College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Mike Matthews WR

Tennessee vs Arkansas ·

4.5 Receptions O +105U -135
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 20%2/10 Odds imply 45.9% Over
Season avg
3.6
Graph avg
3.9
Graph median
4.03–6
Over the close
29%2/7
2026 per game
Rec3.6â–¼-0.5
Rec Yds63.6â–²+1.1
Rec TD0.6â–²+0.3
Mike Matthews receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 4.5.
  1. 2025
    5
  2. 3
  3. 3
  4. 3
  5. 3
  6. 6
  7. 2026
    4
  8. 4
  9. 4
  10. 4
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 4.5

  • Home 25% 3/12 · avg 3.9
  • Away 33% 2/6 · avg 4.0
  • vs Arkansas 0% 0/1 · avg 3.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 2.5 100% 10/10
  • O 3.5 60% 6/10
  • O 4.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 5.5 10% 1/10
  • O 6.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Arkansas

What Arkansas allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds186.2#123
  • Receptions12.9#163
  • Yds/Rec14.4#32
  • Rec TD1.4#95

WRs vs Arkansas · 2026

Each main WR who faced Arkansas this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-1.1
Avg diff %-13%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Mario Craver15.5-82%
Oct 03 Isaiah Horton23.8-47%
Sep 26 Oran Singleton Jr.65.0+20%
Sep 26 Jimmy Calloway04.0-100%
Sep 19 Sacovie White42.0+100%
Sep 19 Craig Dandridge31.5+100%
Sep 12 Braden Pegan34.7-36%
Sep 12 Ricky Johnson12.7-62%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 4.5Close
2026-10-035vs Auburn4Under4.5
2026-09-264vs Texas4Under4.5
2026-09-193vs Kennesaw State4Under4.5
2026-09-051vs Furman4Under—
2025-11-2914vs Vanderbilt6Over3.5
2025-11-1512vs New Mexico State3Under—
2025-11-0110vs Oklahoma3Under3.5
2025-10-117vs Arkansas3Under5.5
2025-09-204vs UAB3Under—
2025-09-133vs Georgia5Over2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 5m ago.