College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Jayden Maiava QB

USC vs Penn State ·

249.5 Pass Yds O -120U —
Hit rate · Last 10 90%9/10 Odds imply —
Season avg
290.7
Graph avg
284.1
Graph median
278.5245–349
Over the close
60%6/10
2026 per game
Pass Yds290.7â–²+5.2
Att31.8â–²+0.8
Cmp%68.6%â–²+2.8
Pass TD2.5â–²+0.7
INT0.5â–¼-0.3
Rush Yds-0.7â–¼-12.7
Jayden Maiava passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 249.5.
  1. 2025
    254
  2. 306
  3. 257
  4. 280
  5. 2026
    286
  6. 349
  7. 261
  8. 277
  9. 326
  10. 245
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 249.5

  • Home 83% 10/12 · avg 290.2
  • Away 86% 6/7 · avg 281.7
  • vs Penn State No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 229.5 100% 10/10
  • O 239.5 100% 10/10
  • O 249.5 Today 90% 9/10
  • O 259.5 70% 7/10
  • O 269.5 60% 6/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Penn State

What Penn State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds166.2#177
  • Yds/Att5.9#175
  • Cmp%58.5%#155
  • Pass TD0.6#178
  • Pass Att28.2#104

QBs vs Penn State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Penn State this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-97.0
Avg diff %-49%
Beat their average20% (1/5)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 02 Aidan Chiles93269.0-65%
Sep 26 Colton Joseph235224.2+5%
Sep 19 Jason Wright60165.0-64%
Sep 12 Ajani Sheppard48145.8-67%
Sep 05 Carlos Del Rio-Wilson102218.8-53%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 249.5Close
2026-10-035vs Washington245Under269.5
2026-09-264vs Oregon326Over263.5
2026-09-193@ Rutgers277Over287.5
2026-09-122vs Louisiana261Over299.5
2026-09-041vs Fresno State349Over254.5
2026-08-291vs San José State286Over284.5
2025-12-301 (P)@ TCU280Over256.5
2025-11-2914vs UCLA257Over280.5
2025-11-2213@ Oregon306Over250.5
2025-11-1512vs Iowa254Over231.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 253.5Underdog 253.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: BetMGM, updated 6m ago.