College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Sam Leavitt QB

LSU vs Kentucky ·

1.5 Pass TDs O +116U -154
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home 56%5/9 Odds imply 43.3% Over
Season avg
1.6
Graph avg
1.7
Graph median
2.01–3
Over the close
40%2/5
2026 per game
Pass Yds244.0â–²+11.4
Att27.8â–¼-6.3
Cmp%66.2%â–²+5.5
Pass TD1.6â–²+0.2
INT1.4â–²+1.0
Rush Yds44.0â–²+0.3
Sam Leavitt passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 1.5.
  1. 2025
    2
  2. 2
  3. 2
  4. 1
  5. 1
  6. 2026
    1
  7. 1
  8. 2
  9. 3
  10. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 1.5

  • Home 56% 5/9 · avg 1.7
  • Away 0% 0/3 · avg 1.0
  • vs Kentucky No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 100% 9/9
  • O 1.5 Today 56% 5/9
  • O 2.5 11% 1/9
  • O 3.5 0% 0/9

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Kentucky

What Kentucky allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds243.1#50
  • Yds/Att7.3#110
  • Cmp%60.0%#135
  • Pass TD1.8#62
  • Pass Att33.5#23

QBs vs Kentucky · 2026

Each main QB who faced Kentucky this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-0.1
Avg diff %+3%
Beat their average50% (2/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Lanorris Sellers21.5+33%
Sep 26 Jared Hollins21.2+60%
Sep 19 Marcel Reed11.2-20%
Sep 12 Keelon Russell12.5-60%

Game log · 9 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 1.5Close
2026-10-035vs McNeese3Over—
2026-09-264vs Texas A&M2Over1.5
2026-09-122vs Louisiana Tech1Under—
2026-09-051vs Clemson1Under—
2025-10-259vs Houston1Under1.5
2025-10-188vs Texas Tech1Under1.5
2025-09-265vs TCU2Over1.5
2025-09-133vs Texas State2Over2.5
2025-08-301vs Northern Arizona2Over—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 3m ago.