NFL Receiving Lab: Target Share, Air Yards & aDOT

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs WR BAL #1 in rec yds allowed to WRs · 192/g Drake London · 27.7% target share Softest vs TE CIN #1 in rec yds allowed to TEs · 89/g Greg Dulcich · 14.3% target share Softest vs RB NYJ #1 in rec yds allowed to RBs · 46/g Quinshon Judkins · 13.4% target share Biggest role riser Isaiah Likely Target share +19.8 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 31.0% Steadiest over Darnell Mooney Over 17.5 in 8 of last 10 Rec Yds Red-zone magnet Darius Cooper 67% of PHI red-zone targets (4 of 6) 3 end-zone targets this season

Player

Rec Yds line

Season graph

Season hit

Season avg · vs line

Target share

Trend

RZ share

Opp Rec Yds

Research flags

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR SEA vs SF

94.5FanDuel

75%3/4

120.2+25.8

#26124.3

Role ▲ 7.6 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 94.5

122vs NE46% tgt
155@ ARI42% tgt
128@ WAS31% tgt
76vs LAC30% tgt

Target share: 37.3%
Targets / game: 10.5
WOPR: 0.90
aDOT: 9.9
Catch %: 76%
Snap %: 83%
RZ share: 48%
CROE: +13.7

Over 94.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season75%3/4
vs SF40%2/5

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	22.5	47	+109%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	8.5	10	+18%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	39.5	4	-90%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	32.5	40	+23%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	23.5	22	-6%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	34.5	43	+25%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	90.5	74	-18%

Trey McBrideTE ARI vs DET

81.5FanDuel

25%1/4

60.5-21.0

#277.8

Under in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #2

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 81.5

95@ LAC35% tgt
41vs SEA38% tgt
75@ SF22% tgt
31@ NYG34% tgt

Target share: 32.5%
Targets / game: 11.5
WOPR: 0.68
aDOT: 5.5
Catch %: 72%
Snap %: 89%
RZ share: 32%
CROE: +2.8

Over 81.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season25%1/4
vs DET0%0/1

TEs vs DET this season · against their closing line

67% went over (6 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tommy Tremble CAR	13.5	12	-11%
10-04	Mitchell Evans CAR	7.5	8	+7%
10-04	Darren Waller CAR	37.5	36	-4%
09-27	Kenyon Sadiq NYJ	31.5	105	+233%
09-27	Jeremy Ruckert NYJ	8.5	39	+359%
09-17	Dawson Knox BUF	12.5	5	-60%
09-17	Dalton Kincaid BUF	50.5	95	+88%
09-13	Noah Fant NO	10.5	33	+214%

Zay FlowersWR BAL vs ATL

69.5DraftKings

100%3/3

117.3+47.8

#6170.1

—

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 69.5

150@ IND25% tgt
84@ DAL30% tgt
118vs TEN34% tgt

Target share: 31.2%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.75
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 82%
Snap %: 58%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: +12.8

Over 69.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season100%3/3
vs ATLNo games

WRs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

83% went over (10 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Devaughn Vele NO	45.5	54	+19%
10-05	Chris Olave NO	86.5	116	+34%
09-24	Skyy Moore GB	10.5	31	+195%
09-24	Matthew Golden GB	55.5	100	+80%
09-24	Christian Watson GB	71.5	96	+34%
09-24	Bo Melton GB	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Xavier Legette CAR	16.5	64	+288%
09-20	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	58.5	101	+73%

Isaiah LikelyTE NYG vs WAS

41.5FanDuel

50%2/4

47.5+6.0

#765.6

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 19.8 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 41.5

78vs DAL28% tgt
33@ LA31% tgt
13vs TEN24% tgt
66vs ARI41% tgt

Target share: 31.0%
Targets / game: 8.8
WOPR: 0.62
aDOT: 7.0
Catch %: 63%
Snap %: 67%
RZ share: 46%
CROE: -6.6

Over 41.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season50%2/4
vs WAS0%0/1

TEs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

60% went over (3 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Warren IND	59.5	41	-31%
09-27	AJ Barner SEA	20.5	69	+237%
09-20	Jake Ferguson DAL	27.5	43	+56%
09-20	Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL	8.5	0	-100%
09-13	Dallas Goedert PHI	38.5	77	+100%

Brock BowersTE LV vs NE

73.5FanDuel

100%2/2

101.0+27.5

#3035.2

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 8.2 ptsTough matchup #30

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 73.5

116@ NO43% tgt
86vs KC23% tgt

Target share: 30.2%
Targets / game: 9.2
WOPR: 0.61
aDOT: 10.6
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 87%
RZ share: 44%
CROE: +4.6

Over 73.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season100%2/2
vs NE100%1/1

TEs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Dawson Knox BUF	9.5	13	+37%
10-04	Dalton Kincaid BUF	47.5	7	-85%
09-27	Brenton Strange JAX	30.5	32	+5%
09-20	Pat Freiermuth PIT	31.5	32	+2%
09-20	Darnell Washington PIT	14.5	7	-52%
09-09	AJ Barner SEA	25.5	13	-49%

Carnell TateWR TEN vs HOU

46.5Caesars

50%2/4

67.0+20.5

#9160.8

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 46.5

38vs NYJ21% tgt
27vs PHI29% tgt
58@ NYG26% tgt
145@ BAL43% tgt

Target share: 29.9%
Targets / game: 8.0
WOPR: 0.77
aDOT: 11.8
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 84%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: +6.8

Over 46.5 by window

Last 550%2/4
Last 1050%2/4
Last 1550%2/4
This season50%2/4
vs HOUNo games

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	33.5	37	+10%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	69.5	75	+8%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	76.5	189	+147%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	22.5	20	-11%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	32.5	63	+94%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	50.5	77	+52%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	95	+71%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	75	-2%

Amon-Ra St. BrownWR DET vs ARI

80.5DraftKings

25%1/4

75.8-4.8

#15143.1

Role ▼ 8.4 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 80.5

67vs NO36% tgt
142@ BUF34% tgt
19vs NYJ26% tgt
75@ CAR22% tgt

Target share: 29.4%
Targets / game: 11.5
WOPR: 0.66
aDOT: 8.1
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 89%
RZ share: 36%
CROE: +1.7

Over 80.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs ARI0%0/1

WRs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Malik Nabers NYG	54.5	112	+106%
10-04	Darnell Mooney NYG	20.5	0	-100%
10-04	Braxton Berrios NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Evans SF	55.5	34	-39%
09-27	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	40.5	80	+98%
09-20	Rashid Shaheed SEA	24.5	35	+43%
09-20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	81.5	155	+90%
09-20	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	20	-15%

Michael WilsonWR ARI vs DET

74.5DraftKings

50%2/4

64.5-10.0

#2181.9

Role ▲ 5.1 ptsSoft matchup #2

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 74.5

56@ LAC19% tgt
18vs SEA27% tgt
89@ SF34% tgt
95@ NYG37% tgt

Target share: 29.2%
Targets / game: 11.0
WOPR: 0.75
aDOT: 9.5
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 92%
RZ share: 32%
CROE: -4.8

Over 74.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs DET0%0/1

WRs vs DET this season · against their closing line

60% went over (6 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	72.5	192	+165%
10-04	John Metchie III CAR	20.5	37	+80%
10-04	Brycen Tremayne CAR	33.5	32	-4%
09-27	Isaiah Williams NYJ	33.5	21	-37%
09-27	Garrett Wilson NYJ	77.5	107	+38%
09-17	Khalil Shakir BUF	43.5	38	-13%
09-17	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	63	+334%
09-17	DJ Moore BUF	63.5	0	-100%

Justin JeffersonWR MIN vs NO

76.5BetMGM

33%1/3

59.7-16.8

#31114.7

Under in 7 of last 10Tough matchup #31

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 76.5

92vs GB39% tgt
55@ CHI32% tgt
32@ TB8% tgt

Target share: 28.8%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.69
aDOT: 11.1
Catch %: 76%
Snap %: 70%
RZ share: 50%
CROE: +10.6

Over 76.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season33%1/3
vs NONo games

WRs vs NO this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Zachariah Branch ATL	5.5	10	+82%
10-05	Olamide Zaccheaus ATL	8.5	0	-100%
10-05	Jahan Dotson ATL	19.5	54	+177%
10-05	Drake London ATL	80.5	96	+19%
09-27	Tre Tucker LV	39.5	43	+9%
09-27	Jalen Nailor LV	24.5	16	-35%
09-20	Rashod Bateman BAL	39.5	88	+123%
09-20	LaJohntay Wester BAL	21.5	14	-35%

Chris OlaveWR NO vs MIN

80.5DraftKings

100%4/4

122.8+42.2

#30118.2

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 3.6 ptsTough matchup #30

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 80.5

182@ DET25% tgt
86@ BAL31% tgt
107vs LV32% tgt
116vs ATL26% tgt

Target share: 28.6%
Targets / game: 12.0
WOPR: 0.74
aDOT: 13.5
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 85%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +11.1

Over 80.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season100%4/4
vs MINNo games

WRs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Miller MIA	4.5	0	-100%
10-04	Malik Washington MIA	40.5	67	+65%
10-04	Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA	14.5	3	-79%
09-27	Ted Hurst III TB	24.5	40	+63%
09-27	Jalen McMillan TB	13.5	0	-100%
09-27	Emeka Egbuka TB	49.5	62	+25%
09-27	Chris Godwin Jr. TB	35.5	25	-30%
09-20	Rome Odunze CHI	39.5	43	+9%

Garrett WilsonWR NYJ vs CLE

64.5ESPN BET

50%2/4

67.5+3.0

#28123.1

Role ▼ 4.2 ptsTough matchup #28

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 64.5

79@ TEN30% tgt
57vs GB19% tgt
107@ DET36% tgt
27@ CHI27% tgt

Target share: 28.2%
Targets / game: 7.8
WOPR: 0.69
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 77%
Snap %: 89%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: +12.5

Over 64.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs CLE0%0/1

WRs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

64% went over (9 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Roman Wilson PIT	20.5	74	+261%
10-01	Michael Pittman PIT	34.5	15	-57%
10-01	Germie Bernard PIT	8.5	11	+29%
10-01	DK Metcalf PIT	46.5	115	+147%
09-27	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	62.5	17	-73%
09-27	John Metchie III CAR	9.5	19	+100%
09-27	Jalen Coker CAR	58.5	18	-69%
09-27	Brycen Tremayne CAR	16.5	83	+403%

Drake LondonWR ATL vs BAL

80.5FanDuel

50%2/4

92.5+12.0

#1192.4

Role ▲ 4.9 ptsSoft matchup #1

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 80.5

29@ PIT21% tgt
51vs CAR16% tgt
194@ GB44% tgt
96@ NO30% tgt

Target share: 27.7%
Targets / game: 6.2
WOPR: 0.69
aDOT: 8.3
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 86%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +9.1

Over 80.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs BALNo games

WRs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	19	-49%
10-04	Elic Ayomanor TEN	19.5	22	+13%
10-04	Carnell Tate TEN	43.5	145	+233%
10-04	Calvin Ridley TEN	5.5	13	+136%
09-27	Ryan Flournoy DAL	29.5	22	-25%
09-27	George Pickens DAL	64.5	82	+27%
09-27	CeeDee Lamb DAL	82.5	112	+36%
09-20	Devaughn Vele NO	43.5	64	+47%

Malik WashingtonWR MIA vs CIN

44.5FanDuel

75%3/4

54.8+10.2

#32104.4

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 17.9 ptsTough matchup #32

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 44.5

53@ LV30% tgt
43@ SF22% tgt
56vs KC29% tgt
67@ MIN29% tgt

Target share: 27.3%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.61
aDOT: 11.1
Catch %: 61%
Snap %: 86%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -5.0

Over 44.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season75%3/4
vs CIN0%0/1

WRs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (7 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Parker Washington JAX	75.5	7	-91%
10-04	Jakobi Meyers JAX	41.5	33	-20%
10-04	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Roman Wilson PIT	22.5	60	+167%
09-27	Michael Pittman PIT	27.5	16	-42%
09-27	DK Metcalf PIT	52.5	31	-41%
09-20	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	32.5	37	+14%
09-20	Kayshon Boutte HOU	35.5	37	+4%

Parker WashingtonWR JAX vs PHI

61.5Caesars

50%2/4

57.0-4.5

#22128.3

Role ▼ 5.4 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 61.5

83vs CLE29% tgt
98@ DEN43% tgt
40vs NE18% tgt
7@ CIN13% tgt

Target share: 25.7%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.65
aDOT: 14.1
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: +8.7

Over 61.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs PHI0%0/1

WRs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Puka Nacua LA	76.5	125	+63%
10-04	Jordan Whittington LA	11.5	4	-65%
10-04	Davante Adams LA	59.5	32	-46%
09-28	Rome Odunze CHI	26.5	44	+66%
09-28	Luther Burden III CHI	33.5	61	+82%
09-28	Kalif Raymond CHI	22.5	90	+300%
09-20	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	9	-76%
09-20	Elic Ayomanor TEN	9.5	69	+626%

Tee HigginsWR CIN vs MIA

66.5PrizePicks

75%3/4

100.2+33.8

#17137.0

Role ▲ 5.0 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 66.5

59vs TB18% tgt
95@ HOU32% tgt
90@ PIT19% tgt
157vs JAX30% tgt

Target share: 24.8%
Targets / game: 9.8
WOPR: 0.70
aDOT: 13.4
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +4.0

Over 66.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs MIA0%0/1

WRs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

42% went over (5 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tai Felton MIN	15.5	14	-10%
10-04	Jordan Addison MIN	62.5	52	-17%
10-04	Jauan Jennings MIN	26.5	8	-70%
09-27	Xavier Worthy KC	38.5	20	-48%
09-27	Tyquan Thornton KC	19.5	22	+13%
09-27	Rashee Rice KC	48.5	88	+81%
09-20	Mike Evans SF	49.5	54	+9%
09-20	Demarcus Robinson SF	26.5	34	+28%

T.J. HockensonTE MIN vs NO

36.5DraftKings

25%1/4

48.8+12.2

#1258.5

Role ▲ 9.8 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 36.5

36vs GB22% tgt
29@ CHI21% tgt
11@ TB16% tgt
119vs MIA39% tgt

Target share: 24.5%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.53
aDOT: 6.8
Catch %: 85%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 46%
CROE: +13.2

Over 36.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs NONo games

TEs vs NO this season · against their closing line

86% went over (6 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Kyle Pitts ATL	31.5	47	+49%
10-05	Austin Hooper ATL	6.5	9	+38%
09-27	Michael Mayer LV	21.5	32	+49%
09-27	Brock Bowers LV	46.5	116	+149%
09-20	Mark Andrews BAL	45.5	49	+8%
09-20	Durham Smythe BAL	8.5	0	-100%
09-13	Sam LaPorta DET	44.5	48	+8%

Malik NabersWR NYG vs WAS

59.5DraftKings

50%2/4

52.0-7.5

#10155.9

Role ▼ 3.0 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 59.5

69vs DAL31% tgt
1@ LA12% tgt
26vs TEN29% tgt
112vs ARI24% tgt

Target share: 24.1%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.54
aDOT: 11.5
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 70%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +6.2

Over 59.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season50%2/4
vs WAS67%2/3

