College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Drew Mestemaker QB

Oklahoma State vs UCF ·

4.5 Rush Att O -142U —
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 44%4/9 Odds imply —
Season avg
3.2
Graph avg
4.2
Graph median
4.01–11
Over the close
0%0/1
2026 per game
Pass Yds317.8â–²+5.7
Att35.2â–²+2.0
Cmp%67.4%â–¼-1.2
Pass TD2.8â–²+0.3
INT1.2â–²+0.6
Rush Yds26.5â–²+20.1
Drew Mestemaker rush attempts by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
  1. 2025
    5
  2. 4
  3. 5
  4. 3
  5. 2
  6. 11
  7. 2
  8. 2026
    5
  9. 1
  10. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 44% 4/9 · avg 3.6
  • Away 44% 4/9 · avg 4.2
  • vs UCF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 67% 6/9
  • O 3.5 56% 5/9
  • O 4.5 Today 44% 4/9
  • O 5.5 11% 1/9
  • O 6.5 11% 1/9

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF

What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds228.7#70
  • Yds/Att7.0#133
  • Cmp%63.3%#97
  • Pass TD1.0#167
  • Pass Att32.7#29

QBs vs UCF · 2026

Each main QB who faced UCF this season: rush att in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+3.8
Avg diff %+84%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Conner Weigman137.2+79%
Sep 26 Jaden Craig66.5-8%
Sep 19 Cameran Brown123.5+243%
Sep 12 Mason Heintschel75.8+22%

Game log · 9 games

DateWkOppRush Attvs 4.5Close
2026-09-264@ West Virginia1Under6.5
2026-09-051@ Tulsa5Over—
2025-12-271 (P)@ San Diego State2Under—
2025-12-0515@ Tulane11Over—
2025-11-2213@ Rice2Under—
2025-11-1512@ UAB3Under—
2025-10-249@ Charlotte5Over—
2025-09-204@ Army4Under—
2025-09-062@ Western Michigan5Over—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: DraftKings, updated 5m ago.