College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Carlos Hernandez WR

Wake Forest vs NC State ·

7.5 Receptions O +124U -166
Hit rate · Last 10 20%2/10 Odds imply 41.7% Over
Season avg
7.4
Graph avg
6.1
Graph median
6.01–10
Over the close
83%5/6
2026 per game
Rec7.4â–²+4.1
Rec Yds120.6â–²+69.7
Rec TD0.6â–²+0.3
Carlos Hernandez receptions by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 7.5.
  1. 2025
    1
  2. 6
  3. 5
  4. 6
  5. 6
  6. 2026
    5
  7. 6
  8. 10
  9. 9
  10. 7
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 7.5

  • Home 11% 1/9 · avg 4.6
  • Away 12% 1/8 · avg 4.5
  • vs NC State 0% 0/1 · avg 3.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 5.5 70% 7/10
  • O 6.5 30% 3/10
  • O 7.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 8.5 20% 2/10
  • O 9.5 10% 1/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs NC State

What NC State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds244.2#21
  • Receptions17.4#35
  • Yds/Rec14.0#42
  • Rec TD1.9#43

WRs vs NC State · 2026

Each main WR who faced NC State this season: receptions in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.5
Avg diff %-12%
Beat their average25% (2/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Tre Richardson84.2+90%
Oct 03 Treyshun Hurry44.0+0%
Sep 26 Sam Pickett III55.0+0%
Sep 26 Chris Lofton34.5-33%
Sep 19 Junior Sherrill65.5+9%
Sep 19 Jayvontay Conner15.0-80%
Aug 29 Kameron Courtney34.0-25%
Aug 29 Dashawn Martin12.5-60%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppReceptionsvs 7.5Close
2026-10-035vs Stanford7Under7.5
2026-09-264@ Louisville9Over6.5
2026-09-183vs Miami10Over4.5
2026-09-122@ Purdue6Under5.5
2026-09-031vs Akron5Under4.5
2026-01-021 (P)@ Mississippi State6Under5.5
2025-11-2914@ Duke6Under—
2025-11-2213vs Delaware5Under—
2025-11-1512vs North Carolina6Under—
2025-11-0811@ Virginia1Under—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 6m ago.