WRs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND	24.5	0	-100%
10-04	Laquon Treadwell IND	24.5	42	+71%
10-04	Josh Downs IND	70.5	16	-77%
09-27	Tory Horton SEA	0.5	48	+9500%
09-27	Rashid Shaheed SEA	28.5	14	-51%
09-27	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	90.5	128	+41%
09-27	Cooper Kupp SEA	19.5	46	+136%
09-20	Ryan Flournoy DAL	30.5	23	-25%

Nico CollinsWR HOU vs TEN

79.5ESPN BET

50%1/2

96.5+17.0

#8161.7

—

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 79.5

75vs BUF27% tgt
118vs DAL31% tgt

Target share: 23.8%
Targets / game: 7.2
WOPR: 0.55
aDOT: 12.9
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 50%
CROE: +16.4

Over 79.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%1/2
vs TEN50%2/4

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

82% went over (9 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	72.5	118	+63%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	26.5	46	+74%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	52.5	26	-50%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	17.5	20	+14%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	25.5	14	-45%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	31.5	74	+135%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	60.5	117	+93%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	14.5	30	+107%

Mark AndrewsTE BAL vs ATL

30.5Fanatics

50%2/4

37.2+6.8

#1059.9

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 4.3 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 30.5

49@ IND25% tgt
49vs NO24% tgt
24@ DAL25% tgt
27vs TEN21% tgt

Target share: 23.7%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.48
aDOT: 7.2
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 21%
CROE: +5.9

Over 30.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs ATLNo games

TEs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

62% went over (5 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Oscar Delp NO	9.5	0	-100%
10-05	Juwan Johnson NO	46.5	59	+27%
09-24	Tucker Kraft GB	46.5	26	-44%
09-24	Jonnu Smith GB	8.5	16	+88%
09-20	Tommy Tremble CAR	13.5	4	-70%
09-20	Darren Waller CAR	16.5	33	+100%
09-13	Pat Freiermuth PIT	26.5	46	+74%
09-13	Darnell Washington PIT	16.5	18	+9%

Terry McLaurinWR WAS vs NYG

59.5Underdog

33%1/3

47.0-12.5

#20133.8

Role ▼ 4.3 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 59.5

14@ PHI14% tgt
50@ DAL26% tgt
77vs SEA30% tgt

Target share: 22.8%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.57
aDOT: 13.0
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 15%
CROE: -13.1

Over 59.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season33%1/3
vs NYG25%1/4

WRs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

40% went over (6 of 15)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Michael Wilson ARI	56.5	95	+68%
10-04	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	34.5	12	-65%
09-27	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	30.5	57	+87%
09-27	Elic Ayomanor TEN	13.5	11	-19%
09-27	Chimere Dike TEN	9.5	3	-68%
09-27	Carnell Tate TEN	38.5	58	+51%
09-27	Calvin Ridley TEN	13.5	0	-100%
09-21	Xavier Smith LA	14.5	0	-100%

DK MetcalfWR PIT vs IND

53.5FanDuel

25%1/4

53.2-0.2

#3179.9

Under in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #3

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 53.5

40vs ATL27% tgt
27@ NE24% tgt
31vs CIN16% tgt
115@ CLE23% tgt

Target share: 22.6%
Targets / game: 8.2
WOPR: 0.57
aDOT: 15.0
Catch %: 48%
Snap %: 96%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: -8.3

Over 53.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs IND0%0/1

WRs vs IND this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Treylon Burks WAS	18.5	47	+154%
10-04	Stefon Diggs WAS	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Dyami Brown WAS	12.5	65	+420%
09-27	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	38.5	51	+32%
09-27	Kayshon Boutte HOU	36.5	21	-42%
09-27	Jaylin Noel HOU	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Jared Wayne HOU	15.5	20	+29%
09-20	Xavier Worthy KC	39.5	25	-37%

Keenan AllenWR IND vs PIT

29.5DraftKings

67%2/3

33.3+3.8

#11154.0

—

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 29.5

32vs BAL21% tgt
5@ KC17% tgt
63vs HOU26% tgt

Target share: 22.4%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.47
aDOT: 6.2
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: -5.6

Over 29.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season67%2/3
vs PIT0%0/1

WRs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Jerry Jeudy CLE	14.5	36	+148%
10-01	Denzel Boston CLE	38.5	89	+131%
09-27	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	90	+62%
09-27	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	98	+28%
09-20	Romeo Doubs NE	39.5	96	+143%
09-20	Mack Hollins NE	36.5	18	-51%
09-20	Kyle Williams NE	6.5	10	+54%
09-20	DeMario Douglas NE	34.5	9	-74%

Jordan AddisonWR MIN vs NO

40.5DraftKings

50%2/4

40.8+0.2

#31114.7

Role ▲ 12.7 ptsTough matchup #31

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 40.5

0vs GB9% tgt
21@ CHI26% tgt
90@ TB36% tgt
52vs MIA18% tgt

Target share: 22.3%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.56
aDOT: 12.4
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 91%
RZ share: 9%
CROE: -11.7

Over 40.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs NONo games

WRs vs NO this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Zachariah Branch ATL	5.5	10	+82%
10-05	Olamide Zaccheaus ATL	8.5	0	-100%
10-05	Jahan Dotson ATL	19.5	54	+177%
10-05	Drake London ATL	80.5	96	+19%
09-27	Tre Tucker LV	39.5	43	+9%
09-27	Jalen Nailor LV	24.5	16	-35%
09-20	Rashod Bateman BAL	39.5	88	+123%
09-20	LaJohntay Wester BAL	21.5	14	-35%

Josh DownsWR IND vs PIT

55.5DraftKings

50%2/4

50.5-5.0

#11154.0

Role ▲ 3.9 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 55.5

37vs BAL14% tgt
72@ KC30% tgt
77vs HOU31% tgt
16@ WAS14% tgt

Target share: 22.3%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.55
aDOT: 10.0
Catch %: 61%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: -1.8

Over 55.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs PIT100%2/2

WRs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Jerry Jeudy CLE	14.5	36	+148%
10-01	Denzel Boston CLE	38.5	89	+131%
09-27	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	90	+62%
09-27	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	98	+28%
09-20	Romeo Doubs NE	39.5	96	+143%
09-20	Mack Hollins NE	36.5	18	-51%
09-20	Kyle Williams NE	6.5	10	+54%
09-20	DeMario Douglas NE	34.5	9	-74%

Tyler WarrenTE IND vs PIT

46.5FanDuel

25%1/4

32.5-14.0

#1652.8

Under in 9 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 46.5

13vs BAL17% tgt
21@ KC23% tgt
55vs HOU29% tgt
41@ WAS17% tgt

Target share: 21.6%
Targets / game: 6.8
WOPR: 0.38
aDOT: 2.2
Catch %: 85%
Snap %: 90%
RZ share: 21%
CROE: +8.1

Over 46.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs PIT0%0/1

TEs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Harold Fannin Jr. CLE	40.5	27	-33%
10-01	Blake Whiteheart CLE	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Gesicki CIN	24.5	37	+51%
09-27	Drew Sample CIN	6.5	0	-100%
09-20	Hunter Henry NE	39.5	40	+1%
09-20	Eli Raridon NE	5.5	30	+445%
09-13	Kyle Pitts ATL	38.5	0	-100%

RJ HarveyRB DEN vs LAC

27.5FanDuel

67%2/3

44.0+16.5

#1729.6

Role ▲ 6.8 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 27.5

23@ KC15% tgt
41vs LA23% tgt
68@ SF26% tgt

Target share: 21.5%
Targets / game: 6.8
WOPR: 0.27
aDOT: -2.8
Catch %: 95%
Snap %: 46%
RZ share: 17%
CROE: +11.5

Over 27.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season67%2/3
vs LAC0%0/2

RBs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	George Holani SEA	10.5	2	-81%
10-04	Emanuel Wilson SEA	6.5	39	+500%
09-27	James Cook BUF	11.5	0	-100%
09-20	Ashton Jeanty LV	26.5	15	-43%
09-13	Tyler Allgeier ARI	2.5	9	+260%
09-13	Jeremiyah Love ARI	15.5	9	-42%

Mike EvansWR SF vs SEA

50.5FanDuel

50%2/4

53.2+2.8

#21129.4

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 3.2 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 50.5

49@ LA21% tgt
54vs MIA14% tgt
34vs ARI23% tgt
76vs DEN28% tgt

Target share: 21.4%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.57
aDOT: 13.1
Catch %: 71%
Snap %: 55%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +12.9

Over 50.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs SEANo games

WRs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

29% went over (4 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tre Harris LAC	36.5	60	+64%
10-04	Quentin Johnston LAC	34.5	44	+28%
10-04	Ladd McConkey LAC	47.5	0	-100%
09-27	Terry McLaurin WAS	42.5	77	+81%
09-27	Stefon Diggs WAS	35.5	33	-7%
09-27	Dyami Brown WAS	8.5	0	-100%
09-20	Michael Wilson ARI	46.5	18	-61%
09-20	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	36.5	0	-100%

Bijan RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL

26.5DraftKings

25%1/4

30.0+3.5

#1035.6

Role ▼ 6.2 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 26.5

90@ PIT53% tgt
9vs CAR13% tgt
19@ GB9% tgt
2@ NO10% tgt

Target share: 21.1%
Targets / game: 4.5
WOPR: 0.24
aDOT: -1.8
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -4.4

Over 26.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs BALNo games

RBs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyjae Spears TEN	12.5	-1	-108%
10-04	Tony Pollard TEN	8.5	2	-76%
09-27	Javonte Williams DAL	14.5	5	-66%
09-20	Travis Etienne NO	11.5	6	-48%
09-20	Alvin Kamara NO	12.5	7	-44%
09-13	Jonathan Taylor IND	18.5	23	+24%

Jaylen WaddleWR DEN vs LAC

55.5FanDuel

25%1/4

46.2-9.2

#13147.7

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 55.5

2@ KC11% tgt
138vs JAX34% tgt
10vs LA23% tgt
35@ SF16% tgt

Target share: 21.0%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.54
aDOT: 10.7
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 69%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: -3.4

Over 55.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAC100%1/1

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	7.5	6	-20%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	23.5	20	-15%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	93.5	76	-19%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	13	-45%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	42.5	6	-86%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	37	+155%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	48.5	67	+38%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	36.5	119	+226%

George KittleTE SF vs SEA

54.5FanDuel

75%3/4

61.0+6.5

#2341.9

Over in 7 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 54.5

12@ LA15% tgt
80vs MIA19% tgt
82vs ARI27% tgt
70vs DEN21% tgt

Target share: 20.3%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 8.4
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 24%
CROE: +5.5

Over 54.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season75%3/4
vs SEA33%1/3

TEs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

20% went over (1 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Oronde Gadsden II LAC	27.5	36	+31%
09-27	Ben Sinnott WAS	7.5	0	-100%
09-20	Trey McBride ARI	60.5	41	-32%
09-09	Hunter Henry NE	33.5	26	-22%
09-09	Eli Raridon NE	5.5	2	-64%

Khalil ShakirWR BUF vs LAR

45.5FanDuel

50%2/4

44.0-1.5

#19134.4

Role ▼ 6.3 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 45.5

50@ HOU21% tgt
38vs DET21% tgt
6vs LAC12% tgt
82vs NE27% tgt

Target share: 20.3%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.40
aDOT: 6.6
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: -5.8

Over 45.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs LAR100%1/1

WRs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Makai Lemon PHI	35.5	27	-24%
10-04	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	54.5	18	-67%
10-04	Darius Cooper PHI	20.5	33	+61%
09-27	Troy Franklin DEN	6.5	21	+223%
09-27	Pat Bryant DEN	24.5	44	+80%
09-27	Jaylen Waddle DEN	59.5	10	-83%
09-27	Courtland Sutton DEN	36.5	46	+26%
09-21	Malik Nabers NYG	61.5	1	-98%

Christian McCaffreyRB SF vs SEA

35.5FanDuel

50%2/4

30.5-5.0

#638.3

Role ▼ 3.5 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 35.5

20@ LA24% tgt
43vs MIA19% tgt
41vs ARI19% tgt
18vs DEN17% tgt

Target share: 19.8%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.33
aDOT: 2.5
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: -6.1

Over 35.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season50%2/4
vs SEA50%2/4

RBs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Omarion Hampton LAC	5.5	8	+45%
10-04	Keaton Mitchell LAC	10.5	24	+129%
09-27	Rachaad White WAS	15.5	6	-61%
09-27	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS	0.5	7	+1300%
09-20	Tyler Allgeier ARI	7.5	9	+20%
09-20	Jeremiyah Love ARI	17.5	16	-9%
09-09	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	24.5	44	+80%

Harold FanninTE CLE vs NYJ

35.5FanDuel

50%2/4

38.2+2.8

#665.8

Role ▼ 6.6 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 35.5

21@ JAX14% tgt
54@ TB20% tgt
51vs CAR30% tgt
27vs PIT15% tgt

Target share: 19.7%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.44
aDOT: 6.1
Catch %: 74%
Snap %: 86%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +10.0

Over 35.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%2/4
vs NYJ100%1/1

TEs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Colston Loveland CHI	33.5	57	+70%
10-04	Cole Kmet CHI	9.5	13	+37%
09-27	Sam LaPorta DET	46.5	44	-5%
09-20	Tucker Kraft GB	45.5	15	-67%
09-13	Gunnar Helm TEN	20.5	28	+37%
09-13	Daniel Bellinger TEN	7.5	7	-7%

Xavier HutchinsonWR HOU vs TEN

14.5DraftKings

100%4/4

41.5+27.0

#8161.7

Over in 9 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 14.5

32vs BUF16% tgt
37vs CIN18% tgt
51@ IND24% tgt
46vs DAL19% tgt

Target share: 19.4%
Targets / game: 6.5
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 13.9
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 56%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -16.0

Over 14.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1090%9/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season100%4/4
vs TEN50%2/4

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

82% went over (9 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	72.5	118	+63%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	26.5	46	+74%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	52.5	26	-50%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	17.5	20	+14%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	25.5	14	-45%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	31.5	74	+135%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	60.5	117	+93%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	14.5	30	+107%

Sam LaPortaTE DET vs ARI

51.5DraftKings

50%2/4

57.0+5.5

#370.8

Soft matchup #3

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 51.5

48vs NO20% tgt
52@ BUF18% tgt
44vs NYJ13% tgt
84@ CAR26% tgt

Target share: 19.3%
Targets / game: 8.0
WOPR: 0.39
aDOT: 5.9
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 88%
RZ share: 27%
CROE: +3.2

Over 51.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs ARI0%0/1

TEs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Theo Johnson NYG	8.5	11	+29%
10-04	Isaiah Likely NYG	41.5	66	+59%
09-27	George Kittle SF	47.5	82	+73%
09-20	AJ Barner SEA	22.5	8	-64%
09-13	David Njoku LAC	13.5	58	+330%
09-13	Charlie Kolar LAC	16.5	0	-100%

Wan'Dale RobinsonWR TEN vs HOU

33.5ESPN BET

50%2/4

30.8-2.8

#9160.8

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 19.7 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 33.5

38vs NYJ21% tgt
9vs PHI6% tgt
57@ NYG31% tgt
19@ BAL18% tgt

Target share: 19.1%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.39
aDOT: 5.6
Catch %: 70%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: +1.3

Over 33.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season50%2/4
vs HOUNo games

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	33.5	37	+10%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	69.5	75	+8%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	76.5	189	+147%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	22.5	20	-11%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	32.5	63	+94%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	50.5	77	+52%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	95	+71%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	75	-2%

