College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Aidan Chiles QB

Northwestern vs Ball State ·

21.5 Rush Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
10.2
Graph avg
22.1
Graph median
19.5-7–76
Over the close
33%2/6
2026 per game
Pass Yds225.0â–²+51.0
Att22.2â–¼-3.1
Cmp%70.8%â–²+7.7
Pass TD1.5â–²+0.2
INT0.0â–¼-0.4
Rush Yds10.2â–¼-18.1
Aidan Chiles rushing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 21.5.
  1. 2025
    76
  2. 31
  3. 23
  4. 9
  5. 48
  6. -7
  7. 2026
    18
  8. 2
  9. 0
  10. 21
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 21.5

  • Home 25% 2/8 · avg 20.8
  • Away 75% 3/4 · avg 25.5
  • vs Ball State No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 11.5 60% 6/10
  • O 16.5 60% 6/10
  • O 21.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 26.5 30% 3/10
  • O 31.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Ball State

What Ball State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds222.4#81
  • Yds/Att8.3#51
  • Cmp%60.4%#130
  • Pass TD2.2#36
  • Pass Att26.8#126

QBs vs Ball State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Ball State this season: rush yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+17.8
Avg diff %-6%
Beat their average67% (2/3)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Sep 26 Dru Deshields7626.8+184%
Sep 19 Deshawn Purdie2912.2+138%
Sep 05 Julian Sayin-93.8-340%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppRush Ydsvs 21.5Close
2026-10-025vs Penn State21Under14.5
2026-09-254@ Indiana0Under5.5
2026-09-193vs Colorado2Under—
2026-09-051vs South Dakota State18Under—
2025-10-259vs Michigan-7Under29.5
2025-10-188@ Indiana48Over—
2025-10-117vs UCLA9Under38.5
2025-10-046@ Nebraska23Over33.5
2025-09-204@ USC31Over16.5
2025-09-133vs Youngstown State76Over—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 21.5PrizePicks 21.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 7m ago.