College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Jaron Tibbs WR

Kansas State vs Houston ·

3.5 Receptions O -106U -125
Hit rate · Last 10 40%4/10 Odds imply 48.1% Over
Season avg
4.0
Graph avg
3.6
Graph median
3.01–9
Over the close
29%2/7
2026 per game
Rec4.0â–²+0.1
Rec Yds42.0â–¼-7.6
Rec TD0.2+0.0
Jaron Tibbs receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 3.5.
  1. 2025
    3
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 2
  5. 6
  6. 4
  7. 2026
    4
  8. 2
  9. 9
  10. 1
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 3.5

  • Home 60% 6/10 · avg 4.5
  • Away 33% 2/6 · avg 3.0
  • vs Houston No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 1.5 90% 9/10
  • O 2.5 60% 6/10
  • O 3.5 Today 40% 4/10
  • O 4.5 20% 2/10
  • O 5.5 20% 2/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Houston

What Houston allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds246.4#19
  • Receptions18.7#21
  • Yds/Rec13.2#70
  • Rec TD1.5#83

WRs vs Houston · 2026

Each main WR who faced Houston this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.3
Avg diff %+19%
Beat their average50% (4/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Waden Charles43.3+20%
Oct 03 Joshua Derry72.5+180%
Sep 26 Josh Dallas75.5+27%
Sep 26 River Helms53.8+33%
Sep 18 Terrance Carter25.5-64%
Sep 18 Coy Eakin33.2-8%
Sep 05 Jesse Legree55.8-13%
Sep 05 Eric Olsen45.0-20%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 3.5Close
2026-09-264@ Cincinnati1Under3.5
2026-09-193vs Tulane9Over3.5
2026-09-122vs Washington State2Under3.5
2026-09-051vs Nicholls4Over—
2025-11-2914vs Colorado4Over—
2025-11-2213@ Utah6Over4.5
2025-11-1512@ Oklahoma State2Under3.5
2025-11-0110vs Texas Tech3Under4.5
2025-10-259@ Kansas2Under—
2025-10-117vs TCU3Under4.5

Pick’em lines: Underdog 3.5PrizePicks 3.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.