Denzel BostonWR CLE vs NYJ

47.5FanDuel

75%3/4

71.0+23.5

#23128.1

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 47.5

59@ JAX18% tgt
95@ TB23% tgt
41vs CAR13% tgt
89vs PIT21% tgt

Target share: 19.0%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.63
aDOT: 17.4
Catch %: 59%
Snap %: 92%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +4.8

Over 47.5 by window

Last 575%3/4
Last 1075%3/4
Last 1575%3/4
This season75%3/4
vs NYJNo games

WRs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

43% went over (6 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Rome Odunze CHI	32.5	94	+189%
10-04	Luther Burden III CHI	46.5	63	+35%
10-04	Kalif Raymond CHI	31.5	6	-81%
09-27	Jameson Williams DET	54.5	49	-10%
09-27	Isaac TeSlaa DET	15.5	66	+326%
09-27	Amon-Ra St. Brown DET	75.5	19	-75%
09-20	Matthew Golden GB	49.5	58	+17%
09-20	Jayden Reed GB	37.5	4	-89%

Dontayvion WicksWR PHI vs JAX

43.5BetMGM

50%2/4

49.2+5.8

#4173.4

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 8.5 ptsSoft matchup #4

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 43.5

73vs WAS18% tgt
74@ TEN18% tgt
32@ CHI20% tgt
18vs LA20% tgt

Target share: 19.0%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.49
aDOT: 12.4
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 83%
RZ share: 31%
CROE: +3.3

Over 43.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season50%2/4
vs JAX0%0/1

WRs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

67% went over (8 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tee Higgins CIN	62.5	157	+151%
10-04	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	83.5	27	-68%
09-27	Romeo Doubs NE	42.5	49	+15%
09-27	Mack Hollins NE	34.5	87	+152%
09-27	Kyle Williams NE	7.5	34	+353%
09-27	DeMario Douglas NE	28.5	38	+33%
09-20	Troy Franklin DEN	9.5	27	+184%
09-20	Pat Bryant DEN	32.5	0	-100%

Brenton StrangeTE JAX vs PHI

34.5ESPN BET

25%1/4

41.8+7.2

#3226.3

Tough matchup #32

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 34.5

23vs CLE14% tgt
17@ DEN7% tgt
32vs NE18% tgt
95@ CIN35% tgt

Target share: 18.7%
Targets / game: 4.5
WOPR: 0.41
aDOT: 7.8
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +8.1

Over 34.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs PHINo games

TEs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Higbee LA	32.5	67	+106%
10-04	Davis Allen LA	11.5	0	-100%
09-28	Colston Loveland CHI	33.5	31	-7%
09-28	Cole Kmet CHI	8.5	0	-100%
09-20	Gunnar Helm TEN	22.5	13	-42%
09-20	Daniel Bellinger TEN	4.5	0	-100%

Jahmyr GibbsRB DET vs ARI

37.5FanDuel

50%2/4

46.8+9.2

#1134.9

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 37.5

30vs NO13% tgt
61@ BUF21% tgt
65vs NYJ26% tgt
31@ CAR14% tgt

Target share: 18.4%
Targets / game: 7.0
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 2.0
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 78%
RZ share: 18%
CROE: +1.0

Over 37.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs ARI0%0/1

RBs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

25% went over (2 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Najee Harris NYG	2.5	0	-100%
10-04	Cam Skattebo NYG	18.5	8	-57%
09-27	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	0	-100%
09-27	Christian McCaffrey SF	38.5	41	+6%
09-20	Jadarian Price SEA	7.5	8	+7%
09-20	George Holani SEA	8.5	2	-76%
09-13	Omarion Hampton LAC	13.5	0	-100%
09-13	Keaton Mitchell LAC	7.5	0	-100%

Devaughn VeleWR NO vs MIN

40.5DraftKings

75%3/4

56.5+16.0

#30118.2

Tough matchup #30

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 40.5

69@ DET17% tgt
64@ BAL22% tgt
39vs LV15% tgt
54vs ATL19% tgt

Target share: 18.3%
Targets / game: 7.8
WOPR: 0.44
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 68%
Snap %: 91%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +4.7

Over 40.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs MINNo games

WRs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Miller MIA	4.5	0	-100%
10-04	Malik Washington MIA	40.5	67	+65%
10-04	Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA	14.5	3	-79%
09-27	Ted Hurst III TB	24.5	40	+63%
09-27	Jalen McMillan TB	13.5	0	-100%
09-27	Emeka Egbuka TB	49.5	62	+25%
09-27	Chris Godwin Jr. TB	35.5	25	-30%
09-20	Rome Odunze CHI	39.5	43	+9%

Ashton JeantyRB LV vs NE

—

#2227.4

Role ▲ 3.0 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards

45vs MIA21% tgt
15@ LAC24% tgt
37@ NO10% tgt
68vs KC17% tgt

Target share: 17.9%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 1.8
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 30%
CROE: +3.5

RBs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (5 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ty Johnson BUF	11.5	9	-22%
10-04	James Cook BUF	7.5	8	+7%
09-27	LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	0.5	9	+1700%
09-27	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	10.5	17	+62%
09-20	Rico Dowdle PIT	14.5	22	+52%
09-20	Jaylen Warren PIT	18.5	34	+84%
09-09	Jadarian Price SEA	7.5	6	-20%

Tre' HarrisWR LAC vs DEN

49.5Underdog

75%3/4

52.2+2.8

#27123.8

Role ▲ 6.1 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 49.5

20vs ARI22% tgt
53vs LV12% tgt
76@ BUF21% tgt
60@ SEA16% tgt

Target share: 17.8%
Targets / game: 5.2
WOPR: 0.44
aDOT: 12.0
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 77%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +0.3

Over 49.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season75%3/4
vs DEN0%0/2

WRs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

42% went over (5 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Mike Evans SF	44.5	76	+71%
10-04	Jacob Cowing SF	5.5	0	-100%
10-04	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	34.5	26	-25%
09-27	Xavier Smith LA	24.5	0	-100%
09-27	Konata Mumpfield LA	9.5	93	+879%
09-27	Davante Adams LA	71.5	137	+92%
09-20	Parker Washington JAX	59.5	98	+65%
09-20	Jakobi Meyers JAX	37.5	28	-25%

Courtland SuttonWR DEN vs LAC

36.5DraftKings

25%1/4

21.5-15.0

#13147.7

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 36.5

11@ KC18% tgt
25vs JAX14% tgt
46vs LA23% tgt
4@ SF16% tgt

Target share: 17.7%
Targets / game: 5.5
WOPR: 0.53
aDOT: 11.5
Catch %: 41%
Snap %: 77%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: -17.1

Over 36.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAC75%3/4

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	7.5	6	-20%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	23.5	20	-15%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	93.5	76	-19%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	13	-45%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	42.5	6	-86%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	37	+155%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	48.5	67	+38%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	36.5	119	+226%

Kenyon SadiqTE NYJ vs CLE

30.5Fanatics

25%1/4

35.8+5.2

#960.1

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 30.5

21@ TEN13% tgt
17vs GB8% tgt
105@ DET22% tgt
0@ CHI27% tgt

Target share: 17.6%
Targets / game: 4.5
WOPR: 0.33
aDOT: 5.4
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 51%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -2.5

Over 30.5 by window

Last 525%1/4
Last 1025%1/4
Last 1525%1/4
This season25%1/4
vs CLENo games

TEs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Pat Freiermuth PIT	27.5	17	-38%
10-01	Darnell Washington PIT	16.5	27	+64%
09-27	Tommy Tremble CAR	10.5	41	+290%
09-27	Mitchell Evans CAR	4.5	36	+700%
09-27	Darren Waller CAR	20.5	51	+149%
09-20	Cade Otton TB	27.5	38	+38%
09-13	Brenton Strange JAX	36.5	23	-37%

Mason TaylorTE NYJ vs CLE

13.5FanDuel

0%0/1

-2.0-15.5

#960.1

Over in 7 of last 10

Last 1 games · receiving yards vs 13.5

-2@ TEN13% tgt

Target share: 17.4%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.32
aDOT: 0.3
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -14.4

Over 13.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1571%10/14
This season0%0/1
vs CLE0%0/1

TEs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Pat Freiermuth PIT	27.5	17	-38%
10-01	Darnell Washington PIT	16.5	27	+64%
09-27	Tommy Tremble CAR	10.5	41	+290%
09-27	Mitchell Evans CAR	4.5	36	+700%
09-27	Darren Waller CAR	20.5	51	+149%
09-20	Cade Otton TB	27.5	38	+38%
09-13	Brenton Strange JAX	36.5	23	-37%

Dalton SchultzTE HOU vs TEN

34.5FanDuel

50%2/4

53.5+19.0

#1455.5

Role ▲ 5.7 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 34.5

35vs BUF22% tgt
140vs CIN28% tgt
30@ IND12% tgt
9vs DAL8% tgt

Target share: 17.3%
Targets / game: 6.8
WOPR: 0.33
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 63%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +7.2

Over 34.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season50%2/4
vs TEN25%1/4

TEs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

0% went over (0 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Mark Andrews BAL	38.5	27	-30%
10-04	Durham Smythe BAL	5.5	0	-100%
09-27	Isaiah Likely NYG	38.5	13	-66%
09-20	Dallas Goedert PHI	39.5	4	-90%
09-13	Mason Taylor NYJ	21.5	-2	-109%

Michael MayerTE LV vs NE

29.5DraftKings

75%3/4

42.2+12.8

#3035.2

Tough matchup #30

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 29.5

32vs MIA24% tgt
23@ LAC14% tgt
32@ NO10% tgt
82vs KC21% tgt

Target share: 17.2%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.32
aDOT: 4.8
Catch %: 83%
Snap %: 85%
RZ share: 10%
CROE: +7.8

Over 29.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs NE100%1/1

TEs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Dawson Knox BUF	9.5	13	+37%
10-04	Dalton Kincaid BUF	47.5	7	-85%
09-27	Brenton Strange JAX	30.5	32	+5%
09-20	Pat Freiermuth PIT	31.5	32	+2%
09-20	Darnell Washington PIT	14.5	7	-52%
09-09	AJ Barner SEA	25.5	13	-49%

Dalton KincaidTE BUF vs LAR

51.5DraftKings

50%2/4

67.5+16.0

#2738.5

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 5.6 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 51.5

130@ HOU21% tgt
95vs DET29% tgt
38vs LAC12% tgt
7vs NE7% tgt

Target share: 17.1%
Targets / game: 4.8
WOPR: 0.40
aDOT: 12.6
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +13.8

Over 51.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs LARNo games

TEs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Johnny Mundt PHI	8.5	0	-100%
09-27	Nate Adkins DEN	0.5	8	+1500%
09-27	Evan Engram DEN	21.5	0	-100%
09-21	Theo Johnson NYG	9.5	0	-100%
09-21	Isaiah Likely NYG	45.5	33	-27%
09-10	George Kittle SF	33.5	12	-64%

Tre TuckerWR LV vs NE

40.5FanDuel

75%3/4

58.2+17.8

#29119.1

Tough matchup #29

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 40.5

27vs MIA14% tgt
119@ LAC24% tgt
43@ NO13% tgt
44vs KC17% tgt

Target share: 17.0%
Targets / game: 5.8
WOPR: 0.45
aDOT: 15.5
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 64%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +4.9

Over 40.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs NE100%1/1

WRs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (6 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Khalil Shakir BUF	38.5	82	+113%
10-04	Keon Coleman BUF	12.5	116	+828%
10-04	DJ Moore BUF	50.5	11	-78%
09-27	Parker Washington JAX	70.5	40	-43%
09-27	Jakobi Meyers JAX	35.5	64	+80%
09-27	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	34.5	8	-77%
09-20	Roman Wilson PIT	33.5	28	-16%
09-20	Germie Bernard PIT	15.5	35	+126%

Roman WilsonWR PIT vs IND

41.5DraftKings

50%2/4

47.0+5.5

#3179.9

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 8.8 ptsSoft matchup #3

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 41.5

26vs ATL16% tgt
28@ NE16% tgt
60vs CIN19% tgt
74@ CLE15% tgt

Target share: 16.8%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.42
aDOT: 15.3
Catch %: 58%
Snap %: 51%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +1.1

Over 41.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1523%3/13
This season50%2/4
vs IND0%0/1

WRs vs IND this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Treylon Burks WAS	18.5	47	+154%
10-04	Stefon Diggs WAS	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Dyami Brown WAS	12.5	65	+420%
09-27	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	38.5	51	+32%
09-27	Kayshon Boutte HOU	36.5	21	-42%
09-27	Jaylin Noel HOU	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Jared Wayne HOU	15.5	20	+29%
09-20	Xavier Worthy KC	39.5	25	-37%

Romeo DoubsWR NE vs LV

49.5FanDuel

50%2/4

50.8+1.2

#18136.0

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 49.5

0@ SEA10% tgt
96vs PIT19% tgt
49@ JAX13% tgt
58@ BUF25% tgt

Target share: 16.8%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 16.1
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: +7.8

Over 49.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs LVNo games

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	33.5	70	+109%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	22.5	111	+393%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	48.5	39	-20%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	76.5	107	+40%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	30.5	53	+74%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	46.5	7	-85%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	45.5	35	-23%

Juwan JohnsonTE NO vs MIN

42.5DraftKings

100%4/4

58.0+15.5

#3130.4

Over in 7 of last 10Tough matchup #31

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 42.5

54@ DET14% tgt
66@ BAL12% tgt
53vs LV20% tgt
59vs ATL17% tgt

Target share: 15.7%
Targets / game: 6.8
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 69%
RZ share: 27%
CROE: +8.6

Over 42.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season100%4/4
vs MINNo games

TEs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (2 of 4)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
09-27	Cade Otton TB	27.5	56	+104%
09-20	Colston Loveland CHI	50.5	3	-94%
09-20	Cole Kmet CHI	13.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tucker Kraft GB	43.5	65	+49%

Jameson WilliamsWR DET vs ARI

54.5Bally Bet

25%1/4

57.2+2.8

#15143.1

Role ▼ 3.5 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 54.5

45vs NO23% tgt
33@ BUF10% tgt
49vs NYJ13% tgt
102@ CAR16% tgt

Target share: 15.5%
Targets / game: 6.2
WOPR: 0.46
aDOT: 14.4
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 90%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +4.6

Over 54.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season25%1/4
vs ARI0%0/1

WRs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Malik Nabers NYG	54.5	112	+106%
10-04	Darnell Mooney NYG	20.5	0	-100%
10-04	Braxton Berrios NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Evans SF	55.5	34	-39%
09-27	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	40.5	80	+98%
09-20	Rashid Shaheed SEA	24.5	35	+43%
09-20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	81.5	155	+90%
09-20	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	20	-15%

Makai LemonWR PHI vs JAX

35.5DraftKings

0%0/4

16.2-19.2

#4173.4

Soft matchup #4

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 35.5

-5vs WAS18% tgt
14@ TEN3% tgt
29@ CHI16% tgt
27vs LA24% tgt

Target share: 15.3%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.31
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -3.3

