NFL Prop Research

JM

Jeremy McNichols RB

WAS vs PHI · Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET

4.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 10 50%5/10 Odds imply —

Season avg

0.0

Graph avg

6.7

Graph median

6.00–16

Over the close

29%2/7

2026 per game

Carries5.0▲+2.2

Rush Yds13.0▼-0.8

Rush TD0.0▼-0.1

Targets0.0▼-1.9

Rec0.0▼-1.6

Rec Yds0.0▼-12.2

Snaps12.0▼-8.1

Snap %18.0%▼-14.5

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

• Home 31% 5/16 · avg 4.7
• Away 37% 7/19 · avg 7.8
• vs PHI 60% 3/5 · avg 6.6

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

• O 4.5 Today 50% 5/10
• O 9.5 30% 3/10
• O 14.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs PHI

What PHI allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

• Rush Yds105.5#9
• Yds/Carry4.0#20
• Rush TD0.6#17
• Targets5.5#16
• Rec Yds32.6#15

RBs vs PHI · 2026

Each main RB who faced PHI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.7

Avg diff %+2%

Beat their average43% (3/7)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 26	DAL Javonte Williams	0	17.2	-100%
Oct 18	CAR Chuba Hubbard	1	22.2	-95%
Oct 11	JAX Bhayshul Tuten	24	20.4	+18%
Oct 04	LA Kyren Williams	67	28.7	+134%
Sep 28	CHI D'Andre Swift	4	24.7	-84%
Sep 20	TEN Tyjae Spears	29	9.2	+215%
Sep 13	WAS Rachaad White	5	19.5	-74%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

WAS offense

WAS offense: Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	8%11.8 yds	4%16.3 yds	11%5.7 yds
Short	27%6.0 yds	15%6.5 yds	35%5.9 yds

Share of WAS pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

PHI defense

PHI defense: Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%8.6 yds#22	4%17.6 yds#8	9%13.4 yds#8
Short	32%6.1 yds#10	19%7.1 yds#18	32%5.4 yds#16

Throws PHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games

Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	35%8.0 yds	9%6.5 yds	56%5.9 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Target share · WAS 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of WAS targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Stefon Diggs WR	5	7.6	38	23.4%
2	Terry McLaurin WR	5	5.4	27	18.1%
3	Chig Okonkwo TE	4	5.0	20	16.9%
4	Antonio Williams WR	6	4.3	26	13.8%
5	Treylon Burks WR	5	3.4	17	11.4%
6	Rachaad White RB	5	3.0	15	9.3%
7	Dyami Brown WR	6	2.7	16	8.4%
8	John Bates TE	4	1.5	6	5.2%
9	Austin Ekeler RB	3	1.7	5	5.2%
10	Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB	5	1.4	7	4.2%

Game log · 10 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 4.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-19	6	@ SF	0	Under	—	12 (18%)
2026-01-04	18	@ PHI	8	Over	—	15 (22%)
2025-12-25	17	vs DAL	12	Over	6.5	18 (41%)
2025-12-20	16	vs PHI	9	Over	3.5	15 (28%)
2025-12-14	15	@ NYG	16	Over	16.5	30 (49%)
2025-12-07	14	@ MIN	2	Under	10.5	18 (35%)
2025-11-30	13	vs DEN	0	Under	9.5	44 (49%)
2025-11-16	11	@ MIA	16	Over	16.5	17 (25%)
2025-11-09	10	vs DET	4	Under	4.5	17 (31%)
2025-11-02	9	vs SEA	0	Under	—	17 (26%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 4.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: Underdog, updated 8m ago.