College Football Prop Research

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Game logs through Oct 9, 2026 · 246 players

Aidan Chiles QB

Northwestern vs Ball State ·

2.5 Pass TDs O +154U -210
Hit rate · Last 10 20%2/10 Odds imply 36.8% Over
Season avg
1.5
Graph avg
1.1
Graph median
1.00–3
Over the close
50%4/8
2026 per game
Pass Yds225.0â–²+51.0
Att22.2â–¼-3.1
Cmp%70.8%â–²+7.7
Pass TD1.5â–²+0.2
INT0.0â–¼-0.4
Rush Yds10.2â–¼-18.1
Aidan Chiles passing tds by game, oldest to newest, against today’s line of 2.5.
  1. 2025
    1
  2. 3
  3. 0
  4. 0
  5. 1
  6. 0
  7. 2026
    1
  8. 3
  9. 2
  10. 0
  11. ?

Closing line = market consensus (SportsGameOdds), from the 2025 season on.

Splits all logged games · over 2.5

  • Home 25% 2/8 · avg 1.2
  • Away 25% 1/4 · avg 1.5
  • vs Ball State No games

Alt lines last 10 · how often Over cleared

  • O 0.5 60% 6/10
  • O 1.5 30% 3/10
  • O 2.5 Today 20% 2/10
  • O 3.5 0% 0/10
  • O 4.5 0% 0/10

Past results counted against these lines. Research only, not a projection.

Matchup radar · QBs vs Ball State

What Ball State allowed to QBs per game over its last 10 games. Rank 1 = allowed the most of 182 defenses.

Pass YdsYds/AttCmp%Pass TDPass Att
  • Pass Yds222.4#81
  • Yds/Att8.3#51
  • Cmp%60.4%#130
  • Pass TD2.2#36
  • Pass Att26.8#126

QBs vs Ball State · 2026

Each main QB who faced Ball State this season: pass tds in that game against their own average in their other games.

Avg vs their norm+0.6
Avg diff %+213%
Beat their average75% (3/4)
DatePlayerResultTheir avgDiff
Oct 03 John Alan Richter13.0-67%
Sep 26 Dru Deshields20.2+700%
Sep 19 Deshawn Purdie31.0+200%
Sep 05 Julian Sayin32.5+20%

Game log · 10 games

DateWkOppPass TDsvs 2.5Close
2026-10-025vs Penn State0Under1.5
2026-09-254@ Indiana2Under0.5
2026-09-193vs Colorado3Over1.5
2026-09-051vs South Dakota State1Under—
2025-10-259vs Michigan0Under0.5
2025-10-188@ Indiana1Under0.5
2025-10-117vs UCLA0Under1.5
2025-10-046@ Nebraska0Under1.5
2025-09-204@ USC3Over1.5
2025-09-133vs Youngstown State1Under—

Hit rate counts past games above today’s line. It describes history and is not a prediction or a pick. Game logs: CollegeFootballData box scores. Closing lines: SportsGameOdds consensus closing line. Lines: FanDuel, updated 4m ago.