Over 35.5 by window

Last 50%0/4
Last 100%0/4
Last 150%0/4
This season0%0/4
vs JAXNo games

WRs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

67% went over (8 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tee Higgins CIN	62.5	157	+151%
10-04	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	83.5	27	-68%
09-27	Romeo Doubs NE	42.5	49	+15%
09-27	Mack Hollins NE	34.5	87	+152%
09-27	Kyle Williams NE	7.5	34	+353%
09-27	DeMario Douglas NE	28.5	38	+33%
09-20	Troy Franklin DEN	9.5	27	+184%
09-20	Pat Bryant DEN	32.5	0	-100%

Deebo Samuel Sr.WR SF vs SEA

34.5FanDuel

50%2/4

46.2+11.8

#21129.4

Role ▼ 9.1 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 34.5

48@ LA21% tgt
31vs MIA19% tgt
80vs ARI0% tgt
26vs DEN21% tgt

Target share: 15.1%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.27
aDOT: 2.9
Catch %: 82%
Snap %: 61%
RZ share: 29%
CROE: +7.1

Over 34.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs SEA67%2/3

WRs vs SEA this season · against their closing line

29% went over (4 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tre Harris LAC	36.5	60	+64%
10-04	Quentin Johnston LAC	34.5	44	+28%
10-04	Ladd McConkey LAC	47.5	0	-100%
09-27	Terry McLaurin WAS	42.5	77	+81%
09-27	Stefon Diggs WAS	35.5	33	-7%
09-27	Dyami Brown WAS	8.5	0	-100%
09-20	Michael Wilson ARI	46.5	18	-61%
09-20	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	36.5	0	-100%

Chase BrownRB CIN vs MIA

19.5PrizePicks

50%2/4

25.8+6.2

#836.8

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

22vs TB18% tgt
2@ HOU16% tgt
8@ PIT5% tgt
71vs JAX21% tgt

Target share: 15.0%
Targets / game: 6.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 88%
Snap %: 73%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +9.2

Over 19.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%2/4
vs MIA100%1/1

RBs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

80% went over (4 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Aaron Jones MIN	19.5	34	+74%
09-27	Kenneth Walker III KC	22.5	3	-87%
09-20	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	27	+218%
09-20	Christian McCaffrey SF	39.5	43	+9%
09-13	Ashton Jeanty LV	17.5	45	+157%

Jakobi MeyersWR JAX vs PHI

41.5FanDuel

25%1/4

41.2-0.2

#22128.3

Role ▼ 4.9 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 41.5

40vs CLE10% tgt
28@ DEN4% tgt
64vs NE30% tgt
33@ CIN17% tgt

Target share: 15.0%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.36
aDOT: 9.9
Catch %: 87%
Snap %: 80%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +30.0

Over 41.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs PHINo games

WRs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Puka Nacua LA	76.5	125	+63%
10-04	Jordan Whittington LA	11.5	4	-65%
10-04	Davante Adams LA	59.5	32	-46%
09-28	Rome Odunze CHI	26.5	44	+66%
09-28	Luther Burden III CHI	33.5	61	+82%
09-28	Kalif Raymond CHI	22.5	90	+300%
09-20	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	9	-76%
09-20	Elic Ayomanor TEN	9.5	69	+626%

Jerry JeudyWR CLE vs NYJ

14.5DraftKings

67%2/3

20.7+6.2

#23128.1

Over in 8 of last 10Role ▼ 3.0 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 14.5

26@ JAX18% tgt
0@ TB3% tgt
36vs PIT9% tgt

Target share: 14.8%
Targets / game: 3.5
WOPR: 0.36
aDOT: 9.1
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -5.7

Over 14.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season67%2/3
vs NYJ100%1/1

WRs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

43% went over (6 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Rome Odunze CHI	32.5	94	+189%
10-04	Luther Burden III CHI	46.5	63	+35%
10-04	Kalif Raymond CHI	31.5	6	-81%
09-27	Jameson Williams DET	54.5	49	-10%
09-27	Isaac TeSlaa DET	15.5	66	+326%
09-27	Amon-Ra St. Brown DET	75.5	19	-75%
09-20	Matthew Golden GB	49.5	58	+17%
09-20	Jayden Reed GB	37.5	4	-89%

DeMario DouglasWR NE vs LV

25.5FanDuel

25%1/4

20.5-5.0

#18136.0

Role ▲ 5.0 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 25.5

20@ SEA23% tgt
9vs PIT10% tgt
38@ JAX17% tgt
15@ BUF8% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.31
aDOT: 10.6
Catch %: 53%
Snap %: 54%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: -6.5

Over 25.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs LV0%0/1

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	33.5	70	+109%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	22.5	111	+393%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	48.5	39	-20%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	76.5	107	+40%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	30.5	53	+74%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	46.5	7	-85%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	45.5	35	-23%

Greg DulcichTE MIA vs CIN

25.5FanDuel

33%1/3

30.0+4.5

#189.1

Soft matchup #1

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 25.5

18@ LV7% tgt
17@ SF13% tgt
55vs KC20% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.27
aDOT: 5.7
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 50%
CROE: +1.6

Over 25.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season33%1/3
vs CIN100%1/1

TEs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Brenton Strange JAX	36.5	95	+160%
09-27	Pat Freiermuth PIT	36.5	30	-18%
09-27	Darnell Washington PIT	13.5	67	+396%
09-20	Foster Moreau HOU	7.5	34	+353%
09-20	Dalton Schultz HOU	43.5	140	+222%
09-13	Cade Otton TB	31.5	26	-17%

Rashid ShaheedWR SEA vs SF

20.5DraftKings

25%1/4

18.2-2.2

#26124.3

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 4.5 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 20.5

4vs NE12% tgt
35@ ARI23% tgt
14@ WAS7% tgt
20vs LAC15% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.37
aDOT: 11.1
Catch %: 47%
Snap %: 57%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -15.3

Over 20.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF33%1/3

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	22.5	47	+109%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	8.5	10	+18%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	39.5	4	-90%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	32.5	40	+23%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	23.5	22	-6%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	34.5	43	+25%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	90.5	74	-18%

Rashod BatemanWR BAL vs ATL

17.5DraftKings

75%3/4

42.8+25.2

#6170.1

Role ▲ 7.4 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 17.5

0@ IND4% tgt
88vs NO31% tgt
37@ DAL15% tgt
46vs TEN7% tgt

Target share: 14.3%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.35
aDOT: 13.4
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 76%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +13.9

Over 17.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs ATLNo games

WRs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

83% went over (10 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Devaughn Vele NO	45.5	54	+19%
10-05	Chris Olave NO	86.5	116	+34%
09-24	Skyy Moore GB	10.5	31	+195%
09-24	Matthew Golden GB	55.5	100	+80%
09-24	Christian Watson GB	71.5	96	+34%
09-24	Bo Melton GB	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Xavier Legette CAR	16.5	64	+288%
09-20	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	58.5	101	+73%

Chig OkonkwoTE WAS vs NYG

26.5PrizePicks

0%0/2

10.5-16.0

#1851.2

Role ▼ 4.4 pts

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 26.5

16@ PHI10% tgt
5vs IND11% tgt

Target share: 14.2%
Targets / game: 4.8
WOPR: 0.29
aDOT: 8.6
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 57%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -9.9

Over 26.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season0%0/2
vs NYGNo games

TEs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

44% went over (4 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Trey McBride ARI	63.5	31	-51%
10-04	Elijah Higgins ARI	4.5	19	+322%
09-27	Gunnar Helm TEN	21.5	14	-35%
09-27	Daniel Bellinger TEN	4.5	16	+256%
09-21	Terrance Ferguson LA	34.5	54	+57%
09-21	Davis Allen LA	4.5	7	+56%
09-21	Colby Parkinson LA	30.5	15	-51%
09-13	Jake Ferguson DAL	30.5	6	-80%

Jahan DotsonWR ATL vs BAL

19.5FanDuel

25%1/4

23.8+4.2

#1192.4

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 3.8 ptsSoft matchup #1

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

19@ PIT16% tgt
11vs CAR13% tgt
11@ GB13% tgt
54@ NO15% tgt

Target share: 14.2%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.52
aDOT: 15.8
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 67%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -14.0

Over 19.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs BAL0%0/1

WRs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	19	-49%
10-04	Elic Ayomanor TEN	19.5	22	+13%
10-04	Carnell Tate TEN	43.5	145	+233%
10-04	Calvin Ridley TEN	5.5	13	+136%
09-27	Ryan Flournoy DAL	29.5	22	-25%
09-27	George Pickens DAL	64.5	82	+27%
09-27	CeeDee Lamb DAL	82.5	112	+36%
09-20	Devaughn Vele NO	43.5	64	+47%

Kevin ColemanWR MIA vs CIN

19.5DraftKings

0%0/3

2.0-17.5

#32104.4

Tough matchup #32

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

0@ LV7% tgt
3vs KC11% tgt
3@ MIN24% tgt

Target share: 14.1%
Targets / game: 3.3
WOPR: 0.34
aDOT: 14.2
Catch %: 20%
Snap %: 47%
RZ share: 33%
CROE: -35.8

Over 19.5 by window

Last 50%0/3
Last 100%0/3
Last 150%0/3
This season0%0/3
vs CINNo games

WRs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (7 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Parker Washington JAX	75.5	7	-91%
10-04	Jakobi Meyers JAX	41.5	33	-20%
10-04	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Roman Wilson PIT	22.5	60	+167%
09-27	Michael Pittman PIT	27.5	16	-42%
09-27	DK Metcalf PIT	52.5	31	-41%
09-20	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	32.5	37	+14%
09-20	Kayshon Boutte HOU	35.5	37	+4%

Keon ColemanWR BUF vs LAR

39.5DraftKings

50%2/4

54.2+14.8

#19134.4

Role ▲ 5.0 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 39.5

1@ HOU4% tgt
63vs DET21% tgt
37vs LAC8% tgt
116vs NE23% tgt

Target share: 14.0%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.35
aDOT: 12.8
Catch %: 88%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +28.9

Over 39.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season50%2/4
vs LARNo games

WRs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Makai Lemon PHI	35.5	27	-24%
10-04	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	54.5	18	-67%
10-04	Darius Cooper PHI	20.5	33	+61%
09-27	Troy Franklin DEN	6.5	21	+223%
09-27	Pat Bryant DEN	24.5	44	+80%
09-27	Jaylen Waddle DEN	59.5	10	-83%
09-27	Courtland Sutton DEN	36.5	46	+26%
09-21	Malik Nabers NYG	61.5	1	-98%

Brian ThomasWR JAX vs PHI

24.5DraftKings

50%2/4

26.2+1.8

#22128.3

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 24.5

40vs CLE14% tgt
40@ DEN29% tgt
8vs NE4% tgt
17@ CIN9% tgt

Target share: 13.8%
Targets / game: 3.5
WOPR: 0.31
aDOT: 10.5
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 47%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +6.6

Over 24.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season50%2/4
vs PHI0%0/1

WRs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Puka Nacua LA	76.5	125	+63%
10-04	Jordan Whittington LA	11.5	4	-65%
10-04	Davante Adams LA	59.5	32	-46%
09-28	Rome Odunze CHI	26.5	44	+66%
09-28	Luther Burden III CHI	33.5	61	+82%
09-28	Kalif Raymond CHI	22.5	90	+300%
09-20	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	9	-76%
09-20	Elic Ayomanor TEN	9.5	69	+626%

Jaylen WarrenRB PIT vs IND

17.5DraftKings

100%4/4

35.8+18.2

#2624.9

Role ▲ 8.9 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 17.5

27vs ATL16% tgt
34@ NE11% tgt
49vs CIN13% tgt
33@ CLE15% tgt

Target share: 13.8%
Targets / game: 5.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 65%
Snap %: 74%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: -13.9

Over 17.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season100%4/4
vs IND0%0/1

RBs vs IND this season · against their closing line

57% went over (4 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kaytron Allen WAS	9.5	0	-100%
10-04	Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS	5.5	35	+536%
09-27	Woody Marks HOU	11.5	6	-48%
09-27	David Montgomery HOU	9.5	15	+58%
09-20	Kenneth Walker III KC	20.5	61	+198%
09-13	Justice Hill BAL	11.5	10	-13%
09-13	Derrick Henry BAL	7.5	19	+153%

Hunter HenryTE NE vs LV

38.5DraftKings

50%2/4

33.2-5.2

#2440.5

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 38.5

26@ SEA10% tgt
40vs PIT24% tgt
5@ JAX7% tgt
62@ BUF14% tgt

Target share: 13.5%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.29
aDOT: 7.9
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 75%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +11.3

Over 38.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs LV100%1/1

TEs vs LV this season · against their closing line

62% went over (5 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Travis Kelce KC	47.5	15	-68%
10-04	Noah Gray KC	8.5	17	+100%
09-27	Noah Fant NO	11.5	33	+187%
09-27	Juwan Johnson NO	35.5	53	+49%
09-20	Oronde Gadsden II LAC	12.5	18	+44%
09-20	David Njoku LAC	23.5	9	-62%
09-20	Charlie Kolar LAC	7.5	21	+180%
09-13	Greg Dulcich MIA	26.5	18	-32%

Quinshon JudkinsRB CLE vs NYJ

15.5DraftKings

75%3/4

24.0+8.5

#146.5

Soft matchup #1

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 15.5

17@ JAX9% tgt
27@ TB17% tgt
9vs CAR7% tgt
43vs PIT21% tgt

Target share: 13.4%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.17
aDOT: -1.8
Catch %: 94%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +11.5

Over 15.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs NYJ0%0/1

RBs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Monangai CHI	5.5	4	-27%
10-04	D'Andre Swift CHI	14.5	16	+10%
09-27	Sione Vaki DET	2.5	11	+340%
09-27	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	34.5	65	+88%
09-20	MarShawn Lloyd GB	6.5	6	-8%
09-20	Chris Brooks GB	9.5	15	+58%
09-13	Tyjae Spears TEN	16.5	12	-27%
09-13	Tony Pollard TEN	9.5	-1	-111%

Pat FreiermuthTE PIT vs IND

27.5FanDuel

75%3/4

31.2+3.8

#860.1

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 27.5

46vs ATL14% tgt
32@ NE14% tgt
30vs CIN13% tgt
17@ CLE13% tgt

Target share: 13.2%
Targets / game: 4.8
WOPR: 0.28
aDOT: 8.2
Catch %: 74%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: +7.0

Over 27.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season75%3/4
vs IND50%1/2

TEs vs IND this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chig Okonkwo WAS	29.5	5	-83%
09-27	Foster Moreau HOU	4.5	7	+56%
09-27	Dalton Schultz HOU	49.5	30	-39%
09-20	Travis Kelce KC	41.5	101	+143%
09-20	Noah Gray KC	11.5	0	-100%
09-13	Mark Andrews BAL	32.5	49	+51%

Rhamondre StevensonRB NE vs LV

15.5FanDuel

75%3/4

22.5+7.0

#2724.7

Over in 7 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 15.5

44@ SEA19% tgt
3vs PIT10% tgt
16@ JAX10% tgt
27@ BUF14% tgt

Target share: 13.2%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.19
aDOT: -0.4
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 60%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -4.9

Over 15.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs LV0%0/1

RBs vs LV this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kenneth Walker III KC	22.5	2	-91%
09-27	Travis Etienne NO	10.5	13	+24%
09-27	Alvin Kamara NO	13.5	5	-63%
09-20	Omarion Hampton LAC	11.5	21	+83%
09-20	Keaton Mitchell LAC	8.5	15	+76%
09-13	De'Von Achane MIA	27.5	30	+9%

