NFL Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 26, 2026 · 162 players

Dak Prescott QB

DAL vs ARI ·

2.5 Pass TDs O +113U -144
Hit rate · Last 10 20%2/10 Odds imply 44.3% Over
Season avg
1.9
Graph avg
1.7
Graph median
1.50–4
Over the close
33%3/9
2026 per game
Pass Yds264.4â–¼-3.3
Att39.0â–²+3.7
Cmp%65.2%â–¼-2.1
Pass TD1.9â–²+0.1
INT0.7â–²+0.1
Rush Yds11.6â–²+1.2
Snaps67.3â–²+0.5
Snap %100.0%â–²+4.9
Dak Prescott passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
2.5
  1. 2025
    2
  2. 2
  3. 0
  4. 2026
    2
  5. 4
  6. 1
  7. 1
  8. 1
  9. 1
  10. 3
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus, from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 21% 3/14 · avg 1.7
  • Away 22% 4/18 · avg 1.7
  • vs ARI 0% 0/1 · avg 1.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 90% 9/10
  • O 1.5 50% 5/10
  • O 2.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 3.5 10% 1/10
  • O 4.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs ARI

What ARI allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 32 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds249.1#8
  • Yds/Att8.0#3
  • Cmp%64.4%#13
  • Pass TD2.5#1
  • Pass Att31.2#25

QBs vs ARI · 2026

Each main QB who faced ARI this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.9
Avg diff %+76%
Beat their average67% (4/6)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 25 Bo Nix11.0+0%
Oct 18 Matthew Stafford22.0+0%
Oct 11 Jared Goff32.2+36%
Oct 04 Jameis Winston30.8+275%
Sep 27 Brock Purdy41.8+118%
Sep 13 Justin Herbert10.8+25%

Target zones

Share of charted pass attempts by depth (deep = more than 15 air yards) and direction, with yards per attempt. Shading follows the share.

DAL offense

DAL offense: Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%9.6 yds4%23.2 yds6%10.5 yds
Short32%6.6 yds14%5.1 yds36%5.3 yds

Share of DAL pass attempts, last 10 games · Yds/att

ARI defense

ARI defense: Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%10.4 yds#173%13.8 yds#1811%11.2 yds#13
Short30%6.9 yds#318%7.8 yds#1330%6.9 yds#3

Throws ARI faced, last 10 games · rank 1 = most yds/att allowed · Yds/att allowed

His throws

His throws: Last 10 games
DepthLeftMiddleRight
Deep8%9.5 yds4%23.2 yds6%11.0 yds
Short32%6.6 yds14%5.2 yds35%5.3 yds

Last 10 games · Yds/att

Target share · DAL 2026

Each pass-catcher’s share of DAL targets this season, with games and targets.

#PlayerGPTgt/gTotalShare
1CeeDee Lamb WR711.68130.8%
2George Pickens WR78.35822.1%
3Ryan Flournoy WR75.74015.1%
4Jake Ferguson TE73.6259.3%
5Javonte Williams RB73.1228.5%
6Brevyn Spann-Ford TE71.9134.7%
7Jonathan Mingo WR51.684.3%
8KaVontae Turpin WR61.273.0%
9Luke Schoonmaker TE31.032.7%
10Tyler Goodson RB41.252.6%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 2.5CloseSnaps
2026-10-267@ PHI3Over1.568 (100%)
2026-10-186@ GB1Under1.578 (100%)
2026-10-085vs TB1Under2.560 (100%)
2026-10-044@ HOU1Under1.578 (100%)
2026-09-273vs BAL1Under1.574 (100%)
2026-09-202vs WAS4Over1.555 (100%)
2026-09-131@ NYG2Under1.558 (100%)
2026-01-0418@ NYG0Under—28 (51%)
2025-12-2517@ WAS2Under2.592 (100%)
2025-12-2116vs LAC2Under2.553 (91%)

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. Drag the line on the chart to count against any other number. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs and snap counts from games already played. Target zones from play-by-play. Closing lines: market consensus. Lines: DraftKings, updated 9m ago.