22	16	vs DET	77	Over	—	53 (83%)
2024-12-16	15	@ MIN	39	Under	—	53 (79%)
2024-12-08	14	@ SF	42	Under	—	49 (92%)
2024-11-28	13	@ DET	25	Under	—	52 (78%)
2024-11-24	12	vs MIN	39	Under	—	66 (87%)
2024-11-17	11	vs GB	65	Over	—	59 (82%)
2024-11-10	10	vs NE	23	Under	—	41 (68%)
2024-11-03	9	@ ARI	104	Over	—	65 (88%)
2024-10-27	8	@ WAS	41	Under	—	47 (75%)
2024-10-13	6	vs JAX	40	Under	—	53 (80%)
2024-10-06	5	vs CAR	40	Under	—	60 (80%)
2024-09-29	4	vs LA	10	Under	—	47 (78%)
2024-09-22	3	@ IND	112	Over	—	89 (99%)
2024-09-15	2	@ HOU	33	Under	—	66 (94%)
2024-09-08	1	vs TEN	11	Under	—	43 (77%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 39.5PrizePicks 42.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: FanDuel, updated 9m ago.