Aaron Jones Sr.RB MIN vs NO

17.5DraftKings

50%2/4

17.0-0.5

#2824.1

Tough matchup #28

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 17.5

0vs GB4% tgt
0@ CHI0% tgt
34@ TB24% tgt
34vs MIA24% tgt

Target share: 13.1%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: -0.1
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 70%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -17.6

Over 17.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season50%2/4
vs NONo games

RBs vs NO this season · against their closing line

40% went over (2 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Bijan Robinson ATL	36.5	2	-95%
09-27	Ashton Jeanty LV	22.5	37	+64%
09-20	Justice Hill BAL	13.5	12	-11%
09-20	Derrick Henry BAL	6.5	19	+192%
09-13	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	30.5	30	-2%

Oronde Gadsden IITE LAC vs DEN

34.5PrizePicks

25%1/4

21.5-13.0

#1358.3

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 34.5

32vs ARI7% tgt
18vs LV8% tgt
0@ BUF9% tgt
36@ SEA26% tgt

Target share: 12.5%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 6.3
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: -2.8

Over 34.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season25%1/4
vs DEN50%1/2

TEs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	George Kittle SF	64.5	70	+9%
09-27	Tyler Higbee LA	9.5	62	+553%
09-27	Terrance Ferguson LA	50.5	9	-82%
09-27	Davis Allen LA	24.5	19	-22%
09-27	Colby Parkinson LA	16.5	0	-100%
09-20	Brenton Strange JAX	30.5	17	-44%
09-14	Travis Kelce KC	42.5	71	+67%
09-14	Noah Gray KC	9.5	5	-47%

Jonathan TaylorRB IND vs PIT

15.5DraftKings

50%2/4

17.2+1.8

#1334.3

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 15.5

23vs BAL14% tgt
40@ KC13% tgt
4vs HOU9% tgt
2@ WAS14% tgt

Target share: 12.4%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.16
aDOT: -1.7
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 85%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -13.9

Over 15.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs PIT50%1/2

RBs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

29% went over (2 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Raheim Sanders CLE	11.5	7	-39%
10-01	Quinshon Judkins CLE	10.5	43	+310%
09-27	Samaje Perine CIN	8.5	5	-41%
09-27	Chase Brown CIN	21.5	8	-63%
09-20	TreVeyon Henderson NE	10.5	0	-100%
09-20	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	19.5	3	-85%
09-13	Bijan Robinson ATL	33.5	90	+169%

Marvin MimsWR DEN vs LAC

13.5FanDuel

0%0/2

5.0-8.5

#13147.7

—

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 13.5

0@ KC0% tgt
10@ SF8% tgt

Target share: 12.3%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.30
aDOT: 6.0
Catch %: 33%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -30.6

Over 13.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season0%0/2
vs LAC25%1/4

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	7.5	6	-20%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	23.5	20	-15%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	93.5	76	-19%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	13	-45%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	42.5	6	-86%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	37	+155%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	48.5	67	+38%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	36.5	119	+226%

AJ BarnerTE SEA vs SF

22.5DraftKings

25%1/4

25.5+3.0

#2147.5

Role ▲ 3.9 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 22.5

13vs NE8% tgt
8@ ARI4% tgt
69@ WAS20% tgt
12vs LAC15% tgt

Target share: 11.8%
Targets / game: 3.8
WOPR: 0.21
aDOT: 2.3
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 87%
RZ share: 24%
CROE: -13.3

Over 22.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF0%0/5

TEs vs SF this season · against their closing line

14% went over (1 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Evan Engram DEN	17.5	6	-66%
10-04	Adam Trautman DEN	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Trey McBride ARI	69.5	75	+8%
09-20	Greg Dulcich MIA	20.5	17	-17%
09-10	Tyler Higbee LA	15.5	12	-23%
09-10	Terrance Ferguson LA	24.5	0	-100%
09-10	Colby Parkinson LA	18.5	6	-68%

Isaiah WilliamsWR NYJ vs CLE

21.5DraftKings

50%2/4

33.8+12.2

#28123.1

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 8.6 ptsTough matchup #28

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 21.5

7@ TEN4% tgt
34vs GB17% tgt
21@ DET6% tgt
73@ CHI20% tgt

Target share: 11.6%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.29
aDOT: 7.0
Catch %: 83%
Snap %: 81%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: +13.0

Over 21.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs CLE0%0/2

WRs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

64% went over (9 of 14)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Roman Wilson PIT	20.5	74	+261%
10-01	Michael Pittman PIT	34.5	15	-57%
10-01	Germie Bernard PIT	8.5	11	+29%
10-01	DK Metcalf PIT	46.5	115	+147%
09-27	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	62.5	17	-73%
09-27	John Metchie III CAR	9.5	19	+100%
09-27	Jalen Coker CAR	58.5	18	-69%
09-27	Brycen Tremayne CAR	16.5	83	+403%

Kendrick BourneWR ARI vs DET

23.5FanDuel

33%1/3

36.0+12.5

#2181.9

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 3.5 ptsSoft matchup #2

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 23.5

75@ LAC22% tgt
11vs SEA12% tgt
22@ SF6% tgt

Target share: 11.6%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.24
aDOT: 4.0
Catch %: 86%
Snap %: 56%
RZ share: 10%
CROE: +10.9

Over 23.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season33%1/3
vs DETNo games

WRs vs DET this season · against their closing line

60% went over (6 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	72.5	192	+165%
10-04	John Metchie III CAR	20.5	37	+80%
10-04	Brycen Tremayne CAR	33.5	32	-4%
09-27	Isaiah Williams NYJ	33.5	21	-37%
09-27	Garrett Wilson NYJ	77.5	107	+38%
09-17	Khalil Shakir BUF	43.5	38	-13%
09-17	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	63	+334%
09-17	DJ Moore BUF	63.5	0	-100%

Gunnar HelmTE TEN vs HOU

18.5BetMGM

25%1/4

15.0-3.5

#1554.0

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 18.5

28vs NYJ18% tgt
13vs PHI12% tgt
14@ NYG11% tgt
5@ BAL4% tgt

Target share: 11.2%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: 3.8
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 79%
RZ share: 23%
CROE: +9.4

Over 18.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs HOU50%1/2

TEs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Jake Ferguson DAL	24.5	11	-55%
10-04	Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL	3.5	0	-100%
09-27	Tyler Warren IND	46.5	55	+18%
09-20	Erick All CIN	2.5	5	+100%
09-13	Dawson Knox BUF	13.5	7	-48%
09-13	Dalton Kincaid BUF	38.5	130	+238%

Mike GesickiTE CIN vs MIA

33.5PrizePicks

100%3/3

51.7+18.2

#470.7

Over in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #4

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 33.5

78vs TB21% tgt
37@ PIT8% tgt
40vs JAX9% tgt

Target share: 10.8%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 10.4
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 46%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: +15.1

Over 33.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season100%3/3
vs MIA100%1/1

TEs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	T.J. Hockenson MIN	38.5	119	+209%
09-27	Travis Kelce KC	52.5	59	+12%
09-27	Noah Gray KC	0.5	39	+7700%
09-20	Luke Farrell SF	7.5	0	-100%
09-20	George Kittle SF	39.5	80	+103%
09-13	Michael Mayer LV	39.5	32	-19%

Evan EngramTE DEN vs LAC

17.5DraftKings

25%1/4

16.5-1.0

#2048.7

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 17.5

43@ KC18% tgt
17vs JAX3% tgt
0vs LA6% tgt
6@ SF13% tgt

Target share: 10.4%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.23
aDOT: 4.7
Catch %: 46%
Snap %: 60%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: -20.1

Over 17.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAC100%1/1

TEs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

14% went over (1 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Eric Saubert SEA	24.5	0	-100%
10-04	AJ Barner SEA	30.5	12	-61%
09-27	Jackson Hawes BUF	24.5	0	-100%
09-27	Dawson Knox BUF	9.5	5	-47%
09-27	Dalton Kincaid BUF	57.5	38	-34%
09-20	Michael Mayer LV	44.5	23	-48%
09-13	Trey McBride ARI	56.5	95	+68%

Cooper KuppWR SEA vs SF

23.5DraftKings

50%2/4

28.5+5.0

#26124.3

Over in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 13.1 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 23.5

35vs NE12% tgt
20@ ARI8% tgt
46@ WAS11% tgt
13vs LAC10% tgt

Target share: 10.3%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 9.6
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 61%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +12.9

Over 23.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season50%2/4
vs SF50%2/4

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	22.5	47	+109%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	8.5	10	+18%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	39.5	4	-90%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	32.5	40	+23%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	23.5	22	-6%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	34.5	43	+25%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	90.5	74	-18%

Isaac TeSlaaWR DET vs ARI

25.5FanDuel

75%3/4

46.8+21.2

#15143.1

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 25.5

0vs NO3% tgt
26@ BUF13% tgt
66vs NYJ10% tgt
95@ CAR16% tgt

Target share: 10.3%
Targets / game: 4.2
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 12.8
Catch %: 53%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 9%
CROE: -9.4

Over 25.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season75%3/4
vs ARINo games

WRs vs ARI this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Malik Nabers NYG	54.5	112	+106%
10-04	Darnell Mooney NYG	20.5	0	-100%
10-04	Braxton Berrios NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Mike Evans SF	55.5	34	-39%
09-27	Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	40.5	80	+98%
09-20	Rashid Shaheed SEA	24.5	35	+43%
09-20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	81.5	155	+90%
09-20	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	20	-15%

Ty JohnsonRB BUF vs LAR

11.5DraftKings

50%1/2

29.5+18.0

#241.8

Over in 8 of last 10Soft matchup #2

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 11.5

50vs LAC15% tgt
9vs NE7% tgt

Target share: 10.3%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 0.0
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 32%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +26.7

Over 11.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%1/2
vs LAR100%1/1

RBs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Will Shipley PHI	3.5	0	-100%
10-04	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Saquon Barkley PHI	15.5	2	-87%
09-27	RJ Harvey DEN	16.5	41	+148%
09-27	J.K. Dobbins DEN	1.5	4	+167%
09-21	Devin Singletary NYG	7.5	0	-100%
09-21	Cam Skattebo NYG	11.5	19	+65%
09-10	Christian McCaffrey SF	40.5	20	-51%

Alvin KamaraRB NO vs MIN

13.5FanDuel

33%1/3

15.7+2.2

#3218.9

Tough matchup #32

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 13.5

7@ BAL19% tgt
5vs LV2% tgt
35vs ATL15% tgt

Target share: 10.2%
Targets / game: 4.0
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 0.4
Catch %: 79%
Snap %: 28%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +0.7

Over 13.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season33%1/3
vs MINNo games

RBs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ollie Gordon II MIA	7.5	0	-100%
10-04	Jaylen Wright MIA	5.5	0	-100%
09-27	Kenny Gainwell TB	9.5	14	+47%
09-27	Bucky Irving TB	15.5	12	-23%
09-20	Kyle Monangai CHI	9.5	11	+16%
09-20	D'Andre Swift CHI	10.5	54	+414%
09-13	MarShawn Lloyd GB	10.5	0	-100%
09-13	Chris Brooks GB	5.5	0	-100%

Elic AyomanorWR TEN vs HOU

17.5FanDuel

50%2/4

28.2+10.8

#9160.8

Role ▼ 7.1 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 17.5

11vs NYJ11% tgt
69vs PHI18% tgt
11@ NYG9% tgt
22@ BAL4% tgt

Target share: 10.1%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.26
aDOT: 11.7
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 38%
CROE: +0.8

Over 17.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season50%2/4
vs HOU50%1/2

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	33.5	37	+10%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	69.5	75	+8%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	76.5	189	+147%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	22.5	20	-11%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	32.5	63	+94%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	50.5	77	+52%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	95	+71%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	75	-2%

Germie BernardWR PIT vs IND

19.5FanDuel

33%1/3

20.0+0.5

#3179.9

Soft matchup #3

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

35@ NE22% tgt
14vs CIN3% tgt
11@ CLE5% tgt

Target share: 10.0%
Targets / game: 3.7
WOPR: 0.24
aDOT: 8.5
Catch %: 64%
Snap %: 49%
RZ share: 17%
CROE: -3.1

Over 19.5 by window

Last 533%1/3
Last 1033%1/3
Last 1533%1/3
This season33%1/3
vs INDNo games

WRs vs IND this season · against their closing line

54% went over (7 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Treylon Burks WAS	18.5	47	+154%
10-04	Stefon Diggs WAS	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Dyami Brown WAS	12.5	65	+420%
09-27	Xavier Hutchinson HOU	38.5	51	+32%
09-27	Kayshon Boutte HOU	36.5	21	-42%
09-27	Jaylin Noel HOU	27.5	17	-38%
09-27	Jared Wayne HOU	15.5	20	+29%
09-20	Xavier Worthy KC	39.5	25	-37%

Raheim SandersRB CLE vs NYJ

12.5DraftKings

50%2/4

18.2+5.8

#146.5

Under in 6 of last 8Role ▲ 5.6 ptsSoft matchup #1

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 12.5

25@ JAX14% tgt
7@ TB3% tgt
34vs CAR17% tgt
7vs PIT6% tgt

Target share: 9.9%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: -1.5
Catch %: 91%
Snap %: 33%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +8.5

Over 12.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1025%2/8
Last 1525%2/8
This season50%2/4
vs NYJNo games

RBs vs NYJ this season · against their closing line

50% went over (4 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Monangai CHI	5.5	4	-27%
10-04	D'Andre Swift CHI	14.5	16	+10%
09-27	Sione Vaki DET	2.5	11	+340%
09-27	Jahmyr Gibbs DET	34.5	65	+88%
09-20	MarShawn Lloyd GB	6.5	6	-8%
09-20	Chris Brooks GB	9.5	15	+58%
09-13	Tyjae Spears TEN	16.5	12	-27%
09-13	Tony Pollard TEN	9.5	-1	-111%

Kayshon BoutteWR HOU vs TEN

25.5FanDuel

50%2/4

28.8+3.2

#8161.7

Role ▼ 9.4 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 25.5

21vs BUF5% tgt
37vs CIN10% tgt
21@ IND8% tgt
36vs DAL15% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.22
aDOT: 12.3
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 62%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +4.2

Over 25.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season50%2/4
vs TEN50%1/2

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

82% went over (9 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	72.5	118	+63%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	26.5	46	+74%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	52.5	26	-50%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	17.5	20	+14%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	25.5	14	-45%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	31.5	74	+135%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	60.5	117	+93%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	14.5	30	+107%

Kyle Pitts Sr.TE ATL vs BAL

24.5DraftKings

25%1/4

16.8-7.8

#2638.5

Role ▼ 15.5 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 24.5

0@ PIT5% tgt
15vs CAR10% tgt
5@ GB9% tgt
47@ NO15% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 7.6
Catch %: 56%
Snap %: 53%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -15.3

Over 24.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season25%1/4
vs BALNo games

TEs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

14% went over (1 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Gunnar Helm TEN	19.5	5	-74%
10-04	Daniel Bellinger TEN	6.5	2	-69%
09-27	Luke Schoonmaker DAL	9.5	9	-5%
09-27	Jake Ferguson DAL	28.5	23	-19%
09-20	Noah Fant NO	14.5	0	-100%
09-20	Juwan Johnson NO	38.5	66	+71%
09-13	Tyler Warren IND	47.5	13	-73%

