Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players
Drew Mestemaker QB
Oklahoma State vs UCF ·
2.5 Pass TDs
O +120U -160
Hit rate · Last 10 · Home
56%5/9
Odds imply 42.5% Over
- Season avg
- 2.8
- Graph avg
- 2.7
- Graph median
- 3.00–5
- Over the close
- 100%1/1
2026 per game
Pass Yds317.8â–²+5.7
Att35.2â–²+2.0
Cmp%67.4%â–¼-1.2
Pass TD2.8â–²+0.3
INT1.2â–²+0.6
Rush Yds26.5â–²+20.1
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2025
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2026
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Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.
Splits all logged games · over 2.5
- Home 56% 5/9 · avg 2.7
- Away 44% 4/9 · avg 2.3
- vs UCF No games
Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared
- O 0.5 89% 8/9
- O 1.5 78% 7/9
- O 2.5 Today 56% 5/9
- O 3.5 33% 3/9
- O 4.5 11% 1/9
Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.
Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF
What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.
- Pass Yds228.7#70
- Yds/Att7.0#133
- Cmp%63.3%#97
- Pass TD1.0#167
- Pass Att32.7#29
QBs vs UCF · 2026
Each main QB who faced UCF this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.
Avg vs their norm-2.2
Avg diff %-80%
Beat their average0% (0/4)
| Date | Player | Result | Their avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03 | Conner Weigman | 0 | 2.8 | -100% |
| Sep 26 | Jaden Craig | 0 | 2.0 | -100% |
| Sep 19 | Cameran Brown | 2 | 2.5 | -20% |
| Sep 12 | Mason Heintschel | 0 | 3.5 | -100% |
Game log · 9 games
| Date | Wk | Opp | Pass TDs | vs 2.5 | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 3 | vs Murray State | 5 | Over | 3.5 |
| 2026-09-12 | 2 | vs Oregon | 2 | Under | — |
| 2025-11-28 | 14 | vs Temple | 3 | Over | — |
| 2025-11-01 | 10 | vs Navy | 0 | Under | — |
| 2025-10-18 | 8 | vs UTSA | 4 | Over | — |
| 2025-10-10 | 7 | vs South Florida | 2 | Under | — |
| 2025-09-27 | 5 | vs South Alabama | 1 | Under | — |
| 2025-09-13 | 3 | vs Washington State | 4 | Over | — |
| 2025-08-30 | 1 | vs Lamar | 3 | Over | — |
Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5
Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 5m ago.