College Football Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 8, 2026 · 248 players

Matt Wagner WR

Boise State vs Fresno State ·

39.5 Rec Yds O -130U +100
Hit rate · Last 10 20%2/10 Odds imply 53.1% Over
Season avg
39.2
Graph avg
30.8
Graph median
24.54–94
Over the close
25%1/4
2026 per game
Rec3.4â–²+1.6
Rec Yds39.2â–²+20.3
Rec TD0.8â–²+0.7
Matt Wagner receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 39.5.
  1. 2025
    4
  2. 32
  3. 64
  4. 5
  5. 7
  6. 2026
    27
  7. 22
  8. 14
  9. 94
  10. 39
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 39.5

  • Home 0% 0/9 · avg 19.4
  • Away 22% 2/9 · avg 29.7
  • vs Fresno State 0% 0/1 · avg 2.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 29.5 40% 4/10
  • O 34.5 30% 3/10
  • O 39.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 44.5 20% 2/10
  • O 49.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Fresno State

What Fresno State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds148.2#175
  • Receptions12.7#164
  • Yds/Rec11.7#155
  • Rec TD0.6#178

WRs vs Fresno State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Fresno State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.9
Avg diff %+6%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Daniel Blood2940.2-28%
Oct 03 Darrius Clemons3339.2-16%
Sep 26 Barry Jackson Jr.1230.0-60%
Sep 26 Jordan Clark3915.8+148%
Sep 19 Carson Clark2771.8-62%
Sep 19 Cooper Hoch2365.5-65%
Sep 04 Trent Mosley10475.5+38%
Sep 04 Kayden Dixon-Wyatt10254.0+89%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 39.5Close
2026-10-035vs Utah State39Under43.5
2026-09-264@ Western Michigan94Over21.5
2026-09-193vs South Dakota14Under—
2026-09-122vs Memphis22Under32.5
2026-09-051@ Oregon27Under—
2025-12-131 (P)@ Washington7Under11.5
2025-12-0515vs UNLV5Under—
2025-11-2814@ Utah State64Over—
2025-11-2213vs Colorado State32Under—
2025-11-1512@ San Diego State4Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 40.5Underdog 40.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 4m ago.