Tony PollardRB TEN vs HOU

8.5DraftKings

25%1/4

6.0-2.5

#2526.5

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 4.1 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

-1vs NYJ7% tgt
1vs PHI6% tgt
22@ NYG11% tgt
2@ BAL14% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.16
aDOT: 1.5
Catch %: 73%
Snap %: 53%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -3.0

Over 8.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs HOU50%2/4

RBs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

40% went over (2 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Javonte Williams DAL	13.5	21	+56%
09-27	Jonathan Taylor IND	21.5	4	-81%
09-20	Samaje Perine CIN	7.5	16	+113%
09-20	Chase Brown CIN	19.5	2	-90%
09-13	James Cook BUF	19.5	12	-38%

Tory HortonWR SEA vs SF

11.5DraftKings

50%1/2

27.0+15.5

#26124.3

—

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 11.5

48@ WAS7% tgt
6vs LAC5% tgt

Target share: 9.7%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 12.0
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 38%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: +40.0

Over 11.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1550%5/10
This season50%1/2
vs SF0%0/1

WRs vs SF this season · against their closing line

45% went over (5 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Pat Bryant DEN	22.5	47	+109%
10-04	Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	8.5	10	+18%
10-04	Jaylen Waddle DEN	56.5	35	-38%
10-04	Courtland Sutton DEN	39.5	4	-90%
09-27	Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	32.5	40	+23%
09-27	Kendrick Bourne ARI	23.5	22	-6%
09-20	Malik Washington MIA	34.5	43	+25%
09-10	Puka Nacua LA	90.5	74	-18%

Darnell MooneyWR NYG vs WAS

17.5FanDuel

75%3/4

23.8+6.2

#10155.9

Over in 8 of last 10Role ▼ 5.3 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 17.5

27vs DAL7% tgt
48@ LA9% tgt
20vs TEN14% tgt
0vs ARI7% tgt

Target share: 9.4%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.23
aDOT: 11.6
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 57%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -2.7

Over 17.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs WAS50%1/2

WRs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND	24.5	0	-100%
10-04	Laquon Treadwell IND	24.5	42	+71%
10-04	Josh Downs IND	70.5	16	-77%
09-27	Tory Horton SEA	0.5	48	+9500%
09-27	Rashid Shaheed SEA	28.5	14	-51%
09-27	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	90.5	128	+41%
09-27	Cooper Kupp SEA	19.5	46	+136%
09-20	Ryan Flournoy DAL	30.5	23	-25%

Darius CooperWR PHI vs JAX

20.5DraftKings

50%2/4

14.8-5.8

#4173.4

Soft matchup #4

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 20.5

0vs WAS0% tgt
26@ TEN9% tgt
0@ CHI0% tgt
33vs LA28% tgt

Target share: 9.2%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.23
aDOT: 12.3
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 39%
RZ share: 67%
CROE: -7.8

Over 20.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1536%4/11
This season50%2/4
vs JAXNo games

WRs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

67% went over (8 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tee Higgins CIN	62.5	157	+151%
10-04	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	83.5	27	-68%
09-27	Romeo Doubs NE	42.5	49	+15%
09-27	Mack Hollins NE	34.5	87	+152%
09-27	Kyle Williams NE	7.5	34	+353%
09-27	DeMario Douglas NE	28.5	38	+33%
09-20	Troy Franklin DEN	9.5	27	+184%
09-20	Pat Bryant DEN	32.5	0	-100%

Laquon TreadwellWR IND vs PIT

16.5DraftKings

75%3/4

30.8+14.2

#11154.0

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 9.2 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 16.5

0vs BAL3% tgt
61@ KC10% tgt
20vs HOU3% tgt
42@ WAS21% tgt

Target share: 9.2%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.28
aDOT: 11.2
Catch %: 82%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: +15.4

Over 16.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1530%3/10
This season75%3/4
vs PITNo games

WRs vs PIT this season · against their closing line

64% went over (7 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Jerry Jeudy CLE	14.5	36	+148%
10-01	Denzel Boston CLE	38.5	89	+131%
09-27	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	90	+62%
09-27	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	98	+28%
09-20	Romeo Doubs NE	39.5	96	+143%
09-20	Mack Hollins NE	36.5	18	-51%
09-20	Kyle Williams NE	6.5	10	+54%
09-20	DeMario Douglas NE	34.5	9	-74%

Rachaad WhiteRB WAS vs NYG

9.5DraftKings

33%1/3

17.0+7.5

#2326.6

Role ▲ 3.5 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

5@ PHI7% tgt
40@ DAL18% tgt
6vs SEA3% tgt

Target share: 9.2%
Targets / game: 2.8
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 0.4
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 42%
RZ share: 15%
CROE: +24.2

Over 9.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season33%1/3
vs NYG100%1/1

RBs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Allgeier ARI	8.5	7	-18%
10-04	Jeremiyah Love ARI	17.5	-8	-146%
09-27	Tyjae Spears TEN	12.5	0	-100%
09-27	Tony Pollard TEN	6.5	22	+238%
09-21	Kyren Williams LA	16.5	12	-27%
09-21	Blake Corum LA	2.5	13	+420%
09-13	Javonte Williams DAL	10.5	31	+195%

Darnell WashingtonTE PIT vs IND

22.5FanDuel

50%2/4

29.8+7.2

#860.1

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 22.5

18vs ATL5% tgt
7@ NE5% tgt
67vs CIN13% tgt
27@ CLE13% tgt

Target share: 9.1%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.17
aDOT: 5.1
Catch %: 69%
Snap %: 66%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: -0.2

Over 22.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs IND100%2/2

TEs vs IND this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chig Okonkwo WAS	29.5	5	-83%
09-27	Foster Moreau HOU	4.5	7	+56%
09-27	Dalton Schultz HOU	49.5	30	-39%
09-20	Travis Kelce KC	41.5	101	+143%
09-20	Noah Gray KC	11.5	0	-100%
09-13	Mark Andrews BAL	32.5	49	+51%

James Cook IIIRB BUF vs LAR

11.5DraftKings

25%1/4

6.0-5.5

#241.8

Under in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #2

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 11.5

12@ HOU14% tgt
4vs DET11% tgt
0vs LAC4% tgt
8vs NE7% tgt

Target share: 8.9%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: -16.1

Over 11.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAR0%0/1

RBs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Will Shipley PHI	3.5	0	-100%
10-04	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Saquon Barkley PHI	15.5	2	-87%
09-27	RJ Harvey DEN	16.5	41	+148%
09-27	J.K. Dobbins DEN	1.5	4	+167%
09-21	Devin Singletary NYG	7.5	0	-100%
09-21	Cam Skattebo NYG	11.5	19	+65%
09-10	Christian McCaffrey SF	40.5	20	-51%

Jeremiyah LoveRB ARI vs DET

11.5DraftKings

50%2/4

9.0-2.5

#3121.8

Tough matchup #31

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 11.5

9@ LAC11% tgt
16vs SEA12% tgt
19@ SF10% tgt
-8@ NYG3% tgt

Target share: 8.8%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 0.5
Catch %: 85%
Snap %: 48%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: +6.8

Over 11.5 by window

Last 550%2/4
Last 1050%2/4
Last 1550%2/4
This season50%2/4
vs DETNo games

RBs vs DET this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chuba Hubbard CAR	18.5	7	-62%
10-04	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	5	+900%
09-27	Breece Hall NYJ	21.5	23	+7%
09-27	Braelon Allen NYJ	2.5	3	+20%
09-17	James Cook BUF	18.5	4	-78%
09-13	Travis Etienne NO	16.5	32	+94%

Cam SkatteboRB NYG vs WAS

12.5FanDuel

50%2/4

16.8+4.2

#2426.6

Role ▼ 4.5 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 12.5

0vs DAL0% tgt
19@ LA12% tgt
40vs TEN19% tgt
8vs ARI3% tgt

Target share: 8.7%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.17
aDOT: 3.6
Catch %: 89%
Snap %: 65%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +14.4

Over 12.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1558%7/12
This season50%2/4
vs WAS0%0/1

RBs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

25% went over (2 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Jonathan Taylor IND	19.5	2	-90%
09-27	Jadarian Price SEA	8.5	7	-18%
09-27	George Holani SEA	5.5	48	+773%
09-27	Emanuel Wilson SEA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Javonte Williams DAL	13.5	20	+48%
09-20	Hunter Luepke DAL	24.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Saquon Barkley PHI	15.5	-3	-119%

Jaylin NoelWR HOU vs TEN

19.5FanDuel

75%3/4

46.5+27.0

#8161.7

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

53vs BUF5% tgt
31vs CIN10% tgt
17@ IND8% tgt
85vs DAL12% tgt

Target share: 8.7%
Targets / game: 3.0
WOPR: 0.20
aDOT: 12.6
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +0.6

Over 19.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season75%3/4
vs TEN0%0/2

WRs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

82% went over (9 of 11)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Zay Flowers BAL	72.5	118	+63%
10-04	Rashod Bateman BAL	26.5	46	+74%
09-27	Malik Nabers NYG	52.5	26	-50%
09-27	Darnell Mooney NYG	17.5	20	+14%
09-20	Makai Lemon PHI	25.5	14	-45%
09-20	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	31.5	74	+135%
09-20	DeVonta Smith PHI	60.5	117	+93%
09-13	Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ	14.5	30	+107%

Theo JohnsonTE NYG vs WAS

2.5PrizePicks

67%2/3

6.7+4.2

#765.6

Over in 8 of last 10Role ▼ 9.5 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 2.5

9vs DAL3% tgt
0@ LA12% tgt
11vs ARI3% tgt

Target share: 8.7%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.18
aDOT: 11.3
Catch %: 33%
Snap %: 51%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: -21.8

Over 2.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1587%13/15
This season67%2/3
vs WAS100%3/3

TEs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

60% went over (3 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Warren IND	59.5	41	-31%
09-27	AJ Barner SEA	20.5	69	+237%
09-20	Jake Ferguson DAL	27.5	43	+56%
09-20	Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL	8.5	0	-100%
09-13	Dallas Goedert PHI	38.5	77	+100%

Marvin HarrisonWR ARI vs DET

34.5FanDuel

25%1/4

21.2-13.2

#2181.9

Role ▼ 6.5 ptsSoft matchup #2

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 34.5

33@ LAC8% tgt
0vs SEA4% tgt
40@ SF10% tgt
12@ NYG11% tgt

Target share: 8.3%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 15.5
Catch %: 38%
Snap %: 74%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -13.3

Over 34.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season25%1/4
vs DET100%1/1

WRs vs DET this season · against their closing line

60% went over (6 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	72.5	192	+165%
10-04	John Metchie III CAR	20.5	37	+80%
10-04	Brycen Tremayne CAR	33.5	32	-4%
09-27	Isaiah Williams NYJ	33.5	21	-37%
09-27	Garrett Wilson NYJ	77.5	107	+38%
09-17	Khalil Shakir BUF	43.5	38	-13%
09-17	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	63	+334%
09-17	DJ Moore BUF	63.5	0	-100%

Keaton MitchellRB LAC vs DEN

13.5PrizePicks

50%2/4

8.5-5.0

#2028.6

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 3.5 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 13.5

0vs ARI0% tgt
15vs LV4% tgt
-5@ BUF9% tgt
24@ SEA19% tgt

Target share: 8.1%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: -1.5
Catch %: 90%
Snap %: 33%
RZ share: 10%
CROE: +5.7

Over 13.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season50%2/4
vs DENNo games

RBs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

29% went over (2 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	28	+229%
10-04	Christian McCaffrey SF	41.5	18	-57%
09-27	Kyren Williams LA	12.5	70	+460%
09-27	Blake Corum LA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	8.5	-3	-135%
09-14	Kenneth Walker III KC	21.5	18	-16%

Devontez WalkerWR BAL vs ATL

8.5DraftKings

67%2/3

22.0+13.5

#6170.1

Role ▲ 4.7 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

47vs NO7% tgt
0@ DAL5% tgt
19vs TEN7% tgt

Target share: 7.6%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.25
aDOT: 29.6
Catch %: 40%
Snap %: 50%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -6.5

Over 8.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1550%7/14
This season67%2/3
vs ATLNo games

WRs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

83% went over (10 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Devaughn Vele NO	45.5	54	+19%
10-05	Chris Olave NO	86.5	116	+34%
09-24	Skyy Moore GB	10.5	31	+195%
09-24	Matthew Golden GB	55.5	100	+80%
09-24	Christian Watson GB	71.5	96	+34%
09-24	Bo Melton GB	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Xavier Legette CAR	16.5	64	+288%
09-20	Tetairoa McMillan CAR	58.5	101	+73%

Tyjae SpearsRB TEN vs HOU

9.5DraftKings

50%2/4

10.0+0.5

#2526.5

Role ▼ 5.8 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

12vs NYJ14% tgt
29vs PHI12% tgt
0@ NYG0% tgt
-1@ BAL4% tgt

Target share: 7.4%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: -2.0
Catch %: 71%
Snap %: 42%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -7.7

Over 9.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season50%2/4
vs HOU100%1/1

RBs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

40% went over (2 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Javonte Williams DAL	13.5	21	+56%
09-27	Jonathan Taylor IND	21.5	4	-81%
09-20	Samaje Perine CIN	7.5	16	+113%
09-20	Chase Brown CIN	19.5	2	-90%
09-13	James Cook BUF	19.5	12	-38%

Braelon AllenRB NYJ vs CLE

13.5DraftKings

0%0/4

4.8-8.8

#2923.8

Under in 9 of last 10Role ▲ 4.6 ptsTough matchup #29

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 13.5

0@ TEN4% tgt
8vs GB3% tgt
3@ DET8% tgt
8@ CHI13% tgt

Target share: 7.2%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: -0.3
Catch %: 86%
Snap %: 54%
RZ share: 33%
CROE: +8.1

Over 13.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season0%0/4
vs CLENo games

RBs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Travis Homer PIT	9.5	0	-100%
10-01	Jaylen Warren PIT	25.5	33	+29%
09-27	Chuba Hubbard CAR	14.5	28	+93%
09-27	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	-2	-500%
09-20	Kenny Gainwell TB	12.5	5	-60%
09-20	Bucky Irving TB	17.5	1	-94%
09-13	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	11.5	22	+91%

Cody WhiteWR LV vs NE

19.5DraftKings

50%2/4

16.0-3.5

#29119.1

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 5.2 ptsTough matchup #29

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

0vs MIA3% tgt
24@ LAC7% tgt
4@ NO10% tgt
36vs KC8% tgt

Target share: 7.2%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 9.6
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 28%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -9.8

Over 19.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1536%5/14
This season50%2/4
vs NENo games

WRs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (6 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Khalil Shakir BUF	38.5	82	+113%
10-04	Keon Coleman BUF	12.5	116	+828%
10-04	DJ Moore BUF	50.5	11	-78%
09-27	Parker Washington JAX	70.5	40	-43%
09-27	Jakobi Meyers JAX	35.5	64	+80%
09-27	Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	34.5	8	-77%
09-20	Roman Wilson PIT	33.5	28	-16%
09-20	Germie Bernard PIT	15.5	35	+126%

Olamide ZaccheausWR ATL vs BAL

7.5DraftKings

25%1/4

4.2-3.2

#1192.4

Soft matchup #1

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 7.5

5@ PIT5% tgt
3vs CAR10% tgt
9@ GB9% tgt
0@ NO5% tgt

Target share: 7.2%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 2.1
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 20%
CROE: -21.9

