NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Breece Hall RB

NYJ vs LV · Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

9.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · All 74%26/35 Odds imply —

Season avg: 34.0
Graph avg: 26.7
Graph median: 18.00–103
Over the close: 47%9/19

2026 per game

Carries17.0▲+1.8

Rush Yds54.3▼-12.2

Rush TD0.3▲+0.1

Targets3.3▲+0.3

Rec3.3▲+1.1

Rec Yds34.0▲+12.1

Snaps39.7▼-0.3

Snap %57.0%▼-7.4

9.5

2024

39

Sep 09
52

Sep 15
29

Sep 19
14

Sep 29
14

Oct 06
56

Oct 14
103

Oct 20
9

Oct 27
11

Oct 31
31

Nov 10
43

Nov 17
0

Dec 01
21

Dec 15
38

Dec 22
8

Dec 29
15

Jan 05
2025

38

Sep 07
9

Sep 14
31

Sep 21
30

Sep 29
42

Oct 05
0

Oct 12
14

Oct 19
14

Oct 26
42

Nov 09
6

Nov 13
75

Nov 23
8

Nov 30
0

Dec 07
14

Dec 14
9

Dec 21
18

Dec 28
2026

16

Sep 13
63

Sep 20
23

Sep 27
?

Nov 01

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 9.5

Home 72% 13/18 · avg 24.4
Away 76% 13/17 · avg 29.1
vs LV No games

Alt lines all · how often Over cleared

O 4.5 91% 32/35
O 9.5 Today 74% 26/35
O 14.5 57% 20/35
O 19.5 49% 17/35

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs LV

What LV allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds114.4#2
Yds/Carry4.9#2
Rush TD0.8#11
Targets5.1#24
Rec Yds33.3#13

RBs vs LV · 2026

Each main RB who faced LV this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-11.7

Avg diff %-24%

Beat their average14% (1/7)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 25	Kyren Williams	22	36.2	-39%
Oct 18	Ty Johnson	24	43.7	-45%
Oct 11	Rhamondre Stevenson	21	30.5	-31%
Oct 04	Kenneth Walker III	2	22.8	-91%
Sep 27	Alvin Kamara	5	25.6	-80%
Sep 20	Alec Ingold	0	17.5	-100%
Sep 13	De'Von Achane	30	9.5	+216%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

NYJ offense

NYJ offense: Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%13.4 yds	2%26.4 yds	5%15.2 yds
Short	33%5.6 yds	11%5.0 yds	43%5.3 yds

Share of NYJ pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

LV defense

LV defense: Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	9%13.5 yds#7	4%10.8 yds#29	7%10.4 yds#17
Short	32%5.7 yds#16	15%6.6 yds#21	33%5.8 yds#11

Throws LV faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	41%7.9 yds	7%14.0 yds	52%8.4 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of NYJ targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Garrett Wilson WR	7	7.3	51	25.9%
2	Adonai Mitchell WR	3	6.0	18	18.9%
3	Mason Taylor TE	4	4.5	18	16.2%
4	Omar Cooper Jr. WR	3	4.3	13	15.2%
5	Kenyon Sadiq TE	7	3.6	25	13.5%
6	Braelon Allen RB	7	2.9	20	10.5%
7	Breece Hall RB	3	3.3	10	10.3%
8	Tim Patrick WR	2	3.0	6	10.3%
9	Isaiah Williams WR	7	2.0	14	7.6%
10	Jeremy Ruckert TE	4	2.0	8	5.9%

Game log · 35 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 9.5	Close	Snaps
2026-09-27	3	@ DET	23	Over	21.5	32 (48%)
2026-09-20	2	vs GB	63	Over	18.5	48 (65%)
2026-09-13	1	@ TEN	16	Over	20.5	39 (58%)
2025-12-28	17	vs NE	18	Over	12.5	30 (48%)
2025-12-21	16	@ NO	9	Under	10.5	42 (64%)
2025-12-14	15	@ JAX	14	Over	16.5	37 (54%)
2025-12-07	14	vs MIA	0	Under	0.5	44 (76%)
2025-11-30	13	vs ATL	8	Under	10.5	58 (88%)
2025-11-23	12	@ BAL	75	Over	21.5	42 (71%)
2025-11-13	11	@ NE	6	Under	6.5	41 (72%)
2025-11-09	10	vs CLE	42	Over	10.5	35 (71%)
2025-10-26	8	@ CIN	14	Over	20.5	40 (56%)
2025-10-19	7	vs CAR	14	Over	20.5	33 (54%)
2025-10-12	6	vs DEN	0	Under	10.5	42 (74%)
2025-10-05	5	vs DAL	42	Over	23.5	51 (62%)
2025-09-29	4	@ MIA	30	Over	25.5	40 (63%)
2025-09-21	3	@ TB	31	Over	25.5	38 (55%)
2025-09-14	2	vs BUF	9	Under	10.5	30 (64%)
2025-09-07	1	vs PIT	38	Over	17.5	37 (58%)
2025-01-05	18	vs MIA	15	Over	—	45 (70%)
2024-12-29	17	@ BUF	8	Under	—	31 (49%)
2024-12-22	16	vs LA	38	Over	—	53 (77%)
2024-12-15	15	@ JAX	21	Over	—	28 (48%)
2024-12-01	13	vs SEA	0	Under	—	42 (62%)
2024-11-17	11	vs IND	43	Over	—	43 (84%)
2024-11-10	10	@ ARI	31	Over	—	47 (81%)
2024-10-31	9	vs HOU	11	Over	—	44 (76%)
2024-10-27	8	@ NE	9	Under	—	46 (74%)
2024-10-20	7	@ PIT	103	Over	—	47 (82%)
2024-10-14	6	vs BUF	56	Over	—	55 (87%)
2024-10-06	5	@ MIN	14	Over	—	53 (74%)
2024-09-29	4	vs DEN	14	Over	—	51 (69%)
2024-09-19	3	vs NE	29	Over	—	52 (71%)
2024-09-15	2	@ TEN	52	Over	—	41 (72%)
2024-09-09	1	@ SF	39	Over	—	42 (82%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 9.5PrizePicks 10.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: Underdog, updated 8m ago.