College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Maddux Madsen QB

Boise State vs Fresno State ·

218.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 29%2/7 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
211.6
Graph avg
189.4
Graph median
204.051–276
Over the close
17%1/6
2026 per game
Pass Yds211.6â–¼-0.5
Att26.4â–¼-1.1
Cmp%65.9%â–²+7.6
Pass TD2.2â–²+0.6
INT0.0â–¼-0.8
Rush Yds21.0â–²+13.6
Maddux Madsen passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 218.5.
  1. 2025
    225
  2. 276
  3. 215
  4. 174
  5. 51
  6. 2026
    181
  7. 204
  8. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 218.5

  • Home 78% 7/9 · avg 229.4
  • Away 29% 2/7 · avg 189.4
  • vs Fresno State 0% 0/1 · avg -4.0

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 198.5 57% 4/7
  • O 208.5 43% 3/7
  • O 218.5 Today 29% 2/7
  • O 228.5 14% 1/7
  • O 238.5 14% 1/7

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Fresno State

What Fresno State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds157.2#179
  • Yds/Att5.5#180
  • Cmp%51.6%#181
  • Pass TD0.6#179
  • Pass Att28.5#99

QBs vs Fresno State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Fresno State this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+24.2
Avg diff %+21%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Caden Pinnick152160.0-5%
Sep 26 Jacurri Brown11971.0+68%
Sep 19 Luke Weaver244257.0-5%
Sep 04 Jayden Maiava349279.0+25%

Game log · 7 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 218.5Close
2026-09-264@ Western Michigan204Under207.5
2026-09-051@ Oregon181Under177.5
2025-12-131 (P)@ Washington51Under200.5
2025-10-249@ Nevada174Under235.5
2025-10-046@ Notre Dame215Under215.5
2025-09-204@ Air Force276Over—
2025-08-281@ South Florida225Over234.5

Pick’em lines: PrizePicks 218.5Underdog 218.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 5m ago.