Over 7.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season25%1/4
vs BAL100%2/2

WRs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	37.5	19	-49%
10-04	Elic Ayomanor TEN	19.5	22	+13%
10-04	Carnell Tate TEN	43.5	145	+233%
10-04	Calvin Ridley TEN	5.5	13	+136%
09-27	Ryan Flournoy DAL	29.5	22	-25%
09-27	George Pickens DAL	64.5	82	+27%
09-27	CeeDee Lamb DAL	82.5	112	+36%
09-20	Devaughn Vele NO	43.5	64	+47%

Bhayshul TutenRB JAX vs PHI

9.5DraftKings

75%3/4

13.5+4.0

#539.0

Role ▲ 6.1 ptsSoft matchup #5

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

22vs CLE5% tgt
-3@ DEN7% tgt
17vs NE7% tgt
18@ CIN9% tgt

Target share: 7.0%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: -3.1
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 52%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +18.1

Over 9.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1040%4/10
Last 1533%5/15
This season75%3/4
vs PHINo games

RBs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyren Williams LA	13.5	67	+396%
09-28	Kyle Monangai CHI	8.5	0	-100%
09-28	D'Andre Swift CHI	13.5	4	-70%
09-20	Tyjae Spears TEN	15.5	29	+87%
09-20	Tony Pollard TEN	7.5	1	-87%
09-13	Rachaad White WAS	14.5	5	-66%

Noah FantTE NO vs MIN

13.5DraftKings

67%2/3

22.0+8.5

#3130.4

Tough matchup #31

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 13.5

33@ DET15% tgt
0@ BAL0% tgt
33vs LV10% tgt

Target share: 7.0%
Targets / game: 3.2
WOPR: 0.13
aDOT: 5.1
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 41%
RZ share: 19%
CROE: -5.9

Over 13.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season67%2/3
vs MIN100%2/2

TEs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (2 of 4)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
09-27	Cade Otton TB	27.5	56	+104%
09-20	Colston Loveland CHI	50.5	3	-94%
09-20	Cole Kmet CHI	13.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tucker Kraft GB	43.5	65	+49%

Tyler AllgeierRB ARI vs DET

9.5FanDuel

25%1/4

8.8-0.8

#3121.8

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▲ 4.3 ptsTough matchup #31

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

9@ LAC5% tgt
9vs SEA8% tgt
10@ SF8% tgt
7@ NYG6% tgt

Target share: 6.7%
Targets / game: 2.5
WOPR: 0.08
aDOT: -3.6
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 54%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +23.8

Over 9.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season25%1/4
vs DETNo games

RBs vs DET this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Chuba Hubbard CAR	18.5	7	-62%
10-04	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	5	+900%
09-27	Breece Hall NYJ	21.5	23	+7%
09-27	Braelon Allen NYJ	2.5	3	+20%
09-17	James Cook BUF	18.5	4	-78%
09-13	Travis Etienne NO	16.5	32	+94%

Derrick HenryRB BAL vs ATL

4.5DraftKings

75%3/4

11.0+6.5

#3023.5

Role ▲ 5.1 ptsTough matchup #30

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 4.5

19@ IND4% tgt
19vs NO10% tgt
0@ DAL5% tgt
6vs TEN7% tgt

Target share: 6.6%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.08
aDOT: -4.3
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 59%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +24.8

Over 4.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season75%3/4
vs ATLNo games

RBs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Kendre Miller NO	5.5	10	+82%
10-05	Alvin Kamara NO	15.5	35	+126%
09-24	MarShawn Lloyd GB	5.5	7	+27%
09-24	Kaleb Johnson GB	0.5	10	+1900%
09-24	Chris Brooks GB	6.5	4	-38%
09-20	Jonathon Brooks CAR	6.5	-5	-177%
09-20	Chuba Hubbard CAR	12.5	11	-12%
09-13	Rico Dowdle PIT	10.5	6	-43%

Drew SampleTE CIN vs MIA

5.5PrizePicks

50%1/2

9.5+4.0

#470.7

Soft matchup #4

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 5.5

19vs TB9% tgt
0@ PIT5% tgt

Target share: 6.3%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 0.6
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 64%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: -2.8

Over 5.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season50%1/2
vs MIA100%1/1

TEs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	T.J. Hockenson MIN	38.5	119	+209%
09-27	Travis Kelce KC	52.5	59	+12%
09-27	Noah Gray KC	0.5	39	+7700%
09-20	Luke Farrell SF	7.5	0	-100%
09-20	George Kittle SF	39.5	80	+103%
09-13	Michael Mayer LV	39.5	32	-19%

Kyle WilliamsWR NE vs LV

11.5PrizePicks

25%1/4

11.0-0.5

#18136.0

Under in 7 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 11.5

0@ SEA0% tgt
10vs PIT10% tgt
34@ JAX10% tgt
0@ BUF6% tgt

Target share: 6.3%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.15
aDOT: 13.4
Catch %: 29%
Snap %: 24%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -25.1

Over 11.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1540%6/15
This season25%1/4
vs LV100%1/1

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	33.5	70	+109%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	22.5	111	+393%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	48.5	39	-20%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	76.5	107	+40%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	30.5	53	+74%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	46.5	7	-85%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	45.5	35	-23%

Calvin RidleyWR TEN vs HOU

8.5DraftKings

67%2/3

16.0+7.5

#9160.8

Over in 9 of last 10Role ▼ 9.8 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

35vs PHI12% tgt
0@ NYG3% tgt
13@ BAL7% tgt

Target share: 6.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.14
aDOT: 8.8
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -6.4

Over 8.5 by window

Last 580%4/5
Last 1090%9/10
Last 1593%14/15
This season67%2/3
vs HOU100%4/4

WRs vs HOU this season · against their closing line

69% went over (9 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ryan Flournoy DAL	33.5	37	+10%
10-04	George Pickens DAL	69.5	75	+8%
10-04	CeeDee Lamb DAL	76.5	189	+147%
09-27	Laquon Treadwell IND	22.5	20	-11%
09-27	Keenan Allen IND	32.5	63	+94%
09-27	Josh Downs IND	50.5	77	+52%
09-20	Tee Higgins CIN	55.5	95	+71%
09-20	Ja'Marr Chase CIN	76.5	75	-2%

Ollie Gordon IIRB MIA vs CIN

9.5DraftKings

33%1/3

4.7-4.8

#738.3

Under in 9 of last 10Role ▲ 6.1 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

0@ SF0% tgt
14vs KC9% tgt
0@ MIN12% tgt

Target share: 6.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: -3.2
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 49%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +20.2

Over 9.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season33%1/3
vs CIN0%0/1

RBs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	10.5	18	+71%
09-27	Travis Homer PIT	5.5	0	-100%
09-27	Jaylen Warren PIT	25.5	49	+92%
09-20	Woody Marks HOU	10.5	27	+157%
09-20	David Montgomery HOU	11.5	14	+22%
09-13	Bucky Irving TB	13.5	48	+256%

Emanuel WilsonRB SEA vs SF

10.5BetMGM

25%1/4

9.8-0.8

#340.7

Under in 9 of last 10Soft matchup #3

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 10.5

0vs NE0% tgt
0@ ARI4% tgt
0@ WAS0% tgt
39vs LAC20% tgt

Target share: 6.0%
Targets / game: 1.2
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: -2.6
Catch %: 60%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 11%
CROE: -19.5

Over 10.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF0%0/1

RBs vs SF this season · against their closing line

75% went over (6 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Badie DEN	3.5	32	+814%
10-04	RJ Harvey DEN	21.5	68	+216%
10-04	J.K. Dobbins DEN	2.5	12	+380%
09-27	Tyler Allgeier ARI	7.5	10	+33%
09-27	Jeremiyah Love ARI	14.5	19	+31%
09-20	De'Von Achane MIA	27.5	19	-31%
09-10	Kyren Williams LA	10.5	24	+129%
09-10	Blake Corum LA	2.5	0	-100%

George HolaniRB SEA vs SF

9.5DraftKings

25%1/4

13.0+3.5

#340.7

Under in 8 of last 10Soft matchup #3

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

0vs NE4% tgt
2@ ARI4% tgt
48@ WAS11% tgt
2vs LAC5% tgt

Target share: 6.0%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: -0.8
Catch %: 88%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +8.9

Over 9.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season25%1/4
vs SF0%0/1

RBs vs SF this season · against their closing line

75% went over (6 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Badie DEN	3.5	32	+814%
10-04	RJ Harvey DEN	21.5	68	+216%
10-04	J.K. Dobbins DEN	2.5	12	+380%
09-27	Tyler Allgeier ARI	7.5	10	+33%
09-27	Jeremiyah Love ARI	14.5	19	+31%
09-20	De'Von Achane MIA	27.5	19	-31%
09-10	Kyren Williams LA	10.5	24	+129%
09-10	Blake Corum LA	2.5	0	-100%

Efton Chism IIIWR NE vs LV

24.5Caesars

33%1/3

13.7-10.8

#18136.0

Under in 7 of last 10

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 24.5

-2vs PIT5% tgt
1@ JAX7% tgt
42@ BUF11% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: 6.9
Catch %: 57%
Snap %: 30%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: -0.9

Over 24.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1523%3/13
This season33%1/3
vs LVNo games

WRs vs LV this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Xavier Worthy KC	33.5	70	+109%
10-04	Tyquan Thornton KC	22.5	111	+393%
10-04	Jalen Royals KC	4.5	0	-100%
09-27	Devaughn Vele NO	48.5	39	-20%
09-27	Chris Olave NO	76.5	107	+40%
09-20	Tre Harris LAC	30.5	53	+74%
09-20	Quentin Johnston LAC	46.5	7	-85%
09-20	Ladd McConkey LAC	45.5	35	-23%

Elijah HigginsTE ARI vs DET

8.5PrizePicks

67%2/3

13.0+4.5

#277.8

Role ▼ 3.9 ptsSoft matchup #2

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

0vs SEA0% tgt
20@ SF6% tgt
19@ NYG6% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: 2.0
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 40%
RZ share: 5%
CROE: +26.1

Over 8.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season67%2/3
vs DET100%1/1

TEs vs DET this season · against their closing line

67% went over (6 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tommy Tremble CAR	13.5	12	-11%
10-04	Mitchell Evans CAR	7.5	8	+7%
10-04	Darren Waller CAR	37.5	36	-4%
09-27	Kenyon Sadiq NYJ	31.5	105	+233%
09-27	Jeremy Ruckert NYJ	8.5	39	+359%
09-17	Dawson Knox BUF	12.5	5	-60%
09-17	Dalton Kincaid BUF	50.5	95	+88%
09-13	Noah Fant NO	10.5	33	+214%

Will ShipleyRB PHI vs JAX

15.5FanDuel

0%0/4

6.0-9.5

#1234.7

Under in 10 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 15.5

8vs WAS4% tgt
5@ TEN6% tgt
11@ CHI8% tgt
0vs LA4% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: 2.2
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -8.5

Over 15.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 100%0/10
Last 157%1/15
This season0%0/4
vs JAX0%0/1

RBs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Samaje Perine CIN	8.5	0	-100%
10-04	Chase Brown CIN	19.5	71	+264%
09-27	TreVeyon Henderson NE	9.5	6	-37%
09-27	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	14.5	16	+10%
09-20	J.K. Dobbins DEN	7.5	0	-100%
09-13	Quinshon Judkins CLE	9.5	17	+79%
09-13	Dylan Sampson CLE	8.5	0	-100%

Woody MarksRB HOU vs TEN

8.5DraftKings

25%1/4

7.8-0.8

#1432.8

Under in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

-2vs BUF3% tgt
27vs CIN12% tgt
6@ IND4% tgt
0vs DAL4% tgt

Target share: 5.6%
Targets / game: 2.2
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 2.2
Catch %: 78%
Snap %: 45%
RZ share: 14%
CROE: -0.3

Over 8.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1520%3/15
This season25%1/4
vs TEN50%1/2

RBs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (5 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Justice Hill BAL	10.5	22	+110%
10-04	Derrick Henry BAL	7.5	6	-20%
09-27	Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG	24.5	0	-100%
09-27	Najee Harris NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Cam Skattebo NYG	14.5	40	+176%
09-20	Will Shipley PHI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	5	+900%
09-20	Saquon Barkley PHI	10.5	11	+5%

Samaje PerineRB CIN vs MIA

6.5PrizePicks

50%2/4

12.8+6.2

#836.8

Over in 7 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 6.5

30vs TB9% tgt
16@ HOU3% tgt
5@ PIT8% tgt
0vs JAX2% tgt

Target share: 5.5%
Targets / game: 2.0
WOPR: 0.10
aDOT: 2.0
Catch %: 62%
Snap %: 34%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -4.9

Over 6.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs MIA100%1/1

RBs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

80% went over (4 of 5)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Aaron Jones MIN	19.5	34	+74%
09-27	Kenneth Walker III KC	22.5	3	-87%
09-20	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	27	+218%
09-20	Christian McCaffrey SF	39.5	43	+9%
09-13	Ashton Jeanty LV	17.5	45	+157%

Justice HillRB BAL vs ATL

8.5DraftKings

75%3/4

11.0+2.5

#3023.5

Over in 7 of last 10Tough matchup #30

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

10@ IND4% tgt
12vs NO7% tgt
0@ DAL0% tgt
22vs TEN10% tgt

Target share: 5.4%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: -2.5
Catch %: 83%
Snap %: 41%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +1.2

Over 8.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1070%7/10
Last 1567%10/15
This season75%3/4
vs ATLNo games

RBs vs ATL this season · against their closing line

56% went over (5 of 9)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-05	Kendre Miller NO	5.5	10	+82%
10-05	Alvin Kamara NO	15.5	35	+126%
09-24	MarShawn Lloyd GB	5.5	7	+27%
09-24	Kaleb Johnson GB	0.5	10	+1900%
09-24	Chris Brooks GB	6.5	4	-38%
09-20	Jonathon Brooks CAR	6.5	-5	-177%
09-20	Chuba Hubbard CAR	12.5	11	-12%
09-13	Rico Dowdle PIT	10.5	6	-43%

Dawson KnoxTE BUF vs LAR

10.5DraftKings

25%1/4

7.5-3.0

#2738.5

Role ▼ 5.6 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 10.5

7@ HOU4% tgt
5vs DET7% tgt
5vs LAC4% tgt
13vs NE7% tgt

Target share: 5.3%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 1.8
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 68%
RZ share: 12%
CROE: +23.2

Over 10.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1573%11/15
This season25%1/4
vs LAR0%0/1

TEs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Johnny Mundt PHI	8.5	0	-100%
09-27	Nate Adkins DEN	0.5	8	+1500%
09-27	Evan Engram DEN	21.5	0	-100%
09-21	Theo Johnson NYG	9.5	0	-100%
09-21	Isaiah Likely NYG	45.5	33	-27%
09-10	George Kittle SF	33.5	12	-64%

Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB WAS vs NYG

5.5PrizePicks

50%2/4

10.0+4.5

#2326.6

Under in 8 of last 10Role ▲ 5.2 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 5.5

-7@ PHI3% tgt
5@ DAL3% tgt
7vs SEA3% tgt
35vs IND11% tgt

Target share: 5.2%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.08
aDOT: 0.6
Catch %: 71%
Snap %: 47%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +1.1

Over 5.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1513%2/15
This season50%2/4
vs NYG0%0/2

