College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Matt Wagner WR

Boise State vs Fresno State ·

39.5 Rec Yds O -130U +100
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 22%2/9 Odds imply 53.1% Over
Season avg
39.2
Graph avg
29.7
Graph median
27.04–94
Over the close
33%1/3
2026 per game
Rec3.4â–²+1.6
Rec Yds39.2â–²+20.3
Rec TD0.8â–²+0.7
Matt Wagner receiving yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 39.5.
  1. 2025
    5
  2. 28
  3. 30
  4. 8
  5. 4
  6. 64
  7. 7
  8. 2026
    27
  9. 94
  10. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 39.5

  • Home 0% 0/9 · avg 19.4
  • Away 22% 2/9 · avg 29.7
  • vs Fresno State 0% 0/1 · avg 2.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 29.5 33% 3/9
  • O 34.5 22% 2/9
  • O 39.5 Today 22% 2/9
  • O 44.5 22% 2/9
  • O 49.5 22% 2/9

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · receivers vs Fresno State

What Fresno State allowed to receivers per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 184 defenses.

Rec YdsReceptionsYds/RecRec TD
  • Rec Yds148.2#176
  • Receptions12.7#165
  • Yds/Rec11.7#152
  • Rec TD0.6#178

WRs vs Fresno State · 2026

Each main WR who faced Fresno State this season: rec yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.2
Avg diff %+7%
Beat their average38% (3/8)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Darrius Clemons3337.0-11%
Oct 03 Daniel Blood2935.6-19%
Sep 26 Barry Jackson Jr.1230.0-60%
Sep 26 Jordan Clark3915.8+148%
Sep 19 Carson Clark2775.6-64%
Sep 19 Cooper Hoch2363.0-63%
Sep 04 Trent Mosley10475.5+38%
Sep 04 Kayden Dixon-Wyatt10254.0+89%

Game log · 9 games

DateWkOppRec Ydsvs 39.5Close
2026-09-264@ Western Michigan94Over21.5
2026-09-051@ Oregon27Under—
2025-12-131 (P)@ Washington7Under11.5
2025-11-2814@ Utah State64Over—
2025-11-1512@ San Diego State4Under—
2025-10-249@ Nevada8Under10.5
2025-10-046@ Notre Dame30Under—
2025-09-204@ Air Force28Under—
2025-08-281@ South Florida5Under—

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 40.5Underdog 40.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: ESPN BET, updated 4m ago.