NFL Receiving Lab

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Game logs through 2026-10-08 · 35 players

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs TE CIN #1 in rec yds allowed to TEs · 89/g Greg Dulcich · 14.3% target share Biggest role riser Isaiah Likely Target share +19.8 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 31.0% Steadiest over Mike Gesicki Over 33.5 in 7 of last 10 Rec Yds Red-zone magnet Isaiah Likely 46% of NYG red-zone targets (6 of 13) 1 end-zone targets this season
Player Rec Yds line L10 hit Opp rec yds Opp rec Opp targets Opp yds/tgt Opp RZ tgts Opp aDOT Pos. vs close
Trey McBrideTE ARI vs DET 81.5FanDuel 30%3/10 #277.8 #17.5 #110.4 #127.5 #12.2 #77.7 67%6/9
Isaiah LikelyTE NYG vs WAS â–² Role +19.8 pts 41.5FanDuel 30%3/10 #765.6 #175.2 #236.9 #19.5 #22.2 #254.7 60%3/5
Brock BowersTE LV vs NE â–² Role +8.2 pts 73.5FanDuel 30%3/10 #3035.2 #293.9 #295.5 #226.4 #310.5 #175.8 50%3/6
T.J. HockensonTE MIN vs NO â–² Role +9.8 pts 36.5DraftKings 40%4/10 #1258.5 #105.8 #78.3 #187.0 #61.8 #264.6 86%6/7
Mark AndrewsTE BAL vs ATL â–² Role +4.3 pts 30.5Fanatics 30%3/10 #1059.9 #115.7 #98.1 #147.4 #42.0 #156.1 62%5/8
Tyler WarrenTE IND vs PIT 46.5FanDuel 10%1/10 #1652.8 #195.1 #187.1 #137.4 #280.5 #19.6 43%3/7
George KittleTE SF vs SEA 54.5FanDuel 70%7/10 #2341.9 #214.8 #207.1 #275.9 #191.0 #303.7 20%1/5
Harold FanninTE CLE vs NYJ â–¼ Role -6.6 pts 35.5DraftKings 60%6/10 #665.8 #76.3 #147.8 #48.4 #141.2 #234.9 50%3/6
Sam LaPortaTE DET vs ARI 51.5DraftKings 60%6/10 #370.8 #46.5 #58.4 #58.4 #71.8 #58.1 67%4/6
Brenton StrangeTE JAX vs PHI 33.5FanDuel 40%4/10 #3226.3 #313.6 #305.4 #324.9 #250.8 #165.8 17%1/6
Kenyon SadiqTE NYJ vs CLE 30.5Fanatics 25%1/4 #960.1 #95.8 #127.9 #107.6 #171.0 #97.2 71%5/7
Mason TaylorTE NYJ vs CLE 13.5FanDuel 70%7/10 #960.1 #95.8 #127.9 #107.6 #171.0 #97.2 71%5/7
Dalton SchultzTE HOU vs TEN â–² Role +5.7 pts 34.5FanDuel 60%6/10 #1455.5 #145.4 #197.1 #87.8 #290.5 #293.8 0%0/5
Michael MayerTE LV vs NE 29.5DraftKings 50%5/10 #3035.2 #293.9 #295.5 #226.4 #310.5 #175.8 50%3/6
Dalton KincaidTE BUF vs LAR â–² Role +5.6 pts 51.5DraftKings 30%3/10 #2738.5 #244.3 #177.3 #315.3 #230.8 #126.3 17%1/6
Juwan JohnsonTE NO vs MIN 42.5DraftKings 70%7/10 #3130.4 #322.2 #314.9 #236.2 #300.5 #29.1 50%2/4
Greg DulcichTE MIA vs CIN 25.5FanDuel 60%6/10 #189.1 #27.1 #29.4 #29.5 #260.8 #107.1 67%4/6
Chig OkonkwoTE WAS vs NYG â–¼ Role -4.4 pts 26.5PrizePicks 60%6/10 #1851.2 #155.3 #217.0 #157.3 #131.2 #214.9 44%4/9
Hunter HenryTE NE vs LV 38.5DraftKings 50%5/10 #2440.5 #185.1 #246.6 #246.1 #91.5 #283.9 62%5/8
Pat FreiermuthTE PIT vs IND 27.5FanDuel 60%6/10 #860.1 #135.4 #157.7 #97.8 #81.5 #146.2 50%3/6
Oronde Gadsden IITE LAC vs DEN 34.5PrizePicks 20%2/10 #1358.3 #125.7 #118.0 #167.3 #161.0 #136.2 38%3/8
AJ BarnerTE SEA vs SF â–² Role +3.9 pts 22.5DraftKings 40%4/10 #2147.5 #165.2 #108.1 #295.9 #211.0 #244.8 14%1/7
Gunnar HelmTE TEN vs HOU 18.5BetMGM 40%4/10 #1554.0 #86.0 #88.1 #206.7 #320.0 #185.5 50%3/6
Mike GesickiTE CIN vs MIA 33.5PrizePicks 70%7/10 #470.7 #37.0 #48.5 #68.3 #32.0 #87.3 67%4/6
Evan EngramTE DEN vs LAC 17.5DraftKings 50%5/10 #2048.7 #234.5 #266.5 #117.5 #121.2 #67.7 14%1/7
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE ATL vs BAL â–¼ Role -15.5 pts 24.5DraftKings 60%6/10 #2638.5 #254.2 #276.3 #266.1 #270.8 #313.0 14%1/7
Darnell WashingtonTE PIT vs IND 22.5FanDuel 50%5/10 #860.1 #135.4 #157.7 #97.8 #81.5 #146.2 50%3/6
Theo JohnsonTE NYG vs WAS â–¼ Role -9.5 pts 2.5PrizePicks 80%8/10 #765.6 #175.2 #236.9 #19.5 #22.2 #254.7 60%3/5
Noah FantTE NO vs MIN 13.5DraftKings 50%5/10 #3130.4 #322.2 #314.9 #236.2 #300.5 #29.1 50%2/4
Drew SampleTE CIN vs MIA 5.5PrizePicks 60%6/10 #470.7 #37.0 #48.5 #68.3 #32.0 #87.3 67%4/6
Elijah HigginsTE ARI vs DET â–¼ Role -3.9 pts 19.5Underdog 30%3/10 #277.8 #17.5 #110.4 #127.5 #12.2 #77.7 67%6/9
Dawson KnoxTE BUF vs LAR â–¼ Role -5.6 pts 10.5DraftKings 60%6/10 #2738.5 #244.3 #177.3 #315.3 #230.8 #126.3 17%1/6
Ian ThomasTE LV vs NE 24.5BetMGM 20%2/10 #3035.2 #293.9 #295.5 #226.4 #310.5 #175.8 50%3/6
Eli RaridonTE NE vs LV 9.5FanDuel 67%2/3 #2440.5 #185.1 #246.6 #246.1 #91.5 #283.9 62%5/8
Tanner HudsonTE CIN vs MIA 1.5PrizePicks 100%10/10 #470.7 #37.0 #48.5 #68.3 #32.0 #87.3 67%4/6

How to read this

  • L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
  • Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role â–²/â–¼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
  • Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
  • RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
  • Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
  • Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.