NFL Receiving Lab

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Game logs through 2026-10-08 · 35 players

Every pass-catcher with a line this week: how they’re being used, how their last 10 games went against the line, and what this week’s defense allows to their position. Matchup Cheat Sheet →

Softest vs TE CIN #1 in rec yds allowed to TEs · 89/g Greg Dulcich · 14.3% target share Biggest role riser Isaiah Likely Target share +19.8 pts (last 4 vs 4 before) now 31.0% Steadiest over Mike Gesicki Over 33.5 in 7 of last 10 Rec Yds Red-zone magnet Isaiah Likely 46% of NYG red-zone targets (6 of 13) 1 end-zone targets this season
Player Rec Yds line L10 graph L10 hit L10 avg · vs line Target share Trend RZ share Opp Rec Yds Research flags
Trey McBrideTE ARI vs DET 81.5FanDuel 30%3/10 68.4-13.1 #277.8 Under in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #2
Isaiah LikelyTE NYG vs WAS 41.5FanDuel 30%3/10 37.9-3.6 #765.6 Under in 7 of last 10Role â–² 19.8 pts
Brock BowersTE LV vs NE 73.5FanDuel 30%3/10 65.7-7.8 #3035.2 Under in 7 of last 10Role â–² 8.2 ptsTough matchup #30
T.J. HockensonTE MIN vs NO 36.5DraftKings 40%4/10 39.2+2.7 #1258.5 Role â–² 9.8 pts
Mark AndrewsTE BAL vs ATL 30.5Fanatics 30%3/10 28.6-1.9 #1059.9 Under in 7 of last 10Role â–² 4.3 pts
Tyler WarrenTE IND vs PIT 46.5FanDuel 10%1/10 28.5-18.0 #1652.8 Under in 9 of last 10
George KittleTE SF vs SEA 54.5FanDuel 70%7/10 62.7+8.2 #2341.9 Over in 7 of last 10
Harold FanninTE CLE vs NYJ 35.5FanDuel 60%6/10 46.2+10.7 #665.8 Role â–¼ 6.6 pts
Sam LaPortaTE DET vs ARI 51.5DraftKings 60%6/10 57.9+6.4 #370.8 Soft matchup #3
Brenton StrangeTE JAX vs PHI 34.5ESPN BET 40%4/10 37.4+2.9 #3226.3 Tough matchup #32
Kenyon SadiqTE NYJ vs CLE 30.5Fanatics 25%1/4 35.8+5.2 #960.1 —
Mason TaylorTE NYJ vs CLE 13.5FanDuel 70%7/10 25.9+12.4 #960.1 Over in 7 of last 10
Dalton SchultzTE HOU vs TEN 34.5FanDuel 60%6/10 47.6+13.1 #1455.5 Role â–² 5.7 pts
Michael MayerTE LV vs NE 29.5DraftKings 50%5/10 34.2+4.7 #3035.2 Tough matchup #30
Dalton KincaidTE BUF vs LAR 51.5DraftKings 30%3/10 50.4-1.1 #2738.5 Under in 7 of last 10Role â–² 5.6 pts
Juwan JohnsonTE NO vs MIN 42.5DraftKings 70%7/10 58.4+15.9 #3130.4 Over in 7 of last 10Tough matchup #31
Greg DulcichTE MIA vs CIN 25.5FanDuel 60%6/10 35.4+9.9 #189.1 Soft matchup #1
Chig OkonkwoTE WAS vs NYG 26.5PrizePicks 60%6/10 30.0+3.5 #1851.2 Role â–¼ 4.4 pts
Hunter HenryTE NE vs LV 38.5DraftKings 50%5/10 35.0-3.5 #2440.5 —
Pat FreiermuthTE PIT vs IND 27.5FanDuel 60%6/10 33.1+5.6 #860.1 —
Oronde Gadsden IITE LAC vs DEN 34.5PrizePicks 20%2/10 24.6-9.9 #1358.3 Under in 8 of last 10
AJ BarnerTE SEA vs SF 22.5DraftKings 40%4/10 27.5+5.0 #2147.5 Role â–² 3.9 pts
Gunnar HelmTE TEN vs HOU 18.5BetMGM 40%4/10 20.1+1.6 #1554.0 —
Mike GesickiTE CIN vs MIA 33.5PrizePicks 70%7/10 40.1+6.6 #470.7 Over in 7 of last 10Soft matchup #4
Evan EngramTE DEN vs LAC 17.5DraftKings 50%5/10 20.6+3.1 #2048.7 —
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE ATL vs BAL 24.5DraftKings 60%6/10 53.6+29.1 #2638.5 Role â–¼ 15.5 pts
Darnell WashingtonTE PIT vs IND 22.5FanDuel 50%5/10 27.4+4.9 #860.1 —
Theo JohnsonTE NYG vs WAS 2.5PrizePicks 80%8/10 33.6+31.1 #765.6 Over in 8 of last 10Role â–¼ 9.5 pts
Noah FantTE NO vs MIN 13.5DraftKings 50%5/10 16.2+2.7 #3130.4 Tough matchup #31
Drew SampleTE CIN vs MIA 5.5PrizePicks 60%6/10 9.9+4.4 #470.7 Soft matchup #4
Elijah HigginsTE ARI vs DET 8.5PrizePicks 50%5/10 17.8+9.3 #277.8 Role â–¼ 3.9 ptsSoft matchup #2
Dawson KnoxTE BUF vs LAR 10.5DraftKings 60%6/10 19.3+8.8 #2738.5 Role â–¼ 5.6 pts
Ian ThomasTE LV vs NE 24.5BetMGM 20%2/10 15.7-8.8 #3035.2 Under in 8 of last 10Tough matchup #30
Eli RaridonTE NE vs LV 9.5FanDuel 67%2/3 14.7+5.2 #2440.5 —
Tanner HudsonTE CIN vs MIA 1.5PrizePicks 100%10/10 12.6+11.1 #470.7 Over in 10 of last 10Soft matchup #4

How to read this

  • L10 graph / hit: the player’s last 10 games against this week’s line (green over, red under). L10 avg · vs line is their last-10 average and how far it sits from the line.
  • Target share, air yards share and WOPR (1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share, nflverse) cover the last 4 games; Role â–²/â–¼ marks a 3+ point target-share change against the 4 games before. aDOT, Catch %, YAC/rec and RACR (yards per air yard) are this season.
  • Hit window sets which games the graph, hit rate and average count: last 5, 10 or 15, this season, or only games against this week’s opponent. Research flags always use the last 10.
  • RZ share, EZ tgts, Deep % and 3rd-down share come from nflverse play-by-play this season: red zone = inside the 20, end zone = thrown at or beyond the goal line, deep = 20+ air yards. CROE is catch rate minus nflverse’s expected catch rate for the same throws (points); YACOE is yards after catch minus nflverse’s expected, per catch.
  • Opp columns rank what this week’s defense allowed to the position over its last 10 games; #1 allowed the most (green = soft, red = tough). Pos. vs close is how often players at the position went over their consensus closing line against this defense this season (SportsGameOdds).
  • Research flags describe past games only; they are not a projection or a pick. Click any row for that player’s game-by-game detail and a link to full Prop Research.