College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Drew Mestemaker QB

Oklahoma State vs UCF ·

286.5 Pass Yds O -114U -114
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 56%5/9 Odds imply 50.0% Over
Season avg
317.8
Graph avg
290.9
Graph median
317.0211–366
Over the close
0%0/1
2026 per game
Pass Yds317.8â–²+5.7
Att35.2â–²+2.0
Cmp%67.4%â–¼-1.2
Pass TD2.8â–²+0.3
INT1.2â–²+0.6
Rush Yds26.5â–²+20.1
Drew Mestemaker passing yards by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 286.5.
  1. 2025
    329
  2. 211
  3. 234
  4. 326
  5. 277
  6. 234
  7. 366
  8. 2026
    317
  9. 324
  10. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 286.5

  • Home 56% 5/9 · avg 290.9
  • Away 56% 5/9 · avg 335.8
  • vs UCF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 266.5 67% 6/9
  • O 276.5 67% 6/9
  • O 286.5 Today 56% 5/9
  • O 296.5 56% 5/9
  • O 306.5 56% 5/9

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF

What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds228.7#70
  • Yds/Att7.0#133
  • Cmp%63.3%#97
  • Pass TD1.0#167
  • Pass Att32.7#29

QBs vs UCF · 2026

Each main QB who faced UCF this season: pass yds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+10.6
Avg diff %+6%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Conner Weigman239236.5+1%
Sep 26 Jaden Craig310272.5+14%
Sep 19 Cameran Brown282218.8+29%
Sep 12 Mason Heintschel212273.0-22%

Game log · 9 games

DateWkOppPass Ydsvs 286.5Close
2026-09-193vs Murray State324Over331.5
2026-09-122vs Oregon317Over—
2025-11-2814vs Temple366Over—
2025-11-0110vs Navy234Under—
2025-10-188vs UTSA277Under—
2025-10-107vs South Florida326Over—
2025-09-275vs South Alabama234Under—
2025-09-133vs Washington State211Under—
2025-08-301vs Lamar329Over—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 286.5PrizePicks 286.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 6m ago.