College Football Prop Research

FREE

Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Drew Mestemaker QB

Oklahoma State vs UCF ·

2.5 Pass TDs O +118U -158
Hit rate · Last 10 · Away 44%4/9 Odds imply 42.8% Over
Season avg
2.8
Graph avg
2.3
Graph median
2.01–4
Over the close
100%1/1
2026 per game
Pass Yds317.8â–²+5.7
Att35.2â–²+2.0
Cmp%67.4%â–¼-1.2
Pass TD2.8â–²+0.3
INT1.2â–²+0.6
Rush Yds26.5â–²+20.1
Drew Mestemaker passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
  1. 2025
    2
  2. 1
  3. 4
  4. 2
  5. 3
  6. 2
  7. 3
  8. 2026
    1
  9. 3
  10. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 56% 5/9 · avg 2.7
  • Away 44% 4/9 · avg 2.3
  • vs UCF No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 100% 9/9
  • O 1.5 78% 7/9
  • O 2.5 Today 44% 4/9
  • O 3.5 11% 1/9
  • O 4.5 0% 0/9

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs UCF

What UCF allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds228.7#70
  • Yds/Att7.0#133
  • Cmp%63.3%#97
  • Pass TD1.0#167
  • Pass Att32.7#29

QBs vs UCF · 2026

Each main QB who faced UCF this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm-2.2
Avg diff %-80%
Beat their average0% (0/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 Conner Weigman02.8-100%
Sep 26 Jaden Craig02.0-100%
Sep 19 Cameran Brown22.5-20%
Sep 12 Mason Heintschel03.5-100%

Game log · 9 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 2.5Close
2026-09-264@ West Virginia3Over2.5
2026-09-051@ Tulsa1Under—
2025-12-271 (P)@ San Diego State3Over—
2025-12-0515@ Tulane2Under—
2025-11-2213@ Rice3Over—
2025-11-1512@ UAB2Under—
2025-10-249@ Charlotte4Over—
2025-09-204@ Army1Under—
2025-09-062@ Western Michigan2Under—

Pick’em lines: Underdog 2.5

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 6m ago.