NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Stefon Diggs WR

WAS vs PHI · Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET

42.5 Rec Yds O -114U -114

Hit rate · All 50%17/34 Odds imply 50.0% Over

Season avg: 42.8
Graph avg: 53.9
Graph median: 41.514–146
Over the close: 30%6/20

2026 per game

Targets7.6▲+1.8

Rec4.8▲+0.1

Rec Yds42.8▼-10.7

Rec TD0.8▲+0.6

Snaps40.8▲+5.7

Snap %60.0%▲+5.7

42.5

2024

33

Sep 08
37

Sep 15
94

Sep 22
69

Sep 29
82

Oct 06
77

Oct 13
23

Oct 20
81

Oct 27
2025

57

Sep 07
32

Sep 14
23

Sep 21
101

Sep 28
146

Oct 05
28

Oct 12
69

Oct 19
14

Oct 26
38

Nov 02
46

Nov 09
105

Nov 13
20

Nov 23
26

Dec 01
26

Dec 14
138

Dec 21
101

Dec 28
43

Jan 04
16

Jan 11
40

Jan 18
17

Jan 25
37

Feb 08
2026

55

Sep 13
47

Sep 20
33

Sep 27
35

Oct 04
44

Oct 19
?

Nov 02

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 42.5

Home 39% 7/18 · avg 47.9
Away 62% 10/16 · avg 60.6
vs PHI 100% 1/1 · avg 55.0

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 32.5 71% 24/34
O 37.5 56% 19/34
O 42.5 Today 50% 17/34
O 47.5 38% 13/34
O 52.5 38% 13/34

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · WRs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to WRs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rec Yds171.7#6
Receptions11.9#11
Targets19.7#9
Yds/Target8.7#8
Rec TD1.0#6

WRs vs PHI · 2026

Each main WR who faced PHI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-5.3

Avg diff %-8%

Beat their average36% (5/14)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 26	CeeDee Lamb	74	96.2	-23%
Oct 26	George Pickens	57	71.3	-20%
Oct 18	Tetairoa McMillan	86	85.0	+1%
Oct 18	Jalen Coker	97	57.8	+68%
Oct 11	Parker Washington	124	58.4	+112%
Oct 11	Jakobi Meyers	37	49.6	-25%
Oct 04	Puka Nacua	125	90.0	+39%
Oct 04	Davante Adams	32	89.6	-64%
Sep 28	Luther Burden III	61	71.7	-15%
Sep 28	Rome Odunze	44	56.2	-22%
Sep 20	Carnell Tate	27	64.3	-58%
Sep 20	Wan'Dale Robinson	9	32.7	-72%
Sep 13	Terry McLaurin	14	54.0	-74%
Sep 13	Stefon Diggs	55	39.8	+38%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%11.8 yds	4%16.3 yds	11%5.7 yds
Short	27%6.0 yds	15%6.5 yds	35%5.9 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%8.6 yds#22	4%17.6 yds#8	9%13.4 yds#8
Short	32%6.1 yds#10	19%7.1 yds#18	32%5.4 yds#16

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	2%0.0 yds	3%13.0 yds	10%9.0 yds
Short	33%4.7 yds	26%5.5 yds	26%6.6 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	5	7.6	38	23.4%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	5	5.4	27	18.1%
3	Chig Okonkwo TE	4	5.0	20	16.9%
4	Antonio Williams WR	6	4.3	26	13.8%
5	Treylon Burks WR	5	3.4	17	11.4%
6	Rachaad White RB	5	3.0	15	9.3%
7	Dyami Brown WR	6	2.7	16	8.4%
8	John Bates TE	4	1.5	6	5.2%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	3	1.7	5	5.2%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	5	1.4	7	4.2%

Game log · 34 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 42.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-19	6	@ SF	44	Over	38.5	41 (61%)
2026-10-04	4	vs IND	35	Under	56.5	42 (66%)
2026-09-27	3	vs SEA	33	Under	35.5	41 (59%)
2026-09-20	2	@ DAL	47	Over	49.5	36 (51%)
2026-09-13	1	@ PHI	55	Over	42.5	44 (63%)
2026-02-08	22 (P)	vs SEA	37	Under	45.5	45 (63%)
2026-01-25	21 (P)	@ DEN	17	Under	44.5	30 (47%)
2026-01-18	20 (P)	vs HOU	40	Under	46.5	36 (55%)
2026-01-11	19 (P)	vs LAC	16	Under	16.5	40 (62%)
2026-01-04	18	vs MIA	43	Over	31.5	27 (46%)
2025-12-28	17	@ NYJ	101	Over	66.5	34 (52%)
2025-12-21	16	@ BAL	138	Over	115.5	44 (59%)
2025-12-14	15	vs BUF	26	Under	50.5	26 (50%)
2025-12-01	13	vs NYG	26	Under	26.5	31 (48%)
2025-11-23	12	@ CIN	20	Under	62.5	34 (48%)
2025-11-13	11	vs NYJ	105	Over	105.5	46 (69%)
2025-11-09	10	@ TB	46	Over	46.5	36 (59%)
2025-11-02	9	vs ATL	38	Under	38.5	41 (60%)
2025-10-26	8	vs CLE	14	Under	15.5	35 (51%)
2025-10-19	7	@ TEN	69	Over	51.5	35 (54%)
2025-10-12	6	@ NO	28	Under	—	38 (59%)
2025-10-05	5	@ BUF	146	Over	—	30 (50%)
2025-09-28	4	vs CAR	101	Over	—	31 (63%)
2025-09-21	3	vs PIT	23	Under	—	39 (53%)
2025-09-14	2	@ MIA	32	Under	—	31 (52%)
2025-09-07	1	vs LV	57	Over	—	29 (41%)
2024-10-27	8	vs IND	81	Over	—	38 (54%)
2024-10-20	7	@ GB	23	Under	—	52 (81%)
2024-10-13	6	@ NE	77	Over	—	52 (79%)
2024-10-06	5	vs BUF	82	Over	—	59 (87%)
2024-09-29	4	vs JAX	69	Over	—	62 (83%)
2024-09-22	3	@ MIN	94	Over	—	57 (85%)
2024-09-15	2	vs CHI	37	Under	—	50 (81%)
2024-09-08	1	@ IND	33	Under	—	61 (77%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 39.5PrizePicks 42.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: FanDuel, updated 15m ago.