NFL Prop Research: Player Hit Rates & Game Logs

Tanner McKee QB

PHI vs WAS · Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET

33.5 Pass Att O -107U -119

Hit rate · Last 5 60%3/5 Odds imply 48.8% Over

Season avg: 40.0
Graph avg: 24.6
Graph median: 35.00–45
Over the close: 100%3/3

2026 per game

Pass Yds213.0▲+144.5

Att40.0▲+29.2

Cmp%61.2%▲+5.4

Pass TD1.0▲+0.8

INT0.5▲+0.2

Rush Yds0.5▼-1.5

Snaps65.0▲+42.8

Snap %100.0%▲+65.5

33.5

2025

3

Dec 14
0

Dec 20
40

Jan 04
2026

45

Oct 18
35

Oct 26
?

Nov 02

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 33.5

Home 57% 4/7 · avg 24.0
Away 0% 0/1 · avg 0.0
vs WAS 50% 1/2 · avg 20.0

Alt lines last 5 · how often Over cleared

O 31.5 60% 3/5
O 32.5 60% 3/5
O 33.5 Today 60% 3/5
O 34.5 60% 3/5
O 35.5 40% 2/5

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs WAS

What WAS allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass Yds257.3#6
Yds/Att7.1#16
Cmp%62.4%#20
Pass TD2.2#4
Pass Att36.2#5

QBs vs WAS · 2026

Each main QB who faced WAS this season: pass att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-4.0

Avg diff %-13%

Beat their average17% (1/6)

Date	Player	Result	Their avg	Diff
Oct 19	Brock Purdy	29	30.3	-4%
Oct 11	J.J. McCarthy	0	24.5	-100%
Oct 04	Daniel Jones	34	34.3	-1%
Sep 27	Sam Darnold	45	26.4	+70%
Sep 20	Dak Prescott	31	40.3	-23%
Sep 13	Jalen Hurts	25	32.2	-22%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

PHI offense

PHI offense: Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%3.4 yds	1%11.0 yds	10%10.9 yds
Short	29%5.3 yds	14%6.6 yds	40%4.2 yds

Share of PHI pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

WAS defense

WAS defense: Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	6%2.6 yds#32	5%17.1 yds#9	8%15.3 yds#3
Short	31%5.4 yds#23	16%8.5 yds#4	33%5.2 yds#22

Throws WAS faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 4 games
Depth	Left	Middle	Right
Deep	4%0.0 yds	1%17.0 yds	10%5.2 yds
Short	28%5.5 yds	12%8.7 yds	46%5.4 yds

Last 4 games · Yds/att

Each pass-catcher’s share of PHI targets this season, with games and targets.

#	Player	GP	Tgt/g	Total	Share
1	DeVonta Smith WR	4	10.2	41	32.3%
2	Dallas Goedert TE	5	6.2	31	18.5%
3	Dontayvion Wicks WR	6	5.3	32	17.8%
4	Makai Lemon WR	7	5.1	36	16.8%
5	Elijah Mitchell RB	1	4.0	4	12.1%
6	Zach Ertz TE	3	2.7	8	9.8%
7	Dameon Pierce RB	3	3.7	11	9.3%
8	Darius Cooper WR	7	2.6	18	8.4%
9	Marquise Brown WR	2	2.5	5	7.6%
10	Saquon Barkley RB	5	1.8	9	6.6%

Game log · 5 games

Date	Wk	Opp	Pass Att	vs 33.5	Close	Snaps
2026-10-26	7	vs DAL	35	Over	33.5	66 (100%)
2026-10-18	6	vs CAR	45	Over	32.5	64 (100%)
2026-01-04	18	vs WAS	40	Over	30.5	64 (100%)
2025-12-20	16	@ WAS	0	Under	—	4 (6%)
2025-12-14	15	vs LV	3	Under	—	17 (25%)

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 33.5Underdog 33.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 6m ago.