NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Zach Charbonnet RB

SEA vs CHI · Mon Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET

7.5 Rec Yds

Hit rate · Last 20 55%11/20 Odds imply —

Season avg: —
Graph avg: 10.4
Graph median: 11.00–32
Over the close: 47%7/15

2026 per game

Carries—

Rush Yds—

Rush TD—

Targets—

Rec—

Rec Yds—

Snaps—

Snap %—

7.5

2024

14

Dec 22
19

Dec 26
32

Jan 05
2025

0

Sep 07
0

Sep 14
5

Sep 25
12

Oct 05
13

Oct 12
6

Oct 20
21

Nov 02
0

Nov 09
10

Nov 16
0

Nov 23
0

Nov 30
20

Dec 07
0

Dec 14
22

Dec 18
12

Dec 28
23

Jan 03
0

Jan 17
?

Nov 03

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 7.5

Home 59% 10/17 · avg 11.2
Away 71% 12/17 · avg 17.3
vs CHI 100% 1/1 · avg 19.0

Alt lines last 20 · how often Over cleared

O 2.5 65% 13/20
O 7.5 Today 55% 11/20
O 12.5 40% 8/20
O 17.5 30% 6/20

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · RBs vs CHI

What CHI allowed to RBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Rush Yds81.7#26
Yds/Carry4.2#17
Rush TD0.5#24
Targets4.6#29
Rec Yds33.7#11

RBs vs CHI · 2026

Each main RB who faced CHI this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+4.0

Avg diff %+45%

Beat their average43% (3/7)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 22	Rhamondre Stevenson	93	18.5	+403%
Oct 18	Bijan Robinson	-8	35.2	-123%
Oct 11	MarShawn Lloyd	6	10.7	-44%
Oct 04	Isaiah Davis	0	13.6	-100%
Sep 28	Will Shipley	11	5.0	+120%
Sep 20	Aaron Jones	0	14.4	-100%
Sep 13	Chuba Hubbard	38	14.8	+157%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

SEA offense

SEA offense: Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	5%10.3 yds	4%11.5 yds	7%16.3 yds
Short	30%6.2 yds	18%7.4 yds	36%6.4 yds

Share of SEA pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

CHI defense

CHI defense: Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	7%10.8 yds#14	4%19.2 yds#2	10%13.4 yds#9
Short	29%4.8 yds#31	19%8.7 yds#2	32%7.2 yds#2

Throws CHI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His targets

His targets: Last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	0%	0%	0%
Short	14%7.0 yds	50%8.0 yds	36%3.8 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/target

Each pass-catcher’s share of SEA targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR	7	11.1	78	36.9%
2	Rashid Shaheed WR	7	4.3	30	14.4%
3	AJ Barner TE	7	4.1	29	13.3%
4	Cooper Kupp WR	7	3.9	27	11.7%
5	Jadarian Price RB	3	2.3	7	7.6%
6	George Holani RB	7	2.0	14	6.6%
7	Tory Horton WR	4	2.5	10	6.6%
8	Emanuel Wilson RB	7	1.3	9	5.3%
9	Elijah Arroyo TE	2	1.0	2	3.8%
10	Eric Saubert TE	7	0.7	5	2.0%

Game log · 20 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Rec Yds	vs 7.5	Close	Snaps
2026-01-17	20 (P)	vs SF	0	Under	9.5	8 (15%)
2026-01-03	18	@ SF	23	Over	9.5	39 (57%)
2025-12-28	17	@ CAR	12	Over	10.5	35 (53%)
2025-12-18	16	vs LA	22	Over	7.5	38 (56%)
2025-12-14	15	vs IND	0	Under	0.5	33 (55%)
2025-12-07	14	@ ATL	20	Over	5.5	25 (41%)
2025-11-30	13	vs MIN	0	Under	2.5	26 (39%)
2025-11-23	12	@ TEN	0	Under	3.5	15 (31%)
2025-11-16	11	@ LA	10	Over	6.5	36 (43%)
2025-11-09	10	vs ARI	0	Under	10.5	23 (37%)
2025-11-02	9	@ WAS	21	Over	—	18 (35%)
2025-10-20	7	vs HOU	6	Under	—	37 (51%)
2025-10-12	6	@ JAX	13	Over	10.5	33 (60%)
2025-10-05	5	vs TB	12	Over	7.5	34 (56%)
2025-09-25	4	@ ARI	5	Under	10.5	31 (47%)
2025-09-14	2	@ PIT	0	Under	10.5	36 (55%)
2025-09-07	1	vs SF	0	Under	9.5	30 (58%)
2025-01-05	18	@ LA	32	Over	—	42 (76%)
2024-12-26	17	@ CHI	19	Over	—	39 (75%)
2024-12-22	16	vs MIN	14	Over	—	14 (22%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 7.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: PrizePicks, updated 8m ago.