RBs vs NYG this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyler Allgeier ARI	8.5	7	-18%
10-04	Jeremiyah Love ARI	17.5	-8	-146%
09-27	Tyjae Spears TEN	12.5	0	-100%
09-27	Tony Pollard TEN	6.5	22	+238%
09-21	Kyren Williams LA	16.5	12	-27%
09-21	Blake Corum LA	2.5	13	+420%
09-13	Javonte Williams DAL	10.5	31	+195%

David MontgomeryRB HOU vs TEN

7.5DraftKings

100%4/4

16.8+9.2

#1432.8

Over in 8 of last 10

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 7.5

19vs BUF8% tgt
14vs CIN4% tgt
15@ IND8% tgt
19vs DAL0% tgt

Target share: 5.0%
Targets / game: 1.8
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 3.6
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 55%
RZ share: 8%
CROE: +22.4

Over 7.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 1080%8/10
Last 1580%12/15
This season100%4/4
vs TEN0%0/1

RBs vs TEN this season · against their closing line

50% went over (5 of 10)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Justice Hill BAL	10.5	22	+110%
10-04	Derrick Henry BAL	7.5	6	-20%
09-27	Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG	24.5	0	-100%
09-27	Najee Harris NYG	0.5	0	-100%
09-27	Cam Skattebo NYG	14.5	40	+176%
09-20	Will Shipley PHI	2.5	5	+100%
09-20	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	5	+900%
09-20	Saquon Barkley PHI	10.5	11	+5%

Ian ThomasTE LV vs NE

24.5BetMGM

50%1/2

21.5-3.0

#3035.2

Under in 8 of last 10Tough matchup #30

Last 2 games · receiving yards vs 24.5

11@ LAC3% tgt
32vs KC4% tgt

Target share: 4.8%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.09
aDOT: 8.7
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 46%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: +31.7

Over 24.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1020%2/10
Last 1514%2/14
This season50%1/2
vs NENo games

TEs vs NE this season · against their closing line

50% went over (3 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Dawson Knox BUF	9.5	13	+37%
10-04	Dalton Kincaid BUF	47.5	7	-85%
09-27	Brenton Strange JAX	30.5	32	+5%
09-20	Pat Freiermuth PIT	31.5	32	+2%
09-20	Darnell Washington PIT	14.5	7	-52%
09-09	AJ Barner SEA	25.5	13	-49%

Eli RaridonTE NE vs LV

9.5FanDuel

67%2/3

14.7+5.2

#2440.5

—

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

2@ SEA3% tgt
30vs PIT5% tgt
12@ BUF6% tgt

Target share: 4.5%
Targets / game: 1.3
WOPR: 0.11
aDOT: 10.2
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 44%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: +21.9

Over 9.5 by window

Last 567%2/3
Last 1067%2/3
Last 1567%2/3
This season67%2/3
vs LVNo games

TEs vs LV this season · against their closing line

62% went over (5 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Travis Kelce KC	47.5	15	-68%
10-04	Noah Gray KC	8.5	17	+100%
09-27	Noah Fant NO	11.5	33	+187%
09-27	Juwan Johnson NO	35.5	53	+49%
09-20	Oronde Gadsden II LAC	12.5	18	+44%
09-20	David Njoku LAC	23.5	9	-62%
09-20	Charlie Kolar LAC	7.5	21	+180%
09-13	Greg Dulcich MIA	26.5	18	-32%

Troy FranklinWR DEN vs LAC

19.5FanDuel

67%2/3

16.0-3.5

#13147.7

Role ▼ 8.3 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 19.5

0@ KC4% tgt
27vs JAX7% tgt
21vs LA3% tgt

Target share: 4.5%
Targets / game: 1.2
WOPR: 0.21
aDOT: 18.0
Catch %: 50%
Snap %: 28%
RZ share: 6%
CROE: +9.0

Over 19.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season67%2/3
vs LAC50%2/4

WRs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

46% went over (6 of 13)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tory Horton SEA	7.5	6	-20%
10-04	Rashid Shaheed SEA	23.5	20	-15%
10-04	Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	93.5	76	-19%
10-04	Cooper Kupp SEA	23.5	13	-45%
09-27	Khalil Shakir BUF	42.5	6	-86%
09-27	Keon Coleman BUF	14.5	37	+155%
09-27	DJ Moore BUF	48.5	67	+38%
09-20	Tre Tucker LV	36.5	119	+226%

Omarion HamptonRB LAC vs DEN

6.5PrizePicks

50%2/4

7.2+0.8

#2028.6

Role ▼ 4.9 pts

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 6.5

0vs ARI0% tgt
21vs LV8% tgt
0@ BUF3% tgt
8@ SEA6% tgt

Target share: 4.3%
Targets / game: 1.2
WOPR: 0.06
aDOT: -3.0
Catch %: 80%
Snap %: 50%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -3.6

Over 6.5 by window

Last 540%2/5
Last 1060%6/10
Last 1564%9/14
This season50%2/4
vs DEN100%1/1

RBs vs DEN this season · against their closing line

29% went over (2 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyle Juszczyk SF	8.5	28	+229%
10-04	Christian McCaffrey SF	41.5	18	-57%
09-27	Kyren Williams LA	12.5	70	+460%
09-27	Blake Corum LA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	8.5	-3	-135%
09-14	Kenneth Walker III KC	21.5	18	-16%

Tanner HudsonTE CIN vs MIA

1.5PrizePicks

100%3/3

6.3+4.8

#470.7

Over in 10 of last 10Soft matchup #4

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 1.5

4vs TB3% tgt
13@ PIT5% tgt
2vs JAX2% tgt

Target share: 4.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.07
aDOT: 3.8
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 25%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: +23.0

Over 1.5 by window

Last 5100%5/5
Last 10100%10/10
Last 15100%15/15
This season100%3/3
vs MIA100%1/1

TEs vs MIA this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	T.J. Hockenson MIN	38.5	119	+209%
09-27	Travis Kelce KC	52.5	59	+12%
09-27	Noah Gray KC	0.5	39	+7700%
09-20	Luke Farrell SF	7.5	0	-100%
09-20	George Kittle SF	39.5	80	+103%
09-13	Michael Mayer LV	39.5	32	-19%

TreVeyon HendersonRB NE vs LV

8.5PrizePicks

0%0/3

2.0-6.5

#2724.7

Under in 7 of last 10

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 8.5

0vs PIT0% tgt
6@ JAX3% tgt
0@ BUF6% tgt

Target share: 4.1%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.06
aDOT: 0.0
Catch %: 33%
Snap %: 43%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -51.6

Over 8.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season0%0/3
vs LV100%1/1

RBs vs LV this season · against their closing line

67% went over (4 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kenneth Walker III KC	22.5	2	-91%
09-27	Travis Etienne NO	10.5	13	+24%
09-27	Alvin Kamara NO	13.5	5	-63%
09-20	Omarion Hampton LAC	11.5	21	+83%
09-20	Keaton Mitchell LAC	8.5	15	+76%
09-13	De'Von Achane MIA	27.5	30	+9%

Kendre MillerRB NO vs MIN

4.5PrizePicks

67%2/3

5.0+0.5

#3218.9

Tough matchup #32

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 4.5

0@ DET0% tgt
5vs LV8% tgt
10vs ATL6% tgt

Target share: 3.5%
Targets / game: 1.5
WOPR: 0.05
aDOT: 0.2
Catch %: 67%
Snap %: 20%
RZ share: 7%
CROE: -14.2

Over 4.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1547%7/15
This season67%2/3
vs MINNo games

RBs vs MIN this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Ollie Gordon II MIA	7.5	0	-100%
10-04	Jaylen Wright MIA	5.5	0	-100%
09-27	Kenny Gainwell TB	9.5	14	+47%
09-27	Bucky Irving TB	15.5	12	-23%
09-20	Kyle Monangai CHI	9.5	11	+16%
09-20	D'Andre Swift CHI	10.5	54	+414%
09-13	MarShawn Lloyd GB	10.5	0	-100%
09-13	Chris Brooks GB	5.5	0	-100%

Brian RobinsonRB ATL vs BAL

—

#1035.6

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards

0@ PIT0% tgt
16vs CAR6% tgt
0@ GB0% tgt
5@ NO5% tgt

Target share: 2.9%
Targets / game: 0.8
WOPR: 0.04
aDOT: -1.3
Catch %: 100%
Snap %: 36%
RZ share: 25%
CROE: +15.3

RBs vs BAL this season · against their closing line

17% went over (1 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Tyjae Spears TEN	12.5	-1	-108%
10-04	Tony Pollard TEN	8.5	2	-76%
09-27	Javonte Williams DAL	14.5	5	-66%
09-20	Travis Etienne NO	11.5	6	-48%
09-20	Alvin Kamara NO	12.5	7	-44%
09-13	Jonathan Taylor IND	18.5	23	+24%

J.K. DobbinsRB DEN vs LAC

2.5PrizePicks

50%2/4

4.0+1.5

#1729.6

—

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 2.5

0@ KC0% tgt
0vs JAX0% tgt
4vs LA6% tgt
12@ SF5% tgt

Target share: 2.9%
Targets / game: 1.0
WOPR: 0.04
aDOT: 0.0
Catch %: 75%
Snap %: 40%
RZ share: 0%
CROE: -2.4

Over 2.5 by window

Last 560%3/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1553%8/15
This season50%2/4
vs LAC0%0/1

RBs vs LAC this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	George Holani SEA	10.5	2	-81%
10-04	Emanuel Wilson SEA	6.5	39	+500%
09-27	James Cook BUF	11.5	0	-100%
09-20	Ashton Jeanty LV	26.5	15	-43%
09-13	Tyler Allgeier ARI	2.5	9	+260%
09-13	Jeremiyah Love ARI	15.5	9	-42%

Jaylen WrightRB MIA vs CIN

1.5PrizePicks

0%0/3

0.0-1.5

#738.3

Under in 7 of last 10Role ▼ 4.2 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 1.5

0@ LV0% tgt
0@ SF0% tgt
0@ MIN0% tgt

Target share: 2.1%
Targets / game: 0.5
WOPR: 0.02
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 22%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 1.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1030%3/10
Last 1527%4/15
This season0%0/3
vs CIN100%1/1

RBs vs CIN this season · against their closing line

71% went over (5 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
10-04	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	10.5	18	+71%
09-27	Travis Homer PIT	5.5	0	-100%
09-27	Jaylen Warren PIT	25.5	49	+92%
09-20	Woody Marks HOU	10.5	27	+157%
09-20	David Montgomery HOU	11.5	14	+22%
09-13	Bucky Irving TB	13.5	48	+256%

Isaiah DavisRB NYJ vs CLE

—

#2923.8

Role ▼ 3.7 ptsTough matchup #29

Last 3 games · receiving yards

0vs GB0% tgt
0@ DET0% tgt
0@ CHI0% tgt

Target share: 0.8%
Targets / game: 0.2
WOPR: 0.01
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 10%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

RBs vs CLE this season · against their closing line

38% went over (3 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-01	Travis Homer PIT	9.5	0	-100%
10-01	Jaylen Warren PIT	25.5	33	+29%
09-27	Chuba Hubbard CAR	14.5	28	+93%
09-27	AJ Dillon CAR	0.5	-2	-500%
09-20	Kenny Gainwell TB	12.5	5	-60%
09-20	Bucky Irving TB	17.5	1	-94%
09-13	Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Bhayshul Tuten JAX	11.5	22	+91%

Chris RodriguezRB JAX vs PHI

9.5Underdog

0%0/4

0.0-9.5

#539.0

Under in 9 of last 10Role ▼ 3.1 ptsSoft matchup #5

Last 4 games · receiving yards vs 9.5

0vs CLE0% tgt
0@ DEN0% tgt
0vs NE0% tgt
0@ CIN0% tgt

Target share: 0.0%
Targets / game: 0.0
WOPR: 0.00
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 27%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 9.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1010%1/10
Last 157%1/15
This season0%0/4
vs PHI33%1/3

RBs vs PHI this season · against their closing line

33% went over (2 of 6)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Kyren Williams LA	13.5	67	+396%
09-28	Kyle Monangai CHI	8.5	0	-100%
09-28	D'Andre Swift CHI	13.5	4	-70%
09-20	Tyjae Spears TEN	15.5	29	+87%
09-20	Tony Pollard TEN	7.5	1	-87%
09-13	Rachaad White WAS	14.5	5	-66%

Dameon PierceRB PHI vs JAX

14.5Underdog

—

#1234.7

Under in 10 of last 10Role ▼ 3.6 pts

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 14.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: 0.0%
Targets / game: 0.0
WOPR: 0.00
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 16%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 14.5 by window

Last 50%0/5
Last 100%0/10
Last 150%0/15
This seasonNo games
vs JAX0%0/2

RBs vs JAX this season · against their closing line

43% went over (3 of 7)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Samaje Perine CIN	8.5	0	-100%
10-04	Chase Brown CIN	19.5	71	+264%
09-27	TreVeyon Henderson NE	9.5	6	-37%
09-27	Rhamondre Stevenson NE	14.5	16	+10%
09-20	J.K. Dobbins DEN	7.5	0	-100%
09-13	Quinshon Judkins CLE	9.5	17	+79%
09-13	Dylan Sampson CLE	8.5	0	-100%

Najee HarrisRB NYG vs WAS

2.5PrizePicks

0%0/3

0.0-2.5

#2426.6

Role ▼ 9.8 pts

Last 3 games · receiving yards vs 2.5

0@ LA0% tgt
0vs TEN0% tgt
0vs ARI0% tgt

Target share: 0.0%
Targets / game: 0.0
WOPR: 0.00
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: 17%
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 2.5 by window

Last 520%1/5
Last 1050%5/10
Last 1560%9/15
This season0%0/3
vs WAS0%0/1

RBs vs WAS this season · against their closing line

25% went over (2 of 8)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Jonathan Taylor IND	19.5	2	-90%
09-27	Jadarian Price SEA	8.5	7	-18%
09-27	George Holani SEA	5.5	48	+773%
09-27	Emanuel Wilson SEA	0.5	0	-100%
09-20	Javonte Williams DAL	13.5	20	+48%
09-20	Hunter Luepke DAL	24.5	0	-100%
09-13	Tank Bigsby PHI	0.5	0	-100%
09-13	Saquon Barkley PHI	15.5	-3	-119%

Joshua PalmerWR BUF vs LAR

21.5DraftKings

—

#19134.4

—

Last 0 games · receiving yards vs 21.5

No game history for this player.

Target share: —
Targets / game: —
WOPR: —
aDOT: —
Catch %: —
Snap %: —
RZ share: —
CROE: —

Over 21.5 by window

Last 5No games
Last 10No games
Last 15No games
This seasonNo games
vs LARNo games

WRs vs LAR this season · against their closing line

58% went over (7 of 12)

Date	Player	Close	Result	Diff
10-04	Makai Lemon PHI	35.5	27	-24%
10-04	Dontayvion Wicks PHI	54.5	18	-67%
10-04	Darius Cooper PHI	20.5	33	+61%
09-27	Troy Franklin DEN	6.5	21	+223%
09-27	Pat Bryant DEN	24.5	44	+80%
09-27	Jaylen Waddle DEN	59.5	10	-83%
09-27	Courtland Sutton DEN	36.5	46	+26%
09-21	Malik Nabers NYG	61.5	1	-98%

How to read this

L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role ▲/▼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.